Castle
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #184
Brown County Semi-State Rank #43
Pike Central Regional Rank #10
Mater Dei Sectional Rank #10
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Sectionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 8.4%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Indiana/Kentucky Border Clash Dennis Bays Warrior Invitational Alan Hopewell Class Invitational THSB State Preview Mater Dei Invitational South Knox Invitational Pike Central Invitational Southern Indiana Athletic Conference Mater Dei Sectional Pike Central Regional Brown County Semi-State
Date 8/23 8/27 9/1 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 1,318 1,348 1,326 1,236 1,238 1,272
Team Adjusted Rating 1,348 1,326 1,236 1,238 1,272
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Indiana/Kentucky Border Clash Dennis Bays Warrior Invitational Alan Hopewell Class Invitational THSB State Preview Mater Dei Invitational South Knox Invitational Pike Central Invitational Southern Indiana Athletic Conference Mater Dei Sectional Pike Central Regional Brown County Semi-State
951  Renee Noland 12 22:31 21:43 21:41 22:29 22:38 22:52 23:17 22:36 22:20 22:46
965  Shelby Luker 9 22:33 23:27 22:39 23:12 22:31 22:26 22:27 22:03 22:54
Tori Warren 12 23:40 24:14 24:03 24:26 24:03 23:03 24:40 23:50 23:01 23:16 23:20
Heidi Noland 10 24:38 25:23 26:05 24:12 24:35 24:56 26:29 24:17 23:47 24:18
Megan Werne 12 25:22 26:11 25:17 28:05 25:34 25:06 24:26 25:10 25:24
Grace Oeding 11 25:29
Hope Oeding 9 25:47 26:27 25:14 25:47 26:17 25:21 26:22 25:17 26:01
Lauren Marsch 11 26:29 27:13 26:17 27:16 26:20 25:55
Adele Hemmerlein 11 26:38 26:49 26:37 27:02 26:16
Allison Long 12 27:14 27:04 28:57 26:39 26:50 27:35 27:51 28:28 25:47 26:25 28:04
Katy Quarcelino 11 27:17 27:42 27:30 27:40 27:09 26:49 29:00 26:20




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 8.4% 7.4 195 0.0 5.5 2.3 0.6 0.1
Sectionals 100% 6.5 156 0.0 8.4 29.8 61.8



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.




Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Renee Noland 25.3% 122.5 25.3% 25.3%
Shelby Luker 22.9% 122.8 22.9% 22.9%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Renee Noland 100% 31.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.5 100.0% 100.0%
Shelby Luker 100% 32.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.2 100.0% 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Renee Noland 21.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.8 4.3 6.5 9.5 10.9 13.2 14.2 14.7 13.1 8.4
Shelby Luker 21.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.8 6.2 8.4 10.6 12.8 14.8 15.5 13.5 9.5