Carmel
Boys - Girls
2013 - 2014 - 2015
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State Rank #1
Carmel Semi-State Rank #1
Noblesville Regional Rank #1
Noblesville Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 1st place at State Finals
State Champion 37.7%
Top 5 at State Finals 86.8%
Top 10 at State Finals 99.0%
Advance to State Finals 99.8%
Advance to Semi-State 99.9%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
Ben Veatch 11 15:06
33  Thomas Revard 11 16:07
37  Teddy Browning 11 16:10
66  Zachary Leinheiser 11 16:24
88  Jace Wisdorf 12 16:31
100  Conor Lyons 10 16:35
104  Ben Miller 9 16:36
148  Evan Bouillet 10 16:46
163  Grayson Jenkins 12 16:49
186  Michael Lukovic 12 16:53
194  Trey Harris 9 16:54
215  Drew Watson 10 16:57
250  Colin Murphy 9 17:03
James Pescio 11 17:11
Kenji Tomozawa 10 17:12
Andrew Rigsbee 12 17:13
Elijah St. Angelo 12 17:16
Jonah Nichol 10 17:16
Zach Horowitz 12 17:18
Matthew Croaning 11 17:21
Andrew Kalthoff 12 17:28
Zane Williams 9 17:34
Jimmy Snyder 9 17:53
David Anderson 9 18:00
Spencer Gudgel 9 18:20
Will Revard 9 18:23
Sean Nief 9 18:24
Kai Gonzalez 9 18:30
DateRace Rating
08/23 Carmel Classic 5k
09/02 Hamilton County Meet 95
09/06 THSB - State Preview 171
09/13 Eagle Classic 162
09/20 Trinity/Valkyrie Invitational 104
09/20 Trinity/Valkyrie Invitational (JV) 419
09/27 Metro Interscholastic Conference 268
10/11 Noblesville Sectional 215
10/18 Noblesville Regional 201
10/25 Carmel Semi-State 126
11/01 State Finals 156
11/16 NXN Midwest 84
12/06 NXN Finals




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 99.8% 2.8 151 37.7 21.6 12.5 8.6 6.4 4.5 3.2 2.1 1.5 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 99.9% 1.5 75 67.3 19.1 8.3 3.7 1.1 0.3 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.4 63 71.3 19.2 6.5 2.2 0.7 0.2
Sectionals 100% 1.2 36 82.3 14.4 2.9 0.4



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ben Veatch 100% 1.0 68.0 18.0 7.7 3.2 1.6 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Thomas Revard 99.8% 36.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.9 0.7 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.8 1.6 1.9 2.3 2.3 5.3% 79.5%
Teddy Browning 99.8% 40.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.4 1.8 1.8 0.0% 73.1%
Zachary Leinheiser 99.8% 68.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0% 27.6%
Jace Wisdorf 99.8% 83.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 12.3%
Conor Lyons 99.8% 94.3 0.0 0.0% 6.4%
Ben Miller 99.8% 94.4 0.0% 6.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ben Veatch 100% 1.0 78.8 20.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Thomas Revard 100.0% 13.3 0.1 1.3 2.3 3.8 4.0 4.3 5.3 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.1 5.0 4.8 4.4 3.8 3.6 2.9 2.6 2.0 1.9 1.6 80.0% 99.8%
Teddy Browning 100.0% 15.1 0.0 0.6 1.4 2.2 2.7 3.5 4.1 4.4 5.1 4.8 5.0 5.0 5.5 5.3 4.7 4.7 5.1 4.6 3.7 3.7 3.1 2.9 2.7 2.3 86.7% 99.8%
Zachary Leinheiser 99.9% 27.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.3 1.6 2.3 2.4 2.9 2.6 3.4 3.2 3.6 4.0 3.7 3.8 13.3% 93.5%
Jace Wisdorf 99.9% 36.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.6 1.6 1.7 2.1 2.3 2.7 6.7% 83.8%
Conor Lyons 99.9% 41.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.3 1.5 0.0% 73.5%
Ben Miller 99.9% 42.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.4 13.3% 73.4%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ben Veatch 100% 1.0 79.3 20.6 0.1 100.0%
Thomas Revard 100% 8.9 0.0 4.2 6.2 7.0 7.8 8.2 9.0 8.2 7.9 7.5 6.3 6.4 5.0 3.8 2.9 2.1 1.9 1.5 1.1 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.2 100.0%
Teddy Browning 100% 10.2 0.0 2.4 4.0 5.4 5.8 7.0 7.6 8.4 7.7 8.0 7.9 7.0 5.7 5.0 4.0 3.2 2.8 1.8 1.3 1.3 1.0 0.6 0.6 0.3 100.0%
Zachary Leinheiser 100% 18.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.7 2.1 3.2 3.8 4.6 5.6 6.1 6.4 6.5 6.4 5.6 5.7 5.0 4.7 4.3 4.1 3.5 100.0%
Jace Wisdorf 100% 23.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.3 1.9 2.0 2.9 3.5 4.3 5.0 4.8 5.0 5.2 5.4 4.9 4.8 4.7 100.0%
Conor Lyons 100% 26.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.7 1.1 1.4 1.9 2.4 3.3 3.4 3.6 3.8 4.2 4.4 4.7 5.1 100.0%
Ben Miller 100% 27.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.4 1.8 2.3 3.1 3.4 3.9 4.0 4.6 4.3 4.4 4.5 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ben Veatch 1.0 100.0 0.0
Thomas Revard 4.0 16.6 17.1 15.9 15.1 11.8 8.1 5.2 3.0 2.2 1.5 1.2 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Teddy Browning 4.7 9.2 13.8 15.4 15.6 14.3 10.1 6.2 4.6 3.2 2.3 1.5 1.2 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Zachary Leinheiser 9.9 0.1 0.5 2.0 4.2 6.6 9.7 9.8 9.6 8.3 7.5 6.3 5.6 5.4 4.7 3.7 3.3 2.9 2.4 1.9 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.5
Jace Wisdorf 14.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.8 3.3 4.9 6.1 6.2 6.5 6.9 6.7 6.1 6.4 5.9 5.6 4.7 4.7 4.2 4.0 3.1 3.0 2.4 1.8
Conor Lyons 16.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.3 2.5 3.1 4.3 5.0 5.2 5.4 5.5 6.0 5.8 5.9 6.0 5.9 5.7 5.2 4.7 4.5 3.8 3.1
Ben Miller 16.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.5 2.1 3.3 4.0 4.9 4.8 5.7 5.7 6.1 6.2 6.0 6.1 5.9 5.6 5.3 4.9 4.4 4.1 3.2