Valparaiso
Boys - Girls
2013 - 2014 - 2015
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State Rank #14
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #3
New Prairie Regional Rank #1
Chesterton Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 14th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.5%
Top 10 at State Finals 7.0%
Advance to State Finals 91.5%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
25  Danny Dalton 11 15:58
139  Isaiah Smith 11 16:44
182  Logan Meeter 11 16:52
201  Jack Gabrish 11 16:55
226  Carlos Martinez 9 16:59
Aaron Finley 11 17:13
Carl Frey 9 17:16
Jonathan Zygmunt 11 17:19
Bob Schenck 12 17:25
John Buggeln 11 17:34
Zach Kroll 12 17:37
Ethan McChristian 11 17:43
Adrian Casaday 10 18:06
Nathan Beller 9 19:02
DateRace Rating
08/30 Gavit Invitational 289
09/06 THSB - State Preview 229
09/13 Rensselaer Invitational 310
09/20 New Prairie Invitational (AAA) 322
09/20 New Prairie Invitational (Fr/So)
10/04 Duneland Athletic Conference 352
10/11 Chesterton Sectional 341
10/18 New Prairie Regional 353
10/25 New Prairie Semi-State 364
11/01 State Finals 316
11/16 NXN Midwest 292




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 91.5% 14.3 370 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.9 2.7 4.3 7.4 14.3 16.1 13.4 11.2 7.5 5.0 2.9 1.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
Semi-State 100% 4.3 140 0.2 2.1 31.5 27.5 18.6 11.6 6.3 1.7 0.5 0.0 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.5 46 61.1 25.0 13.4 0.5 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.5 49 61.7 24.9 12.9 0.5 0.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Danny Dalton 100% 24.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.2 1.4 1.7 2.2 2.2 2.4 2.7 2.7 3.0 3.0 3.3 3.4 3.4 3.2 3.2 3.4 2.9 3.2 100.0% 100.0%
Isaiah Smith 91.6% 111.8 1.8% 39.5%
Logan Meeter 91.5% 127.4 0.1% 17.2%
Jack Gabrish 91.5% 132.0 0.0% 12.1%
Carlos Martinez 91.5% 138.3 0.0% 7.4%
Aaron Finley 91.5% 158.2 0.0% 0.4%
Carl Frey 91.5% 161.4 0.0% 0.1%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Danny Dalton 100% 2.8 0.8 11.4 46.1 14.9 8.5 5.7 4.1 2.6 1.9 1.2 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Isaiah Smith 100% 30.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.8 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.8 2.1 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.7 2.9 3.0 3.0 3.2 100.0%
Logan Meeter 100% 39.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.6 1.6 1.8 100.0%
Jack Gabrish 100% 43.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.8 1.2 1.2 100.0%
Carlos Martinez 100% 48.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.6 100.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Danny Dalton 100% 1.0 78.9 15.7 4.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Isaiah Smith 100% 8.4 0.6 2.5 5.7 8.1 8.7 10.3 9.9 9.6 8.4 7.4 6.4 5.1 4.5 3.4 2.9 2.1 1.7 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Logan Meeter 100% 12.3 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.3 3.5 4.6 6.1 6.6 7.2 7.9 8.1 7.4 7.1 6.7 5.8 5.1 4.6 4.2 3.4 2.3 2.2 1.2 1.0 0.4 100.0%
Jack Gabrish 100% 13.7 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.0 3.1 4.2 5.1 6.3 7.3 7.5 7.3 7.2 7.3 7.0 6.4 5.9 4.9 4.3 3.4 2.5 2.1 1.4 1.1 100.0%
Carlos Martinez 100% 15.8 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.8 2.4 3.5 4.0 5.0 5.6 6.4 7.2 7.3 6.8 7.2 7.2 6.3 6.5 5.2 4.5 3.5 2.6 1.9 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Danny Dalton 1.0 78.7 16.1 4.3 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Isaiah Smith 7.5 0.7 2.7 6.8 10.3 11.7 12.3 11.6 9.5 7.9 6.5 5.3 4.4 3.4 2.4 1.6 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Logan Meeter 10.9 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.9 4.9 7.0 7.9 8.9 9.0 8.8 8.2 7.6 6.8 5.9 5.2 4.5 3.2 2.2 2.3 1.4 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.2
Jack Gabrish 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.9 2.7 4.5 5.9 7.4 8.4 8.6 9.0 8.0 7.6 6.9 6.3 5.3 4.5 3.6 2.7 1.8 1.3 0.9 0.8 0.3
Carlos Martinez 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.4 2.3 4.0 5.5 6.0 7.0 7.3 8.0 7.7 8.1 8.1 7.1 6.1 5.5 4.7 3.2 2.4 1.8 1.1 0.8