Carmel
Boys - Girls
2013 - 2014 - 2015
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State Rank #1
Carmel Semi-State Rank #1
Noblesville Regional Rank #1
Noblesville Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 1st place at State Finals
State Champion 94.8%
Top 5 at State Finals 100.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 100.0%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
5  Haley Harris 12 18:21
7  Kelsey Harris 12 18:32
11  Maddie Dalton 9 18:36
12  Stacy Morozov 11 18:36
22  Megan Kress 11 18:50
27  Sarah Leinheiser 10 18:53
34  Anna Schmitz 12 19:01
51  Christina Geisler 10 19:17
64  Rachel Anderson 10 19:24
74  Lucy Allan 12 19:30
86  Alyssa Easton 9 19:37
106  Diana Gorin 12 19:45
130  Kenzi Wilson 10 19:59
134  Samantha Miller 11 20:00
159  Sarah Kalthoff 12 20:08
186  Corrine Miller 9 20:17
199  Daphne Boom 10 20:20
Sharmistha Chakrabarti 12 20:41
Elizabeth Borlik 10 20:43
Claire Corvari 12 20:46
Emily Ashburn 10 20:47
Celia McGhiey 11 20:50
Anna Morozov 9 20:51
Anastasia Geisler 9 20:56
Ellison Willard 11 21:04
Sydney Foxworthy 9 21:04
Jena Arnett 9 21:06
Alex Feys 10 21:07
Christel Richard 12 21:15
Kaelyn Gilliam 9 21:16
Hannah Klineman 11 21:17
Hannah Blystone 12 21:19
Remi Meeker 10 21:27
Chandler Dykstra 11 21:29
Gabby Seal 10 21:31
Kristen Selvio 9 21:38
Brittany Langland 10 21:40
Cory Steele 9 22:46
DateRace Rating
08/23 Carmel Classic (5k)
08/30 Western Invitational 427
09/02 Hamilton County Meet 38
09/06 Mason Invitational 113
09/13 Eagle Classic 118
09/20 Trinity/Valkyrie Invitational 37
09/20 Trinity/Valkyrie Invitational (JV) 275
09/27 Culver Academies Invitational (Elite) 50
09/27 Metro Interscholastic Conference 207
09/27 Culver Academies Invitational (JV) 335
10/11 Noblesville Sectional 67
10/18 Noblesville Regional 149
10/25 Carmel Semi-State 77
11/01 State Finals 68
11/16 NXN Midwest 64
11/29 Foot Locker Midwest 66
12/06 NXN Finals




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 1.1 49 94.8 4.6 0.6 0.1 0.0
Semi-State 100% 1.0 36 95.9 4.1
Regionals 100% 1.0 22 100.0
Sectionals 100% 1.0 19 100.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Haley Harris 100% 5.6 0.2 9.6 12.2 11.6 10.9 8.9 7.7 6.2 5.3 4.5 3.7 3.3 2.7 2.0 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.0 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3 100.0%
Kelsey Harris 100% 10.6 0.0 1.8 3.2 5.2 5.3 6.4 6.8 5.9 6.5 5.4 5.5 5.0 4.6 4.4 3.8 3.6 3.1 3.1 2.6 2.3 1.9 1.6 1.6 1.3 1.3 100.0%
Maddie Dalton 100% 13.1 0.0 0.8 1.7 2.8 3.7 4.4 5.0 5.2 5.9 4.9 5.2 5.0 4.9 4.8 4.3 4.0 3.6 3.7 3.5 2.6 2.9 2.4 1.9 2.0 1.7 100.0%
Stacy Morozov 100% 13.3 0.0 0.7 1.8 2.6 3.3 4.2 4.9 5.5 5.1 5.2 5.1 5.1 4.9 4.5 4.2 4.4 3.8 3.6 3.2 2.8 2.9 2.3 2.2 1.8 1.8 100.0%
Megan Kress 100% 23.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.3 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.7 2.9 3.2 3.0 2.8 3.4 3.7 3.1 3.5 3.3 3.6 3.6 3.2 3.3 99.9%
Sarah Leinheiser 100% 27.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.5 1.7 1.9 2.0 2.3 2.4 3.0 3.1 3.0 2.9 2.9 3.3 3.3 2.9 3.3 99.7%
Anna Schmitz 100% 34.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.3 1.5 1.8 1.7 1.9 2.0 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.8 98.5%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Haley Harris 100% 2.9 13.5 19.1 19.3 15.2 10.8 7.4 5.4 3.5 1.9 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 100.0%
Kelsey Harris 100% 5.6 2.6 5.8 9.8 11.9 13.0 12.0 10.7 8.9 7.3 5.3 3.8 3.0 1.8 1.4 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Maddie Dalton 100% 6.8 1.5 3.3 6.1 8.5 10.7 11.6 10.8 10.3 8.9 7.3 5.7 4.5 3.2 2.3 1.7 1.2 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Stacy Morozov 100% 6.9 1.1 3.0 5.9 8.0 10.7 11.4 10.9 10.2 9.3 7.9 5.7 4.8 3.4 2.5 1.5 1.1 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Megan Kress 100% 11.5 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.2 2.4 3.4 4.7 6.6 8.2 8.6 9.6 9.6 8.5 7.2 6.1 5.4 4.1 3.0 2.7 2.1 1.3 1.2 0.8 0.8 0.5 100.0%
Sarah Leinheiser 100% 12.8 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.1 2.2 3.1 4.6 5.8 7.4 8.4 9.0 9.4 8.7 7.8 6.1 4.9 4.2 4.0 2.6 2.6 1.8 1.4 1.2 0.7 100.0%
Anna Schmitz 100% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.8 2.3 3.8 4.8 6.3 6.6 8.6 8.5 8.6 7.1 6.7 5.5 4.9 4.3 3.7 2.9 2.4 2.2 100.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Haley Harris 100% 1.3 42.6 25.4 15.5 8.7 4.0 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Kelsey Harris 100% 3.1 9.8 18.0 19.6 18.0 14.3 9.5 5.5 2.9 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Maddie Dalton 100% 4.1 4.9 10.7 15.3 17.6 17.2 13.9 10.0 5.1 2.8 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Stacy Morozov 100% 4.2 4.5 10.3 14.6 17.1 17.4 14.5 10.1 5.7 3.3 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Megan Kress 100% 7.1 0.3 1.3 2.7 4.9 9.0 13.2 17.1 17.1 13.5 9.6 5.0 3.1 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Sarah Leinheiser 100% 7.9 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.7 5.5 9.7 13.8 18.2 16.6 12.6 8.2 5.4 2.8 1.3 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Anna Schmitz 100% 9.4 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.9 3.7 7.2 11.7 17.3 19.3 13.7 10.0 6.4 3.7 2.0 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Haley Harris 1.1 47.8 27.3 13.4 6.5 3.2 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.1
Kelsey Harris 2.7 11.8 21.3 22.9 18.4 12.9 6.8 3.3 1.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
Maddie Dalton 3.6 5.7 13.4 18.9 21.0 18.2 11.2 6.6 2.9 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
Stacy Morozov 3.7 5.2 13.1 18.0 20.6 18.8 11.9 6.9 2.9 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Megan Kress 6.3 0.4 1.5 3.8 7.3 12.5 19.0 19.7 15.3 9.8 5.6 3.0 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
Sarah Leinheiser 7.0 0.1 0.8 1.9 4.3 8.3 14.9 18.9 19.2 13.9 8.7 5.0 2.6 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.1
Anna Schmitz 8.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.2 3.0 6.7 12.2 18.7 20.7 15.0 10.3 6.7 3.0 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.1