Providence
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #157
Brown County Semi-State Rank #31
Crawford County Regional Rank #9
Crawford County Sectional Rank #9
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Sectionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 43.4%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Bulldog Classic St. Xavier Run Columbus North Invite Indiana All-Catholic Championship Crawford County Invitational Silver Creek Invitational Duke Meyer Classic Providence Invitational Greater Louisville Classic Crawford County Sectional Crawford County Regional Brown County Semi-State
Date 8/20 8/27 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/20 9/24 9/27 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 1,199 1,149 1,196
Team Adjusted Rating 1,149 1,196
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Bulldog Classic St. Xavier Run Columbus North Invite Indiana All-Catholic Championship Crawford County Invitational Silver Creek Invitational Duke Meyer Classic Providence Invitational Greater Louisville Classic Crawford County Sectional Crawford County Regional Brown County Semi-State
155  Bayley Wade 12 20:01 19:24 19:15 20:04 19:51 20:08 19:56 20:23 NEI NEI 20:15 20:38
440  Natalie Boesing 9 21:08 21:59 21:24 21:04 NEI NEI 21:04 20:53 20:49
Kaylee Kaiser 9 23:44 23:19 24:08
Caitlyn Freville 12 24:34 24:28 24:06 24:27 25:03 24:47 24:35
Emma Flispart 11 28:52 28:13 27:02 27:17 30:03 NEI 30:04 30:16




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 43.4% 7.9 194 0.1 14.5 17.6 10.4 0.9
Sectionals 100% 5.6 153 0.1 43.4 54.4 2.1 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Bayley Wade 31.2% 110.8 31.2% 31.2%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Bayley Wade 100% 27.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.3 1.8 2.1 2.5 2.6 3.6 4.4 4.8 5.5 5.8 100.0% 100.0%
Natalie Boesing 99.1% 69.2 99.1% 99.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Bayley Wade 100% 5.7 0.5 2.4 5.6 14.1 16.9 16.1 13.5 10.4 8.6 6.1 3.5 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Natalie Boesing 100% 17.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 2.5 4.2 6.6 9.2 11.7 13.1 12.4 11.6 8.7 7.0 5.3 3.2 1.8 0.8 100.0% 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Bayley Wade 4.8 0.5 2.9 6.5 19.6 27.0 16.2 12.4 11.1 3.1 0.6 0.1
Natalie Boesing 11.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 5.2 12.8 29.9 32.5 12.6 4.4 1.2 0.2 0.1 0.0