Northridge
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #45
New Haven Semi-State Rank #10
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #2
Elkhart Central Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 9th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 8.0%
Advance to Semi-State 99.5%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Huntington North Invitational Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash New Prairie Invitational New Haven Classic Northern Lakes Conference Elkhart Central Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/20 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 517 550 504 493 518 494 585 586 537
Team Adjusted Rating 493 504 493 518 494 534 586 537
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Huntington North Invitational Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash New Prairie Invitational New Haven Classic Northern Lakes Conference Elkhart Central Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State
189  Hunter Moore 12 16:56 17:08 16:58 17:02 16:53 16:53 16:55 16:52
270  Noah Detwiler 10 17:11 16:58 16:59 17:12 17:09 16:47 17:08 17:42 17:31
357  Austin Clark 11 17:21 17:09 17:12 17:10 17:24 17:21 17:32 17:26 17:26
431  Logan Riffell 12 17:31 18:01 17:38 17:30 17:18 17:51 17:38 17:37 17:15
448  Christian Kauffman 11 17:32 17:31 17:29 17:23 17:44 17:19 17:42 17:42
702  Jamison King 11 17:55 17:40 17:34 17:37 17:40 18:34 18:11 17:54 18:05
837  Blake Mawhorter 12 18:05 17:38 17:46 18:05 18:09 18:30
862  Jon Eichstadt 9 18:07 18:22 18:17 18:22 18:10 17:53 17:51
1,089  Jon Dugle 10 18:24 18:48 18:33 17:55 18:26
1,165  Nathan Williams 12 18:30 18:26 18:23 18:43 18:30
1,360  Shrey Patel 10 18:43 18:38 19:10 18:39 18:38
1,420  Zach Smaka 9 18:49 19:19 19:03 18:26 18:44
1,444  Tyler Overmyer 11 18:50 18:51 18:54 18:48 18:50
Justin Ayres 12 19:03 18:54 18:58 19:06 19:15 19:00
Michael Dugle 10 19:05 19:29 18:53
Alex Cranston 10 19:18 19:46 18:46 19:08 19:36




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 8.0% 22.7 537 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.2 2.1 3.4
Semi-State 99.5% 8.6 251 0.0 0.1 0.7 7.2 14.6 21.0 34.5 12.6 5.3 2.4 0.9 0.3 0.0
Regionals 100% 2.3 82 0.7 81.5 12.5 3.5 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.2 53 85.3 11.7 2.9 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hunter Moore 15.8% 113.5 8.5% 11.1%
Noah Detwiler 8.1% 137.7 0.2% 0.5%
Austin Clark 8.0% 153.3 0.0% 0.0%
Logan Riffell 8.0% 165.6 0.0% 0.0%
Christian Kauffman 8.0% 168.8 0.0% 0.0%
Jamison King 8.0% 190.3 0.0% 0.0%
Blake Mawhorter 8.0% 197.5 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hunter Moore 100.0% 40.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.0 94.1% 99.9%
Noah Detwiler 99.8% 58.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 54.9% 96.6%
Austin Clark 99.5% 75.7 7.8% 82.7%
Logan Riffell 99.5% 90.4 0.0% 57.7%
Christian Kauffman 99.5% 93.5 0.0% 51.4%
Jamison King 99.5% 124.1 0.0% 4.2%
Blake Mawhorter 99.5% 136.0 0.0% 0.4%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hunter Moore 100% 6.1 0.1 1.8 6.6 12.1 15.4 13.2 10.9 8.8 6.9 5.3 5.0 3.5 2.7 2.0 1.5 1.0 1.2 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Noah Detwiler 100% 12.7 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.5 4.0 4.7 6.0 6.3 6.9 7.0 6.9 6.7 6.0 5.7 5.4 5.0 4.8 4.1 3.3 2.8 2.8 2.2 1.3 1.3 100.0%
Austin Clark 100% 19.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.2 1.9 2.3 2.9 3.2 3.9 4.3 4.8 5.5 5.3 5.5 6.2 5.8 5.8 5.3 5.2 4.6 4.3 100.0%
Logan Riffell 100% 25.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.8 2.2 2.9 3.0 3.7 4.2 4.7 4.6 5.2 5.4 5.7 100.0%
Christian Kauffman 100% 26.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.1 1.6 2.0 2.7 3.0 3.7 3.9 4.2 4.6 5.4 5.3 100.0%
Jamison King 100% 41.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 99.9%
Blake Mawhorter 100% 48.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.5%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hunter Moore 2.6 17.1 23.8 15.6 12.9 9.2 7.1 5.7 3.8 2.3 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Noah Detwiler 7.3 0.6 2.8 6.4 7.7 8.7 10.1 10.5 10.7 10.9 9.8 7.9 6.0 3.8 2.1 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Austin Clark 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.4 2.3 3.7 4.9 6.2 8.0 9.9 11.7 13.3 12.1 9.3 7.0 3.9 2.3 1.4 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Logan Riffell 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.5 2.5 3.7 5.9 8.2 11.4 13.0 12.9 11.8 8.7 6.0 4.5 3.0 2.0 1.2 1.0 0.5 0.3
Christian Kauffman 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.2 1.9 2.8 4.3 7.0 9.5 12.0 14.0 12.3 10.3 6.9 5.4 3.7 2.8 2.1 1.1 1.0 0.4
Jamison King 22.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.2 3.9 5.2 6.4 7.8 8.4 9.6 10.4 10.5 11.0
Blake Mawhorter 26.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.6 2.1 3.4 4.2 5.6 8.3 10.2