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State Rank #23
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #5
New Prairie Regional Rank #2
Chesterton Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 19th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 2.5%
Advance to State Finals 76.1%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Jack Bransford Classic Harrison Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Duneland Athletic Conference Chesterton Sectional New Prairie Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/20 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 378 346 395 394 425 344 351 334 381 397
Team Adjusted Rating 325 395 394 425 344 351 334 381 397
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Jack Bransford Classic Harrison Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Duneland Athletic Conference Chesterton Sectional New Prairie Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
43  Antonio Chapa 12 16:17 16:21 16:18 16:17 16:27 16:20 16:03 16:10 16:19 16:29
80  Dillon Quinones 12 16:30 16:23 16:33 16:24 16:51 16:32 16:22 16:25 16:25 16:42
214  Kyle Gutierrez 9 17:01 17:18 17:07 17:13 17:10 16:46 17:02 16:50 17:04 16:56
340  Dylan Filla 10 17:19 17:19 17:17 17:36 17:47 17:21 17:01 17:18 17:10 17:06 17:43
360  Raul Cervantes 11 17:22 17:37 17:01 17:15 17:35 17:30 18:14 17:49 18:05 17:37 17:14
398  Nate Partin 11 17:26 17:36 17:03 17:31 17:11 17:25 17:23 17:19 17:40 17:52 17:27
512  Tommy Elwood 9 17:38 18:00 17:46 17:53 17:45 17:27 17:34 17:17 17:42 17:38
691  A.J. Malenky 12 17:54 18:06 17:47 18:06 17:46 17:53
1,272  Ricky Norgan 10 18:37 18:24 18:54 18:59 18:28 18:28
1,380  Matthew Zmija 10 18:45 18:48 18:39 19:01 18:32 18:54
1,555  Andrew Doctor 9 18:59 18:19 19:03 18:41 19:26 19:12
Kalisto Rosales 9 19:02 19:13 19:17 19:16 18:55 18:42
Stephan Sulivan 9 19:12 19:21 18:50 19:30 19:12 19:12




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 76.1% 17.3 420 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.7 2.6 3.8 5.0 6.5 7.0 7.8 8.2 8.5 8.3 6.6 4.5 2.3 0.8
Semi-State 100.0% 5.2 178 0.3 3.1 17.4 20.1 19.0 16.1 10.4 6.5 4.0 2.0 0.9 0.2 0.0
Regionals 100% 2.0 73 39.4 33.1 17.2 8.2 2.1 0.0 0.0
Sectionals 100% 2.0 65 38.8 34.1 17.9 7.7 1.6



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Antonio Chapa 96.7% 47.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.3 86.4% 95.9%
Dillon Quinones 83.5% 73.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 31.1% 71.1%
Kyle Gutierrez 76.1% 138.6 0.0% 1.9%
Dylan Filla 76.1% 165.1 0.0% 0.1%
Raul Cervantes 76.1% 168.5 0.0% 0.0%
Nate Partin 76.1% 174.5 0.0% 0.0%
Tommy Elwood 76.1% 186.1 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Antonio Chapa 100% 9.5 0.4 1.2 2.1 3.8 5.7 7.3 8.1 8.7 8.5 8.6 7.6 6.7 6.0 4.7 4.1 3.4 3.0 2.4 1.6 1.2 1.0 1.0 0.6 0.6 0.5 100.0% 100.0%
Dillon Quinones 100% 16.4 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.6 2.5 3.1 4.0 4.8 5.4 6.3 6.3 6.2 5.5 5.4 5.4 4.6 4.1 4.3 3.8 3.1 2.8 2.4 100.0% 100.0%
Kyle Gutierrez 100.0% 46.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.7 60.0% 99.6%
Dylan Filla 100.0% 66.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 88.4%
Raul Cervantes 100.0% 69.7 0.0% 83.8%
Nate Partin 100.0% 75.4 0.0% 73.7%
Tommy Elwood 100.0% 92.4 0.0% 37.3%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Antonio Chapa 100% 2.4 15.0 23.8 27.2 15.3 7.8 4.6 2.6 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Dillon Quinones 100% 5.0 0.8 3.9 10.5 18.4 15.9 12.5 10.0 7.8 6.2 5.0 3.4 2.3 1.4 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Kyle Gutierrez 100% 16.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.8 2.7 3.7 5.2 6.3 7.4 7.7 8.2 8.4 8.1 7.7 7.1 6.2 5.1 4.1 2.7 1.6 100.0%
Dylan Filla 100% 24.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.0 1.6 1.9 2.6 3.6 4.7 5.6 6.8 7.4 8.3 8.2 100.0%
Raul Cervantes 100% 25.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.2 1.9 2.9 3.4 4.1 5.9 6.2 7.5 7.5 100.0%
Nate Partin 100% 28.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.2 1.5 2.1 3.2 4.1 5.1 6.3 100.0%
Tommy Elwood 100% 36.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.1 99.2%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Antonio Chapa 2.3 14.8 25.0 30.2 15.2 6.8 3.7 2.2 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Dillon Quinones 4.5 1.0 4.1 11.3 23.2 19.4 11.9 9.5 7.3 4.9 3.4 1.8 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Kyle Gutierrez 13.9 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.6 2.4 3.8 6.4 7.4 9.0 9.7 9.7 10.4 9.3 8.6 7.1 5.3 3.4 1.9 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.3
Dylan Filla 20.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.9 1.2 1.9 3.3 4.3 5.7 8.0 9.0 9.8 10.2 8.8 7.9 6.6 5.1
Raul Cervantes 21.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.4 2.1 2.9 4.4 5.8 7.5 9.5 10.1 8.9 8.4 7.8 6.5
Nate Partin 23.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.8 1.4 2.1 2.8 4.4 6.1 7.5 9.0 9.1 8.2 8.4
Tommy Elwood 29.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.5 2.4 2.7 4.7 4.9