IN CC Stats

Fishers
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page

State Rank	#5
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank	#3
Noblesville Regional Rank	#3
Noblesville Sectional Rank	#3
Most Likely Finish	3rd place at State Finals

State Champion	2.3%
Top 5 at State Finals	55.8%
Top 10 at State Finals	89.6%
Advance to State Finals	95.6%
Advance to Semi-State	96.4%
Advance to Regional	100.0%

All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.


			Season Rating	Hamilton County Championships	THSB State Preview	First to the Finish Invitational	Flashrock Invitational	New Haven Classic	Hoosier Crossroads Conference	Noblesville Sectional	Noblesville Regional	Shelbyville Semi-State	State Finals
Date				8/30	9/3	9/10	9/17	9/24	10/1	10/8	10/15	10/22	10/29
Team Rating			216	594	171	NEI	681	256	250	274	209	202	197
Team Adjusted Rating				216	171	NEI	216	256	250	252	209	202	197
State Rank	Runner		Season Rating	Hamilton County Championships	THSB State Preview	First to the Finish Invitational	Flashrock Invitational	New Haven Classic	Hoosier Crossroads Conference	Noblesville Sectional	Noblesville Regional	Shelbyville Semi-State	State Finals
19	Josh Roth	12	16:04		15:59	NEI		15:58	16:11	16:30	16:15	16:10	15:57
25	Sam Kuhn	11	16:07		16:03	NEI		16:18	16:10	16:14	16:13	16:02	16:00
99	Ethan Meyer	10	16:35		16:24	NEI		16:50	16:47	16:39	16:18	16:40	16:38
110	Brandon Reyes	11	16:38		16:32	NEI		16:44	16:58		16:38	16:37	16:31
120	Ashton Murray	12	16:40		16:57	NEI		16:57	17:10			16:25	16:58
134	Alex Meyer	10	16:43		16:21	NEI		16:58	16:51	16:47	16:33	16:44
138	Andrew Runion	12	16:44		17:10	NEI		17:00	16:48	17:13	16:38	16:37	16:37
186	Aaron Worley	12	16:55		17:01	NEI		16:51	16:41	16:52			17:12
203	Peter Werling	12	17:00		17:02	NEI		17:13	16:58	16:54	17:14
227	Seth Foutty	12	17:03		16:41	NEI		17:03	17:18
297	Thomas Brelage	10	17:14		17:21			17:11	17:16
335	Quintin Goldman	10	17:19	17:24	17:11			17:16	17:23
368	Eli Hagedorn	12	17:23	17:34	17:22			17:14	17:26
377	Chris Laplante	11	17:24	17:01	17:12			17:28	17:42
447	Matt Brown	11	17:32		17:31			17:25	17:40
595	Luke Sorrell	11	17:45	17:38	17:56		17:26	17:52	17:49
676	Daniel King	11	17:52	17:54	18:27		17:45	17:51	17:42
715	Ben Schwartz	9	17:56	17:57	17:40		17:40	18:20	17:59
800	Jack Kinsel	11	18:03	17:58	18:43		17:52	18:15	17:45
861	Sean Kurtock	11	18:07	18:17	18:21		18:06	18:10	17:53
956	Jared Halamka	10	18:15	18:28	18:27		18:22	18:11	17:59
977	Dylan Arive	10	18:17	18:41	18:05				18:13
1,035	Jake Brattain	10	18:21	18:44	18:19		17:52	18:26	18:22
1,092	Hunter Christy	10	18:25	18:35	18:01		18:59	18:21	18:21
1,146	Nicholas Lukac	9	18:29	18:58	18:49		17:56	18:33	18:19
1,266	Gavin Rue	12	18:36	18:17	19:00			19:12	17:58
1,440	Zach Bryan	12	18:50	18:59	19:05		18:49	18:49	18:39
	Aathreya Murthy	9	19:06	18:41	19:15		19:13	19:04	19:13
	Kaleb Gucinski	10	19:08	18:45	18:57		19:28	22:13	18:32
	Craig Chandler	12	19:11		20:35		20:22	18:46	18:18
	Jack Wittrock	10	19:12	19:20	19:32		19:29	19:08	18:46

IHSAA Tournament Simulation

Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.

Team Results

	Advances to Round	Avg Finish	Avg Score	Finishing Place
	Advances to Round	Avg Finish	Avg Score	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24
State Finals	95.6%	5.5	212	2.3	8.7	15.9	15.3	13.7	10.7	8.2	6.8	4.8	3.4	2.5	1.6	1.0	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.1
Semi-State	96.4%	3.1	109	8.9	24.8	27.8	19.3	10.6	4.4	0.8	0.0
Regionals	100.0%	3.0	92	9.1	26.6	33.0	20.9	6.9	2.4	0.9	0.3
Sectionals	100%	2.6	71	10.2	31.3	45.6	10.5	2.4	0.0

Individual Results

Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.

State Meet	Advances to Round	Avg Finish	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	Indv No Team	Indv
State Meet	Advances to Round	Avg Finish	Finishing Place																									Indv No Team	Indv
Josh Roth	98.9%	23.3		0.1	0.4	0.9	1.1	1.6	1.7	1.9	2.2	2.4	2.5	2.6	2.7	2.3	2.8	3.3	2.8	3.1	2.9	2.9	3.1	2.8	2.6	2.7	2.3	73.9%	96.8%
Sam Kuhn	98.2%	27.8		0.1	0.3	0.4	0.6	0.8	1.0	1.3	1.5	1.5	1.8	2.0	2.2	2.4	2.5	2.3	2.6	2.4	2.4	2.4	2.3	2.4	2.5	2.7	2.4	58.6%	94.3%
Ethan Meyer	95.6%	91.3																				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0%	19.5%
Brandon Reyes	95.6%	96.2																0.0				0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0%	15.1%
Ashton Murray	95.6%	101.5																	0.0			0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0%	10.6%
Alex Meyer	95.6%	107.7																	0.0			0.0	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0%	7.2%
Andrew Runion	95.6%	111.4															0.0											0.0%	5.7%

Semi-State	Advances to Round	Avg Finish	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	Indv No Team	Indv
Semi-State	Advances to Round	Avg Finish	Finishing Place																									Indv No Team	Indv
Josh Roth	100%	8.4		0.5	4.3	7.1	8.6	9.4	8.9	8.2	7.5	7.0	5.1	4.8	4.2	4.1	3.0	2.4	2.3	2.1	1.4	1.6	1.4	0.9	1.0	0.7	0.6	100.0%	100.0%
Sam Kuhn	100%	10.1		0.1	2.1	4.2	6.2	7.3	7.4	8.2	7.1	6.6	6.7	5.3	5.2	4.3	3.9	3.3	2.4	2.4	2.4	2.2	2.0	1.4	1.5	1.1	1.0	100.0%	100.0%
Ethan Meyer	97.4%	38.5						0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.5	0.6	0.8	0.6	1.0	1.1	1.3	1.3	1.2	1.4	1.4	2.0	1.7	27.2%	85.8%
Brandon Reyes	97.2%	41.4							0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.3	0.5	0.5	0.7	0.8	0.8	1.0	1.0	1.3	1.3	1.3	1.6	22.5%	81.2%
Ashton Murray	96.9%	44.6							0.0	0.0		0.1	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.5	0.6	0.6	0.7	0.7	0.8	1.0	1.0	12.1%	75.9%
Alex Meyer	96.7%	48.4								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.5	0.6	0.7	0.7	6.2%	68.3%
Andrew Runion	96.6%	50.6									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.6	0.6	3.1%	62.6%

Regionals	Advances to Round	Avg Finish	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	Indv No Team	Indv
Regionals	Advances to Round	Avg Finish	Finishing Place																									Indv No Team	Indv
Josh Roth	100%	6.7	0.3	4.6	7.9	9.3	10.9	10.3	9.8	8.3	7.8	6.4	4.7	4.1	3.5	2.6	2.2	1.8	1.5	1.2	0.8	0.6	0.5	0.3	0.2	0.2	0.1	100.0%	100.0%
Sam Kuhn	100%	8.1	0.3	2.1	4.6	6.5	8.2	9.3	9.1	9.1	7.9	7.1	6.1	5.1	4.5	4.0	3.3	2.8	2.4	2.0	1.5	1.3	1.0	0.6	0.5	0.3	0.3	100.0%	100.0%
Ethan Meyer	100%	25.4					0.1	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.6	0.7	1.0	1.4	1.7	1.9	2.4	2.7	3.0	3.2	4.2	4.6	4.5	5.0	5.0	5.2	100.0%	100.0%
Brandon Reyes	100%	27.1						0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.4	0.4	0.7	1.1	1.0	1.5	1.9	2.2	2.2	2.9	3.4	4.0	4.1	4.6	4.6	4.6	100.0%	100.0%
Ashton Murray	100%	28.9						0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.5	0.7	1.0	1.3	1.7	1.9	2.2	2.8	3.1	3.5	4.0	4.0	4.3	100.0%	100.0%
Alex Meyer	100%	31.4								0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.3	0.6	0.6	0.7	0.9	1.0	1.5	1.8	1.9	2.4	2.8	3.0	3.9	100.0%	100.0%
Andrew Runion	100%	32.8						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.5	0.7	0.8	0.9	1.3	1.6	2.1	2.3	2.6	3.3	100.0%	100.0%

Sectionals	Avg Finish	Finishing Place
Sectionals	Avg Finish	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25
Josh Roth	5.0	0.4	8.5	12.4	14.3	13.9	11.7	9.4	7.2	5.1	4.5	3.2	2.8	2.0	1.6	1.2	0.7	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
Sam Kuhn	6.0	0.2	4.0	8.8	11.4	13.3	12.2	10.4	8.9	6.7	5.4	4.2	3.6	2.9	2.7	1.8	1.6	1.1	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
Ethan Meyer	18.8				0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	1.0	1.5	1.9	2.5	2.9	3.1	4.1	4.7	5.7	7.4	7.6	8.2	8.5	8.2	7.3	6.8	5.7	4.4
Brandon Reyes	19.9				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	1.0	1.4	1.9	2.0	2.2	3.3	3.9	4.9	5.7	7.0	7.6	8.8	8.6	8.3	7.5	7.0	5.8
Ashton Murray	21.2				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.5	0.9	1.4	1.5	1.8	2.2	2.9	3.7	4.7	5.9	7.0	7.4	8.1	8.7	8.8	8.2	7.4
Alex Meyer	22.5					0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.6	0.9	1.0	1.3	2.1	2.7	3.2	4.6	5.0	6.8	7.2	8.9	9.1	9.2	8.8
Andrew Runion	23.3						0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.5	0.6	1.0	1.0	1.7	2.4	2.7	3.6	4.8	5.2	6.5	7.7	9.0	8.9	9.6