Lowell
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #4
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #1
Crown Point Regional Rank #1
Crown Point Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 4th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.6%
Top 5 at State Finals 54.1%
Top 10 at State Finals 94.3%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Dave Walker Invitational Crown Point Invitational Lions Pride Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Hobart Invitational Northwest Crossroads Conference Crown Point Sectional Crown Point Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/22 8/25 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 9/27 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 206 152 242 NEI 287 252 937 376 325 334 245 184
Team Adjusted Rating 152 242 NEI 287 252 206 294 325 334 245 183
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Dave Walker Invitational Crown Point Invitational Lions Pride Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Hobart Invitational Northwest Crossroads Conference Crown Point Sectional Crown Point Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
6  Alec Fleming 11 15:48 15:55 16:01 NEI 16:00 15:43 16:18 16:13 16:08 15:41
14  Hunter Boyer 12 15:57 16:01 16:18 NEI 16:53 16:17 16:33 16:15 16:25 16:09 15:50
38  Caleb Chapman 11 16:15 16:25 17:14 NEI 16:38 16:54 16:41 16:55 16:48 16:22 16:08
161  Adam Joseph 12 16:49 16:20 16:42 NEI 17:03 16:53 17:00 17:10 17:09 17:00 16:42
182  Dustin Hudak 10 16:54 16:15 16:28 NEI 16:41 16:46 17:16 17:06 17:19 16:56
223  Lucas Fontanez 12 17:03 17:06 17:00 NEI 17:11 17:12 17:12 17:11 17:28 16:55
295  Fernando Rosas 11 17:14 16:58 17:41 NEI 17:09 16:53 17:09 17:45 17:24 17:21 17:12
682  Nikoles Mulligan 11 17:53 18:43 18:11 NEI 17:50 18:03 17:36 17:30
995  Kevin Browne 12 18:18 18:02 18:24 NEI 18:27 18:13 18:07
1,273  Adam Edwards 10 18:37 18:39 18:59 18:26 18:36 18:38
1,292  Jacob Durr 9 18:38 19:52 18:32 18:31 NEI
1,410  Colin Arndt 10 18:48 18:31 19:11 18:44 19:03 18:54 NEI
Michael Mayer 10 19:05 18:58 19:12 18:47 19:15 NEI
Jackson Love 12 19:10 19:31 19:13 18:59 19:13 19:19 NEI




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100.0% 5.7 220 0.6 4.6 12.8 18.6 17.6 14.2 10.1 7.7 4.9 3.3 2.4 1.4 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 100% 1.3 76 73.9 23.7 2.1 0.3 0.0 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.0 27 97.9 2.0 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.0 22 97.4 2.6



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alec Fleming 100% 8.0 0.1 3.1 7.9 8.5 8.4 8.5 6.9 6.7 5.6 5.3 4.4 4.0 3.8 3.5 3.0 2.4 2.1 1.7 1.5 1.5 1.3 1.2 1.1 0.8 0.9 100.0% 100.0%
Hunter Boyer 100% 15.6 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.3 3.2 3.3 4.2 3.9 4.4 4.3 4.6 4.4 4.1 4.3 3.5 3.6 3.5 3.2 3.0 2.9 2.6 2.9 2.5 2.3 2.0 100.0% 99.9%
Caleb Chapman 100.0% 42.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.6 0.0% 96.5%
Adam Joseph 100.0% 123.1 0.0% 12.8%
Dustin Hudak 100.0% 131.0 0.0% 6.9%
Lucas Fontanez 100.0% 145.7 0.0% 1.3%
Fernando Rosas 100.0% 162.5 0.0% 0.1%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alec Fleming 100% 1.4 38.5 31.6 15.0 7.1 3.7 1.8 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Hunter Boyer 100% 2.9 6.2 19.7 26.0 16.7 11.0 7.1 4.7 2.9 2.1 1.4 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Caleb Chapman 100% 8.5 0.3 2.2 6.2 8.9 9.2 9.7 9.4 9.0 8.0 6.6 6.0 5.0 3.8 3.2 2.8 2.0 1.9 1.4 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.3 100.0%
Adam Joseph 100% 33.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.9 1.3 1.5 1.4 1.8 1.7 2.2 2.5 2.7 2.6 100.0%
Dustin Hudak 100% 38.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.6 1.4 1.8 100.0%
Lucas Fontanez 100% 48.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.4 100.0%
Fernando Rosas 100% 61.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alec Fleming 100% 1.0 81.2 17.0 1.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Hunter Boyer 100% 1.5 15.6 70.5 10.8 2.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Caleb Chapman 100% 3.1 0.0 2.0 44.7 27.9 15.4 7.0 2.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Adam Joseph 100% 8.9 0.5 2.1 6.1 12.7 14.2 15.1 13.5 9.7 9.0 6.4 4.7 2.9 1.8 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Dustin Hudak 100% 10.2 0.2 0.9 2.7 6.7 10.2 12.7 14.1 11.5 10.8 9.3 8.0 5.6 3.8 2.1 1.0 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Lucas Fontanez 100% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.1 4.7 7.0 9.8 9.6 11.2 12.1 12.5 10.3 8.3 5.1 3.2 1.5 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Fernando Rosas 100% 16.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.9 3.5 4.8 6.6 9.6 11.5 13.0 14.0 11.7 8.0 5.4 3.2 2.2 1.3 0.9 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alec Fleming 1.0 81.8 16.6 1.5 0.1
Hunter Boyer 1.5 15.2 71.9 11.0 1.7 0.2
Caleb Chapman 2.9 0.1 2.4 51.2 33.3 11.9 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Adam Joseph 6.5 1.1 7.9 30.0 20.1 13.1 11.2 8.4 4.7 2.5 0.8 0.2
Dustin Hudak 7.6 0.3 3.3 15.9 21.5 15.7 13.9 13.4 8.6 4.7 2.2 0.5 0.1 0.0
Lucas Fontanez 10.0 0.0 0.4 2.1 6.9 14.6 12.5 13.9 17.0 13.2 12.8 4.9 1.4 0.4 0.0 0.0
Fernando Rosas 12.5 0.1 0.4 1.6 5.3 6.6 10.6 17.1 17.4 25.2 10.2 3.9 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0