Valparaiso
Boys - Girls
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page

State Rank #18
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #4
New Prairie Regional Rank #1
Chesterton Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 17th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 6.6%
Advance to State Finals 99.6%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
50  Logan Ferngren 9 19:17
100  Elena Kipp 9 19:42
160  Alena Tonne 11 20:08
191  Natalie Gruszka 11 20:18
260  Alison Mundell 12 20:37
Sydnye Nosbusch 11 20:46
Morgan Murphy 9 21:12
Ellie Joll 11 21:43
Shelby Kucharyski 11 21:56
DateRace Rating
08/30 Rudy Skorupa Invitational 218
09/06 Lyon's Pride Invitational
09/13 Wildcat Classic 289
09/20 New Prairie Invitational (AAA) 365
10/04 Duneland Athletic Conference 315
10/11 Chesterton Sectional 292
10/18 New Prairie Regional 350
10/25 New Prairie Semi-State 303
11/01 State Finals 313




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 99.6% 16.2 408 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.1 1.9 2.7 3.9 5.3 6.7 8.4 10.5 11.2 11.7 9.6 7.2 6.7 4.4 3.8 2.3 1.4
Semi-State 100% 3.8 116 0.4 11.7 25.9 37.5 18.4 5.7 0.4 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.4 38 67.1 26.8 5.8 0.3
Sectionals 100% 1.4 38 66.8 26.6 6.3 0.3 0.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Logan Ferngren 100% 52.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.8 100.0% 100.0%
Elena Kipp 99.8% 88.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 55.3% 97.7%
Alena Tonne 99.6% 124.1 0.0% 67.6%
Natalie Gruszka 99.6% 137.7 0.0% 44.8%
Alison Mundell 99.6% 162.2 0.0% 9.7%
Sydnye Nosbusch 99.6% 172.3 0.0% 3.3%
Morgan Murphy 99.6% 192.6 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Logan Ferngren 100% 4.7 1.1 4.3 16.0 17.4 15.2 11.9 10.2 7.4 5.5 3.4 2.5 1.7 1.2 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Elena Kipp 100% 11.6 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.3 4.0 5.4 6.9 8.0 8.7 8.3 7.9 7.0 5.9 5.3 4.2 3.6 3.1 2.8 2.0 1.9 1.6 1.5 1.1 1.0 100.0%
Alena Tonne 100% 25.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.4 1.7 2.6 2.7 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.2 3.3 3.6 3.3 3.7 3.4 3.6 3.4 100.0%
Natalie Gruszka 100% 33.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.1 1.2 1.5 1.8 2.0 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.5 2.6 2.5 100.0%
Alison Mundell 100% 52.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5 100.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Logan Ferngren 100% 1.0 52.8 28.5 15.7 2.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Elena Kipp 100% 3.3 1.5 11.9 23.7 40.2 11.8 5.8 2.4 1.2 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Alena Tonne 100% 6.6 0.1 1.2 5.1 20.1 16.1 12.7 10.3 7.7 6.0 4.6 4.0 3.0 2.4 1.7 1.5 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Natalie Gruszka 100% 9.3 0.0 0.2 1.3 6.6 10.3 10.1 10.4 8.4 8.4 7.6 6.4 6.1 5.0 4.1 3.2 2.8 2.3 1.7 1.5 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.3 100.0%
Alison Mundell 100% 16.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.7 2.5 3.6 4.1 4.8 5.3 5.4 5.5 6.0 6.4 6.1 6.7 5.4 5.6 5.2 4.2 3.8 3.6 2.5 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Logan Ferngren 1.0 53.5 27.9 15.7 2.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Elena Kipp 3.3 1.5 11.7 24.1 42.4 10.9 4.8 2.4 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Alena Tonne 6.3 0.2 1.2 5.5 22.2 16.3 13.8 10.7 8.0 5.9 4.5 3.4 2.4 1.8 1.4 1.0 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Natalie Gruszka 8.7 0.0 0.1 1.1 7.4 12.2 10.7 11.8 10.1 8.4 7.3 6.5 5.7 4.5 3.6 2.9 2.2 1.7 1.3 0.9 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1
Alison Mundell 15.1 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.5 3.2 4.7 4.9 5.7 6.2 6.4 7.3 6.8 7.6 6.6 6.8 6.1 5.3 4.4 3.6 2.6 2.2 1.5