Penn
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page

State Rank #12
New Haven Semi-State Rank #4
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #1
Riley Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 13th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 2.9%
Top 10 at State Finals 25.6%
Advance to State Finals 98.7%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Northern Indiana Conference Stomp Manchester Invitational Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Northern Indiana Conference Riley Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/20 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 307 436 440 446 466 365 410 381 359 294 316
Team Adjusted Rating 348 375 375 395 365 410 381 359 294 316
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Northern Indiana Conference Stomp Manchester Invitational Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Northern Indiana Conference Riley Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
35  Jonathan Harley 11 16:12 16:13 16:38 16:50 16:21 16:25 16:37 16:45 16:37 16:25 16:05
69  Colton Shail 11 16:26 16:49 16:58 16:43 16:47 16:11 16:32
123  Nick Scheel 12 16:41 17:10 17:02 16:59 17:20 16:59 17:06 17:02 17:05 16:50 16:33
199  Matthew Long 11 16:59 17:05 16:59 17:14 17:02 17:20 17:05 16:48 16:50 16:51
283  Chad Piatt 11 17:12 17:18 17:22 17:21 17:23 17:13 17:05 17:08 17:05 17:04 17:33
369  Reis Kennedy 12 17:23 17:27 17:44 17:37 17:39 17:11 17:20 17:07 17:19 17:28 17:31
385  Curtis Cornell 11 17:25 17:18 17:22 17:27 17:27 17:14 17:25 17:23 17:22 17:41 17:32
449  Chandler Neal 11 17:33 17:21 17:30 17:29 17:43 17:20 17:47
807  Nick Sergeant 10 18:03 18:11 18:13 18:04 17:57 17:51 18:12
1,235  David Obert 10 18:34 19:12 18:24 18:32 18:37 18:30 18:35
1,317  Noah Cocquyt 10 18:39 19:00 18:41 18:34 18:39 18:42 18:36
1,385  Vishal Patel 12 18:45 18:43 18:27 18:42 18:52 18:47 18:53
1,491  Tommy Rzeszutko 10 18:55 20:15 18:50 18:31 18:47 18:47 19:16
1,497  Spencer Blackmer 12 18:55 19:25 18:42 19:10 18:30 18:39 19:33
Zac Hall 12 19:09 18:43 19:02 19:09 19:24 19:18 19:07
Cohl Fox 9 19:31 21:36 19:40 19:41 19:34 18:50 19:25




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 98.7% 13.2 353 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.7 2.4 3.6 4.6 5.4 6.6 8.5 9.4 9.4 8.7 8.0 7.2 6.1 4.7 3.9 3.1 2.1 1.3 0.6 0.2
Semi-State 100% 4.0 121 0.1 8.5 23.7 31.2 30.1 5.2 1.1 0.2 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.0 26 99.3 0.7
Sectionals 100% 1.0 17 100.0 0.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jonathan Harley 99.9% 36.9 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.0 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.6 1.5 1.6 1.9 1.9 1.8 2.0 2.1 88.9% 99.3%
Colton Shail 99.1% 68.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 26.2% 89.7%
Nick Scheel 98.8% 104.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8% 51.5%
Matthew Long 98.7% 138.9 0.0% 7.8%
Chad Piatt 98.7% 159.5 0.0% 0.6%
Reis Kennedy 98.7% 173.6 0.0% 0.0%
Curtis Cornell 98.7% 175.7 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jonathan Harley 100% 10.7 0.6 1.3 2.3 3.4 4.7 5.7 6.1 6.6 7.0 7.3 7.5 6.6 6.5 6.0 5.4 4.8 4.1 3.1 2.6 2.0 1.6 1.4 1.1 0.8 0.6 100.0%
Colton Shail 100% 18.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.5 2.2 2.3 3.0 3.6 4.4 4.8 5.9 5.6 6.4 6.0 6.0 6.0 5.4 4.8 4.9 4.4 3.8 100.0%
Nick Scheel 100% 28.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.4 1.4 2.2 2.5 3.0 3.4 3.8 4.4 4.6 4.7 100.0%
Matthew Long 100% 43.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.7 99.7%
Chad Piatt 100% 61.4 0.0 95.1%
Reis Kennedy 100% 79.4 79.0%
Curtis Cornell 100% 82.0 73.8%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jonathan Harley 100% 1.0 90.9 8.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Colton Shail 100% 1.6 7.1 75.7 13.2 2.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Nick Scheel 100% 3.0 0.1 4.1 47.2 25.2 10.7 5.3 3.1 1.7 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Matthew Long 100% 7.1 0.9 9.5 15.1 12.8 10.7 10.1 7.9 7.0 5.4 4.7 3.5 3.2 2.3 1.9 1.5 1.0 0.9 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Chad Piatt 100% 13.8 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.9 4.5 5.1 5.8 5.9 6.3 5.7 6.2 7.1 6.5 5.8 5.9 5.0 4.4 3.7 3.2 3.0 2.2 2.1 1.6 100.0%
Reis Kennedy 100% 20.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.2 1.8 2.1 2.6 3.4 3.7 4.0 4.7 5.1 5.3 5.4 5.8 5.7 5.3 5.9 5.1 4.7 100.0%
Curtis Cornell 100% 21.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.5 1.5 2.1 2.4 3.1 3.7 4.1 4.5 4.4 5.1 5.8 5.8 5.7 4.9 5.2 5.1 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jonathan Harley 1.0 92.4 7.5 0.1
Colton Shail 1.5 7.5 86.3 6.2 0.1 0.0
Nick Scheel 2.5 0.1 6.1 88.5 4.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
Matthew Long 3.7 3.0 68.7 14.6 7.8 3.1 1.6 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Chad Piatt 5.7 0.0 5.1 31.8 18.2 15.3 10.8 7.2 4.3 3.0 1.8 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Reis Kennedy 8.7 0.2 3.9 10.5 12.4 13.1 13.4 10.9 9.0 7.3 6.0 4.5 3.7 2.1 1.4 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Curtis Cornell 9.4 0.1 2.7 7.5 10.2 11.3 13.3 10.8 10.6 8.6 7.2 5.2 4.2 3.0 2.2 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1