Penn
Boys - Girls
2013 - 2014 - 2015
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State Rank #39
New Haven Semi-State Rank #7
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #3
Riley Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 24th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 52.8%
Advance to Semi-State 98.5%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
235  Jack Mader 12 17:00
258  Ryan Craker 12 17:05
Colton Shail 9 17:14
Matt Evans 11 17:17
Reis Kennedy 10 17:33
Greg Delee 9 17:35
Jon Harley 9 17:54
Chad Piatt 9 18:01
Daniel Hardman 11 18:05
Jason Zhang 11 18:07
Curtis Cornell 9 18:16
Nick Scheel 10 18:23
Brandon Lazarczyk 12 18:26
Cameron Nagle 9 18:27
Chris Irvin 12 18:29
DateRace Rating
08/23 NIC Stomp
09/06 Manchester Invitational 516
09/13 St. Joseph/Elkhart County Clash 577
09/20 New Prairie Invitational (AAA) 641
09/20 New Prairie Invitational (Fr/So) 614
09/27 Culver Academies Invitaitonal (Open) 639
09/27 Culver Academies Invitational (Fr/So)
10/04 Northern Indiana Conference 506
10/11 Riley Sectional 541
10/18 Elkhart Central Regional 493
10/25 New Haven Semi-State 480




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 52.8% 22.5 556 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.4 2.9 4.7 6.8 12.5 22.0
Semi-State 98.5% 6.5 202 0.0 7.4 11.2 12.2 11.5 10.5 9.8 9.1 8.3 7.5 5.9 3.9 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 2.2 88 37.8 26.8 17.4 11.2 5.3 1.3 0.2
Sectionals 100% 1.7 59 50.0 34.7 15.3 0.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jack Mader 52.8% 132.3 0.0% 0.4%
Ryan Craker 52.8% 140.1 0.0% 0.1%
Colton Shail 52.8% 154.4 0.0% 0.0%
Matt Evans 52.8% 157.6 0.0% 0.0%
Reis Kennedy 52.8% 178.0 0.0% 0.0%
Greg Delee 52.8% 180.2 0.0% 0.0%
Jon Harley 52.8% 197.3 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jack Mader 99.4% 41.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.2 59.1% 96.2%
Ryan Craker 99.2% 46.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5 46.3% 92.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jack Mader 100% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.8 3.4 4.5 5.9 6.8 8.7 9.0 8.5 8.3 7.9 6.9 5.7 5.0 4.1 3.1 2.4 1.8 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.5 100.0%
Ryan Craker 100% 14.1 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.6 2.7 3.4 4.5 5.2 6.5 7.1 8.4 8.1 8.3 7.5 6.7 6.0 4.7 4.2 3.4 2.5 2.0 1.6 1.3 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jack Mader 7.6 0.2 3.0 5.8 8.4 11.2 13.3 14.2 15.9 12.7 7.6 4.2 2.1 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
Ryan Craker 8.8 0.1 0.8 3.0 4.5 6.8 9.8 12.9 15.2 16.0 12.9 8.5 5.1 2.5 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0