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2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #4
New Haven Semi-State Rank #2
West Noble Regional Rank #2
Northrop Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 4th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 80.4%
Top 10 at State Finals 98.8%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Huntington North Invitational Marion Invitational Bruin Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Invitational Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/20 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 168 123 162 214 198 212 205 222 176 149
Team Adjusted Rating 123 162 214 198 212 205 207 176 149
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Huntington North Invitational Marion Invitational Bruin Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Invitational Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
11  Madison Distelrath 12 18:31 18:30 18:30 18:51 18:51 18:55 19:15 18:41 19:12 18:23
13  Katherine Walther 9 18:34 19:05 19:03 19:05 18:58 19:13 19:00 19:23 19:02 18:26
87  Kelsey Batt 12 19:36 18:52 19:36 20:12 20:06 19:46 19:43 19:29 19:19 19:34
99  Julia Eifert 11 19:43 20:08 19:27 19:41 19:43 19:54 19:41 20:08 20:01 19:34
105  Julia Dvorak 9 19:45 20:36 20:36 20:24 20:27 19:52 19:34 19:37
117  Saige Norris 11 19:49 19:19 19:34 19:48 19:42 19:51 20:04 20:08 19:40 19:55
136  Evie Bultemeyer 12 19:55 19:21 19:47 20:14 19:54 19:51 19:51 20:16
222  Izabella Henschen 10 20:24 20:05 20:13 20:29 20:46
235  Skylar Kiess 9 20:28 21:01 20:36 20:24 20:23 20:10
290  Hannah Johanningsmeier 12 20:38 20:54 20:54 20:32 20:01 20:29 21:03
300  Rhyah Jones 9 20:38 20:59 20:42 20:29 20:30
318  Jie-Ling Arata 11 20:41 21:02 20:22 20:42 20:48
352  Abby Smith 10 20:48 20:35 20:58 20:39 20:57
661  Chalaina Saine 10 21:50 22:23 21:41 21:22 22:04
753  Rhylee Jones 9 22:05 22:14 22:22 21:40 22:06
788  Kaitlyn Mueller 10 22:11 22:30 21:51 22:15
791  Kara Davis 10 22:12 22:12 22:26 22:09 22:05
851  Holly Kiess 12 22:21 22:27 22:25 22:12
966  Elizabeth Swink 12 22:33 21:56 22:35 22:56
1,001  Angelina Sedlaczek 9 22:37 22:38 22:36
1,029  Emily Mclaughlin 9 22:41 22:33 22:40 22:27 23:05
1,249  Sarah Carter 12 23:11 23:11
1,406  Grace McGuire 10 23:29 23:19 23:15 23:58
Chloe Johnson 9 23:31 23:02 23:43 23:40
Haley Vogelsong 12 23:34 23:05 23:38 23:52
Aneka Moore 9 23:37 23:44 23:21 23:45




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 4.3 197 0.0 10.9 25.0 30.0 14.6 8.1 4.7 2.8 1.7 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 100% 1.9 74 17.0 75.3 7.7 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.8 52 16.8 83.3
Sectionals 100% 1.8 42 16.2 83.8



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Madison Distelrath 100% 11.9 0.4 1.2 2.5 3.5 4.4 5.0 5.4 5.6 5.6 5.8 5.5 5.4 4.7 4.7 4.2 3.9 3.8 3.4 3.1 2.6 2.2 1.9 1.8 1.4 1.6 100.0%
Katherine Walther 100% 13.5 0.2 1.1 1.7 2.7 3.6 4.2 4.6 4.7 5.2 5.0 4.8 5.0 5.0 4.6 4.8 4.2 4.1 3.4 3.6 3.1 2.9 2.5 2.2 2.1 1.8 100.0%
Kelsey Batt 100% 83.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 55.1%
Julia Eifert 100% 93.5 0.0 0.0 39.5%
Julia Dvorak 100% 98.4 0.0 0.0 33.7%
Saige Norris 100% 103.9 26.0%
Evie Bultemeyer 100% 112.8 16.3%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Madison Distelrath 100% 4.2 1.2 8.5 17.2 19.7 17.7 13.8 8.9 5.8 3.3 1.9 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Katherine Walther 100% 4.7 0.8 6.1 13.2 17.8 18.1 15.8 10.9 7.2 4.5 2.5 1.6 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Kelsey Batt 100% 22.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.6 2.3 3.2 4.1 4.5 4.7 5.1 5.0 5.4 4.5 5.0 4.6 4.8 4.5 100.0%
Julia Eifert 100% 26.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.2 1.6 1.9 2.4 2.8 3.2 3.6 3.7 4.1 4.1 4.3 4.2 4.5 100.0%
Julia Dvorak 100% 28.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.6 1.8 2.4 3.0 2.9 3.1 3.1 3.6 3.9 3.8 4.2 100.0%
Saige Norris 100% 30.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.4 1.7 2.0 2.2 2.6 2.9 3.1 3.6 3.9 100.0%
Evie Bultemeyer 100% 34.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.5 1.3 2.0 1.7 2.3 2.6 99.9%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Madison Distelrath 100% 3.9 1.1 9.4 18.7 22.6 22.2 14.9 6.9 2.6 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Katherine Walther 100% 4.2 0.9 6.7 14.9 22.2 22.5 18.4 7.7 4.2 1.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Kelsey Batt 100% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.3 4.5 7.3 9.1 10.2 10.6 10.0 8.9 7.9 6.6 5.5 4.4 3.4 2.7 2.1 1.5 0.8 100.0%
Julia Eifert 100% 16.5 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 2.0 3.9 5.5 6.8 8.5 8.4 9.1 8.5 8.4 8.0 6.9 6.2 4.8 4.4 2.9 2.3 100.0%
Julia Dvorak 100% 17.4 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.7 2.4 4.1 5.6 6.8 7.7 8.4 8.6 8.9 8.2 7.3 7.2 6.3 5.2 4.6 2.9 100.0%
Saige Norris 100% 18.9 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.7 2.6 3.5 4.6 5.6 6.9 7.9 7.9 8.9 9.3 8.1 8.0 7.5 5.8 4.8 100.0%
Evie Bultemeyer 100% 20.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.2 1.6 2.5 3.3 4.5 5.6 6.4 7.8 8.7 8.9 9.0 9.4 9.2 8.6 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Madison Distelrath 2.5 11.0 24.1 31.4 21.8 7.3 3.1 1.0 0.2 0.1
Katherine Walther 2.8 7.4 19.6 29.6 26.1 10.4 4.6 1.8 0.5 0.1 0.0
Kelsey Batt 10.7 0.1 0.5 1.3 3.0 6.0 13.2 15.6 15.2 12.2 9.4 7.9 5.5 4.2 2.8 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0
Julia Eifert 12.3 0.1 0.4 1.0 3.3 6.8 10.4 12.2 12.2 12.2 10.5 8.2 7.6 5.8 4.5 2.8 1.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
Julia Dvorak 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.9 4.8 7.7 10.3 11.7 11.4 10.8 10.2 8.3 7.6 6.2 4.3 2.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0
Saige Norris 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 3.2 5.1 6.9 9.2 10.6 11.4 11.1 10.9 9.2 8.1 6.3 4.6 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.1
Evie Bultemeyer 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.0 2.3 3.9 5.4 7.5 9.9 11.0 11.1 11.6 11.0 11.5 8.8 2.9 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1