All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Northern Indiana Conf. Stomp |
Penn Invitational |
Marion Invitational |
Manchester Invitational |
Minuteman Classic |
New Prairie Invitational |
Dana Homo Invite |
New Haven Invitational |
NLC / NIC |
Riley Sectional |
Elkhart Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/20 |
8/27 |
9/3 |
9/3 |
9/10 |
9/17 |
9/20 |
9/24 |
10/1 |
10/8 |
10/15 |
10/22 |
10/29 |
| Team Rating |
249 | |
396 |
347 |
298 |
912 |
339 |
285 |
1,205 |
281 |
301 |
463 |
310 |
260 |
234 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
336 |
296 |
298 |
249 |
339 |
285 |
249 |
281 |
301 |
309 |
299 |
260 |
234 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Northern Indiana Conf. Stomp |
Penn Invitational |
Marion Invitational |
Manchester Invitational |
Minuteman Classic |
New Prairie Invitational |
Dana Homo Invite |
New Haven Invitational |
NLC / NIC |
Riley Sectional |
Elkhart Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 23 |
Mary Eubank |
11 |
18:48 |
18:45 |
19:35 |
19:30 |
19:03 |
|
19:45 |
18:42 |
|
19:05 |
19:16 |
19:50 |
19:12 |
18:38 |
18:41 |
| 61 |
Julia Economou |
12 |
19:31 |
19:42 |
|
|
20:35 |
|
20:04 |
19:47 |
|
19:35 |
19:39 |
|
19:45 |
19:39 |
19:23 |
| 80 |
Ellie Stabnik |
11 |
19:38 |
19:10 |
19:54 |
20:16 |
19:36 |
|
19:55 |
19:38 |
|
20:06 |
20:02 |
|
20:13 |
19:57 |
19:30 |
| 179 |
Morgan Collins |
12 |
20:14 |
22:04 |
21:33 |
|
20:49 |
|
21:09 |
20:41 |
|
20:24 |
20:42 |
20:54 |
|
20:18 |
20:05 |
| 204 |
Ari Balinnang |
9 |
20:22 |
|
20:49 |
20:19 |
20:22 |
|
20:40 |
20:30 |
|
20:14 |
20:16 |
|
20:29 |
20:11 |
20:30 |
| 288 |
Belle Rebolloso |
9 |
20:41 |
|
20:50 |
20:36 |
20:28 |
|
20:27 |
|
|
20:32 |
20:40 |
20:43 |
20:30 |
|
21:40 |
| 293 |
Aubrey Morgan |
10 |
20:42 |
21:17 |
20:46 |
20:22 |
20:23 |
|
20:40 |
20:46 |
|
21:10 |
21:15 |
20:51 |
|
20:34 |
20:34 |
| 384 |
Gabby Smith |
9 |
21:07 |
|
21:21 |
21:23 |
20:52 |
|
21:04 |
20:54 |
|
21:04 |
21:12 |
21:16 |
21:06 |
|
|
| 500 |
Abby Stevens |
12 |
21:27 |
20:50 |
21:41 |
21:33 |
|
|
22:30 |
21:13 |
|
21:53 |
21:21 |
20:58 |
22:02 |
21:38 |
|
| 692 |
Macey Gableman |
9 |
21:59 |
|
22:21 |
22:26 |
|
21:51 |
21:51 |
22:08 |
|
21:49 |
21:49 |
21:58 |
|
|
|
| 704 |
Noralee Moock |
11 |
22:01 |
22:50 |
21:43 |
21:43 |
22:10 |
|
21:57 |
22:10 |
|
22:05 |
22:08 |
|
|
|
|
| 734 |
Kaylie Hanyzewski |
11 |
22:05 |
21:27 |
|
22:12 |
|
22:01 |
22:59 |
21:46 |
|
21:35 |
22:16 |
|
|
|
|
| 741 |
Yazmine Juarez |
11 |
22:06 |
22:58 |
|
21:52 |
21:27 |
|
21:51 |
|
|
22:28 |
22:37 |
|
|
|
|
| 841 |
Kassidy Pentelow |
11 |
22:22 |
22:27 |
21:42 |
21:41 |
22:26 |
|
|
|
|
26:58 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 927 |
Sia Grewal |
11 |
22:33 |
22:44 |
|
22:52 |
|
22:25 |
22:34 |
22:17 |
|
22:49 |
22:28 |
|
|
|
|
| 932 |
Morgan Pfeiffer |
10 |
22:33 |
|
23:00 |
22:43 |
|
21:52 |
22:51 |
22:29 |
|
22:31 |
22:30 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,154 |
Luna Liu |
10 |
23:02 |
23:36 |
|
23:35 |
|
22:58 |
23:06 |
22:46 |
22:40 |
23:03 |
23:17 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,191 |
Evelyn Clyde |
12 |
23:06 |
|
|
24:23 |
|
|
22:59 |
23:11 |
23:32 |
22:39 |
22:47 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,244 |
Katelyn Van Luchene |
10 |
23:15 |
|
|
|
|
22:51 |
23:04 |
23:13 |
23:32 |
23:29 |
23:18 |
|
|
|
|
|
Sobia Ahmed |
12 |
23:48 |
23:16 |
|
|
|
24:07 |
23:46 |
23:49 |
23:05 |
23:49 |
24:13 |
|
|
|
|
|
Amelia Little |
10 |
23:48 |
23:55 |
|
24:12 |
|
24:08 |
23:46 |
23:35 |
23:05 |
23:43 |
24:22 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ella Bailey |
10 |
23:48 |
|
|
|
|
23:09 |
22:56 |
|
24:05 |
23:46 |
24:52 |
|
|
|
|
|
Maycie Cummings |
11 |
24:12 |
22:06 |
|
|
|
23:16 |
|
|
24:28 |
24:28 |
|
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
97.8% |
9.0 |
291 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
1.4 |
4.1 |
8.3 |
11.6 |
12.2 |
11.6 |
9.9 |
8.4 |
7.8 |
6.1 |
4.9 |
3.8 |
2.8 |
1.9 |
1.3 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
3.2 |
105 |
10.6 |
24.1 |
26.8 |
19.7 |
11.5 |
5.1 |
2.0 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
1.1 |
30 |
95.0 |
5.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.0 |
20 |
100.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Mary Eubank |
100% |
23.8 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
2.3 |
2.9 |
3.5 |
3.9 |
4.2 |
4.6 |
4.9 |
5.0 |
4.5 |
5.1 |
4.5 |
4.3 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Julia Economou |
99.2% |
65.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
62.3% |
94.3% |
| Ellie Stabnik |
98.6% |
75.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
36.3% |
87.4% |
| Morgan Collins |
97.8% |
128.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
15.0% |
| Ari Balinnang |
97.8% |
137.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
5.8% |
| Belle Rebolloso |
97.8% |
159.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.3% |
| Aubrey Morgan |
97.8% |
160.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.4% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Mary Eubank |
100% |
5.0 |
|
0.2 |
8.6 |
17.6 |
22.9 |
16.2 |
13.0 |
9.7 |
5.0 |
3.0 |
1.8 |
1.1 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Julia Economou |
100% |
14.8 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
2.4 |
3.6 |
5.1 |
6.8 |
7.6 |
8.2 |
7.8 |
7.8 |
7.3 |
6.8 |
6.2 |
4.7 |
4.2 |
3.6 |
3.2 |
2.7 |
2.0 |
1.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Ellie Stabnik |
100% |
17.7 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
1.5 |
2.5 |
3.6 |
4.7 |
5.6 |
6.3 |
6.5 |
6.9 |
6.7 |
6.5 |
6.4 |
5.7 |
5.3 |
4.6 |
4.0 |
3.8 |
2.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Morgan Collins |
100% |
38.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
2.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Ari Balinnang |
100% |
46.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Belle Rebolloso |
100% |
64.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
98.9% |
| Aubrey Morgan |
100% |
66.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
98.4% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Mary Eubank |
100% |
1.0 |
81.5 |
16.5 |
1.6 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Julia Economou |
100% |
3.5 |
0.1 |
11.5 |
27.2 |
21.8 |
19.0 |
12.1 |
5.1 |
2.0 |
0.9 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Ellie Stabnik |
100% |
4.5 |
0.0 |
4.5 |
14.3 |
21.4 |
20.4 |
20.3 |
10.5 |
5.0 |
2.2 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Morgan Collins |
100% |
10.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
1.0 |
2.3 |
7.4 |
11.0 |
13.2 |
15.0 |
15.1 |
12.8 |
9.7 |
5.8 |
3.4 |
1.6 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Ari Balinnang |
100% |
11.7 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
2.6 |
5.1 |
8.0 |
9.9 |
13.2 |
14.8 |
14.8 |
12.0 |
8.2 |
4.9 |
2.7 |
1.5 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Belle Rebolloso |
100% |
15.5 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.5 |
2.6 |
4.8 |
7.6 |
11.1 |
13.7 |
15.1 |
12.7 |
9.7 |
6.2 |
4.6 |
3.1 |
2.0 |
1.5 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Aubrey Morgan |
100% |
15.9 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.2 |
1.8 |
4.0 |
6.5 |
10.0 |
13.6 |
14.1 |
13.8 |
10.6 |
7.3 |
5.1 |
3.3 |
2.5 |
1.5 |
1.2 |
0.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Mary Eubank |
1.0 |
99.7 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Julia Economou |
1.8 |
0.2 |
61.5 |
29.6 |
6.7 |
1.7 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Ellie Stabnik |
2.4 |
0.0 |
27.7 |
50.5 |
14.8 |
5.3 |
1.4 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Morgan Collins |
5.8 |
|
0.0 |
0.5 |
11.1 |
18.5 |
23.6 |
22.3 |
15.2 |
6.6 |
1.8 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Ari Balinnang |
7.0 |
|
|
0.1 |
3.5 |
9.0 |
15.6 |
21.8 |
23.6 |
16.7 |
6.8 |
2.2 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Belle Rebolloso |
9.5 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.6 |
1.6 |
4.2 |
9.8 |
19.7 |
28.1 |
23.6 |
7.8 |
2.6 |
1.3 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Aubrey Morgan |
9.7 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.5 |
3.4 |
8.9 |
17.8 |
27.6 |
26.5 |
8.3 |
3.5 |
1.1 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
