Syracuse
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
115  Paige Stoner JR 20:05
362  Emma Wilson FR 20:41
365  McKenzie Altmayer FR 20:42
446  Alexandra Cooper SO 20:50
453  Mary Malone JR 20:50
607  Sydney Leiher SR 21:06
685  Madeleine Davison FR 21:11
811  Stephanie Bitcon JR 21:19
830  Shannon Malone SO 21:20
1,679  Chelsie Pennello JR 22:14
National Rank #53 of 344
Northeast Region Rank #4 of 43
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 6.3%
Most Likely Finish 5th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.4%


Regional Champion 0.2%
Top 5 in Regional 52.5%
Top 10 in Regional 98.9%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Paige Stoner Emma Wilson McKenzie Altmayer Alexandra Cooper Mary Malone Sydney Leiher Madeleine Davison Stephanie Bitcon Shannon Malone Chelsie Pennello
Panorama Farms Invitational 09/23 655 20:07 20:30 20:37 20:41 20:39 21:09 19:57 21:15 21:38 22:23
Nuttycombe Wisconsin Invitational (B Race) 10/14 21:43 21:22 22:12
Nuttycombe Wisconsin Invitational 10/14 730 20:05 20:27 20:27 20:51 20:31 21:30 23:03
ACC Championships 10/28 854 20:09 21:26 20:43 20:22 21:10 21:02 21:14 21:13 22:08
Northeast Region Championships 11/11 943 20:00 20:47 21:13 22:44 21:08 21:18 21:10





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 6.3% 27.1 634 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.3 1.0 1.1 0.8 1.0
Region Championship 100% 5.6 183 0.2 2.1 8.1 20.4 21.9 19.1 13.9 7.3 4.3 1.9 0.7 0.3 0.2



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Paige Stoner 53.2% 94.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1
Emma Wilson 6.3% 174.0
McKenzie Altmayer 6.7% 172.0
Alexandra Cooper 6.3% 190.7
Mary Malone 6.4% 194.7
Sydney Leiher 6.3% 223.0
Madeleine Davison 6.3% 229.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Paige Stoner 9.8 0.6 1.7 4.4 6.2 6.1 6.3 6.7 6.6 6.6 6.1 6.0 5.4 5.2 4.2 3.5 3.0 3.2 3.1 2.2 2.2 1.4 1.1 1.5 1.4 0.9
Emma Wilson 37.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.0 1.6 1.2 1.8 1.6 1.6 1.7 2.1
McKenzie Altmayer 37.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.7 1.8 1.7 2.0
Alexandra Cooper 46.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.3 1.0
Mary Malone 46.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.6 1.3
Sydney Leiher 67.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Madeleine Davison 74.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.2% 100.0% 0.2 0.2 1
2 2.1% 100.0% 2.1 2.1 2
3 8.1% 46.0% 0.5 0.8 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 4.4 3.7 3
4 20.4% 2.0% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 20.0 0.4 4
5 21.9% 21.9 5
6 19.1% 19.1 6
7 13.9% 13.9 7
8 7.3% 7.3 8
9 4.3% 4.3 9
10 1.9% 1.9 10
11 0.7% 0.7 11
12 0.3% 0.3 12
13 0.2% 0.2 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
Total 100% 6.3% 0.2 2.1 0.5 0.8 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 93.7 2.2 4.1




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Virginia 24.8% 2.0 0.5
Georgetown 22.0% 1.0 0.2
Wisconsin 14.5% 1.0 0.1
Vanderbilt 6.1% 1.0 0.1
William and Mary 4.2% 1.0 0.0
Tulsa 3.4% 1.0 0.0
Duke 3.2% 1.0 0.0
Wake Forest 2.4% 1.0 0.0
Bucknell 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Florida State 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Clemson 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 1.1
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 5.0