Carmel
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page

State Rank #2
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #1
Noblesville Regional Rank #1
Noblesville Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 2nd place at State Finals
State Champion 32.5%
Top 5 at State Finals 95.6%
Top 10 at State Finals 99.7%
Advance to State Finals 99.9%
Advance to Semi-State 99.9%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Hamilton County Championships THSB State Preview Brown County Eagle Classic Trinity/Valkyrie Invitational Metro Interscholastic Conference Noblesville Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/30 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 163 434 160 109 129 182 174 157 146 164
Team Adjusted Rating 163 160 109 129 177 145 152 146 164
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Hamilton County Championships THSB State Preview Brown County Eagle Classic Trinity/Valkyrie Invitational Metro Interscholastic Conference Noblesville Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
10  Colin Murphy 11 15:51 16:10 16:01 15:58 16:11 15:54 15:54 15:44
21  Ben Miller 11 16:05 16:19 16:01 16:16 16:17 16:06 15:58 15:50 16:24
51  Evan Bouillet 12 16:21 16:22 16:05 16:19 16:28 16:14 16:15 16:23
54  Trey Harris 11 16:22 16:04 16:12 16:08 16:17 16:59 16:16
55  Calvin Bates 10 16:22 16:43 15:56 16:12 16:15 16:11 16:27 16:27 17:00
56  Keelan Grant 11 16:22 16:26 16:28 16:08 16:18 16:27 16:19 16:20
58  Thomas Gastineau 10 16:23 16:14 16:20 16:10 16:21 16:27 16:31 16:19
87  Drew Watson 12 16:33 16:20 16:25 16:41 16:34 16:28
132  Jonah Nichol 12 16:42 16:35 16:16 16:33 17:06 16:43
155  Jimmy Snyder 11 16:48 16:56 17:03 16:36 16:48 16:43
170  Anderson David 11 16:52 16:48 16:34 16:47 16:58
174  Darren Yates 10 16:53 16:54 16:48 16:48 16:47 16:54
180  Patrick Campbell 10 16:53 16:55 17:04 16:53 16:36 16:53
192  Kenji Tomozawa 12 16:56 16:56 17:28 16:35 16:51
217  Ben Myers 9 17:02 16:51 16:43 17:41
292  Zach Wilson 10 17:14 17:14 16:48 17:45 17:10
332  Brett Ploss 10 17:18 17:25 17:23 16:54 17:24 17:15
343  Grant Cooley 12 17:20 18:04 17:02 17:20 17:06 17:20
364  Grant Moon 9 17:22 17:39 17:23 17:09 17:24 17:12
400  Cam Harless 10 17:26 17:37 17:40 17:06 17:16 17:26
411  Will Murphy 9 17:27 18:10 17:26 17:12 17:21 17:21
451  Alex Nakeeb 10 17:33 17:33 17:35 17:19 17:25 17:38
464  Chris Perry 10 17:34 17:38 17:41 17:25
492  Nate Enfield 10 17:36 17:39 17:54 17:51 17:11 17:29
564  Eli Konow 9 17:43 17:21 18:03
581  Brendan Mudd 10 17:44 18:20 18:03 17:53 17:13 17:23
623  Brett Slosarek 12 17:48 17:58 17:40 18:09 17:30 17:44
661  Sota Shishikura 11 17:52 17:59 17:47 18:13 17:39 17:42
669  Nick Schuster 9 17:52 17:47 17:42 17:43 17:57 17:57
693  Ben Underwood 11 17:54 17:47 18:05 18:04 17:19 18:02
709  Ben Baines 10 17:55 18:11 18:01 18:15 17:40 17:28
740  Austin Throckmorton 9 17:57 17:59 17:49 17:50 17:49 18:06
749  Zach Gartenhaus 12 17:58 17:44 18:00 18:16 17:47 17:56
759  Tyler Bickel 12 17:59 17:57 18:06 18:33 17:33 17:55
799  Jacob Jenkins 12 18:03 17:35 18:05 18:13 18:00
817  Keita Arakawa 11 18:04 18:03 18:14 18:11 17:53 17:53
824  Sean Reimer 10 18:04 18:01 17:56 18:06 17:46 18:22
843  Sean Nief 11 18:06 17:45 17:49 18:22 18:10
864  Neil Simmons 10 18:08 18:46 18:07 18:19 17:45 17:57
872  Jack Salzmann 10 18:08 17:48 17:57 18:45 18:05 18:00
873  Vincent Chang 10 18:08 18:10 17:58 18:40 17:57 17:59
915  Caleb Leinheiser 9 18:12 18:10 18:16 17:54 18:18
918  Evan Veatch 11 18:12 17:49 17:58 18:51 18:01 18:16
1,031  Ike Manlick 10 18:20 18:20
1,041  Alex Wade 10 18:21 18:33 17:42 18:29 17:54 18:50
1,058  Aurek Deischer 9 18:22 18:07 18:13 19:12 18:18
1,063  Abel Kiser 11 18:22 18:10 18:11 19:11 18:12 18:18
1,076  Kurt Stephens 9 18:23 19:03 18:21 18:15 18:13 18:16
1,083  Luke Young 11 18:24 18:17 18:46 18:26 18:16 18:12
1,125  Noah Bergsma 9 18:26 18:26 18:13 18:29 18:18 18:32
1,133  Ben Johnson 9 18:27 18:15 18:04 18:46 18:29
1,233  Owen Booth 9 18:34 19:00 18:29 18:44 18:23 18:17
1,270  Christian Smith 11 18:36 17:50 17:47 18:45 19:02 18:52
1,297  Lant Jenkins 10 18:38 19:16 18:47 18:31 18:04
1,315  Evan Zatkulak 12 18:39 18:16 19:20 18:54 18:24
1,350  Ryan Abshire 9 18:42 18:35 19:01 18:35 18:41
1,378  Zane Snider 10 18:45 19:04 18:30 19:02 18:10 18:51
1,447  Sam Baker 12 18:50 19:23 18:17
1,525  Harry Persson 10 18:57 19:03 19:16 18:41
1,539  Will Revard 11 18:58 19:44 18:41 18:52
Seigo Tomozawa 10 19:01 19:24 19:24 18:49 18:20
Jack Brannock 12 19:05 18:57 19:03 19:19 18:43 19:14
Joey Pietras 12 19:20 19:05 20:01 19:39 18:53
Aiden Ascioti 9 20:45 21:05 21:23 20:34 18:18 21:04




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 99.9% 2.3 124 32.5 38.6 14.7 6.3 3.5 1.9 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Semi-State 99.9% 1.4 58 74.8 16.7 5.5 2.0 0.8 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.4 54 74.0 17.9 5.9 1.8 0.3 0.0 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.3 43 75.6 18.4 5.4 0.5 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Colin Murphy 100% 9.9 0.0 1.7 5.4 6.7 6.8 6.4 6.1 6.5 5.8 5.3 4.6 4.5 4.4 3.4 3.2 3.0 2.6 2.5 2.2 1.9 1.9 1.6 1.5 1.3 1.1 100.0% 99.8%
Ben Miller 99.9% 25.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.1 1.4 1.6 1.7 2.2 2.1 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.8 3.0 2.6 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.6 14.3% 95.8%
Evan Bouillet 99.9% 55.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.9 0.0% 64.8%
Trey Harris 99.9% 57.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.0% 62.6%
Calvin Bates 99.9% 59.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.0% 59.8%
Keelan Grant 99.9% 59.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.0% 60.1%
Thomas Gastineau 99.9% 60.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.0% 58.7%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Colin Murphy 100% 3.9 0.0 3.6 27.6 21.9 14.7 10.0 6.5 4.5 3.1 2.3 1.4 1.2 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Ben Miller 100% 8.8 0.1 1.2 6.4 9.0 9.2 8.8 8.7 7.9 7.4 6.3 5.7 5.0 4.2 3.5 2.6 2.4 2.0 1.8 1.3 1.3 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.6 100.0% 100.0%
Evan Bouillet 100.0% 21.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.4 2.2 2.3 2.8 3.1 3.3 3.6 3.8 4.2 4.4 4.3 4.3 3.8 4.2 3.9 3.8 3.4 3.4 57.1% 99.0%
Trey Harris 99.9% 21.9 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.4 1.5 2.0 2.3 2.7 3.3 3.9 3.7 3.9 4.2 4.0 4.3 4.1 3.9 3.4 3.8 3.7 3.1 14.3% 98.7%
Calvin Bates 100.0% 22.8 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.6 1.9 2.2 2.6 3.1 3.3 3.4 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.9 4.0 3.9 3.6 3.5 57.1% 98.5%
Keelan Grant 100.0% 22.6 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.2 1.3 1.7 2.5 2.6 3.0 3.3 3.9 3.8 3.7 4.1 4.0 3.9 3.9 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.2 28.6% 98.6%
Thomas Gastineau 99.9% 23.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.7 1.9 2.4 2.6 3.0 3.5 3.6 4.0 3.6 3.8 4.2 3.7 3.9 3.9 3.8 3.3 0.0% 98.5%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Colin Murphy 100% 2.8 3.7 28.1 22.7 15.4 10.0 6.8 5.1 2.8 2.2 1.4 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Ben Miller 100% 7.2 0.1 1.3 5.9 9.2 10.5 11.0 10.7 9.3 8.6 7.6 6.5 5.4 4.2 2.8 2.1 1.4 1.1 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Evan Bouillet 100% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.2 1.9 2.4 3.2 4.3 5.2 5.4 6.7 7.0 7.5 7.4 6.2 6.6 5.5 4.5 4.2 3.3 2.9 2.4 2.0 100.0%
Trey Harris 100% 16.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.2 1.7 2.1 3.1 4.0 4.9 5.1 5.9 6.1 7.1 7.3 7.2 6.2 5.7 4.8 4.3 3.8 3.0 2.7 2.3 100.0%
Calvin Bates 100% 16.6 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.3 2.0 2.9 3.7 4.0 5.3 5.5 6.2 7.0 6.5 6.9 6.6 6.1 5.2 4.8 3.8 3.3 3.1 2.3 100.0%
Keelan Grant 100% 16.6 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.2 2.1 2.7 3.5 4.3 4.9 5.8 6.4 6.4 7.1 7.0 6.2 6.1 5.8 4.5 3.9 3.5 2.7 2.5 100.0%
Thomas Gastineau 100% 16.8 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.5 1.9 2.3 3.3 4.0 4.8 5.7 6.1 6.3 6.9 6.9 6.5 6.6 5.4 4.7 3.8 3.7 2.6 2.8 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Colin Murphy 2.1 3.6 44.0 23.7 12.1 7.2 4.7 2.4 1.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Ben Miller 5.3 0.1 2.4 12.8 15.8 14.3 13.5 11.8 9.7 7.0 5.0 2.8 1.9 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Evan Bouillet 11.8 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.0 3.2 4.4 6.0 7.8 8.6 9.1 9.3 9.1 8.1 7.0 5.5 4.6 3.5 2.6 2.3 1.6 1.5 0.9 0.8 0.6
Trey Harris 12.2 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.5 2.7 3.9 5.7 7.0 8.2 9.2 8.8 9.0 8.7 7.6 6.1 4.7 3.8 3.1 2.2 1.9 1.6 1.2 0.9 0.6
Calvin Bates 12.7 0.2 0.5 1.4 2.3 3.7 4.7 6.1 7.7 8.6 8.5 9.3 8.7 7.6 6.6 5.7 4.3 3.4 2.8 2.1 1.6 1.4 0.9 0.7
Keelan Grant 12.7 0.1 0.6 1.4 2.4 3.4 4.8 6.2 7.6 8.5 9.1 8.9 8.5 8.3 6.5 5.3 4.1 3.6 2.8 2.0 1.6 1.3 1.1 0.8
Thomas Gastineau 12.8 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.3 3.1 4.4 6.1 7.1 8.4 9.1 9.5 8.4 8.0 7.2 5.1 4.5 3.3 3.0 2.6 1.8 1.4 1.1 0.7