Pre-tourney Rankings
Louisville
Big East
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.1#19
Expected Predictive Rating+14.0#16
Pace69.9#113
Improvement-0.2#180

Offense
Total Offense+1.8#123
Improvement-2.9#300

Defense
Total Defense+11.3#1
Improvement+2.7#57
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.2% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 55.7% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 99.9% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 4.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round69.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen37.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight14.0% n/a n/a
Final Four5.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game2.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.7% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 4 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 334   Tennessee Martin W 83-48 99%     1 - 0 +17.1 -2.7 +18.7
  Nov 13, 2011 102   Lamar W 68-48 86%     2 - 0 +21.3 -5.7 +26.8
  Nov 19, 2011 129   @ Butler W 69-53 75%     3 - 0 +22.0 +8.5 +14.7
  Nov 22, 2011 193   Arkansas St. W 54-27 94%     4 - 0 +21.9 -17.0 +41.8
  Nov 25, 2011 71   Ohio W 59-54 82%     5 - 0 +8.4 +3.5 +6.1
  Nov 28, 2011 39   Long Beach St. W 79-66 73%     6 - 0 +19.6 +7.7 +11.7
  Dec 02, 2011 13   Vanderbilt W 62-60 OT 60%     7 - 0 +12.6 -3.7 +16.4
  Dec 07, 2011 194   IUPUI W 90-60 95%     8 - 0 +24.8 +10.1 +14.7
  Dec 10, 2011 337   Fairleigh Dickinson W 80-58 99%     9 - 0 +3.1 +1.9 +1.5
  Dec 17, 2011 10   Memphis W 95-87 56%     10 - 0 +19.7 +8.8 +9.3
  Dec 20, 2011 168   College of Charleston W 69-62 93%     11 - 0 +3.5 -5.1 +8.5
  Dec 23, 2011 188   Western Kentucky W 70-60 94%     12 - 0 +5.1 -3.5 +8.6
  Dec 28, 2011 17   Georgetown L 68-71 61%     12 - 1 0 - 1 +7.2 +5.6 +1.4
  Dec 31, 2011 1   @ Kentucky L 62-69 15%     12 - 2 +17.3 -9.0 +27.3
  Jan 03, 2012 146   @ St. John's W 73-58 78%     13 - 2 1 - 1 +19.9 -3.1 +21.8
  Jan 07, 2012 40   Notre Dame L 65-67 2OT 74%     13 - 3 1 - 2 +4.5 -7.4 +12.0
  Jan 10, 2012 121   @ Providence L 59-90 73%     13 - 4 1 - 3 -24.4 -12.7 -12.2
  Jan 14, 2012 156   DePaul W 76-59 92%     14 - 4 2 - 3 +14.6 -2.3 +16.7
  Jan 16, 2012 18   @ Marquette L 63-74 35%     14 - 5 2 - 4 +6.0 -4.5 +11.0
  Jan 21, 2012 68   @ Pittsburgh W 73-62 60%     15 - 5 3 - 4 +21.5 +6.1 +16.0
  Jan 25, 2012 83   Villanova W 84-74 84%     16 - 5 4 - 4 +12.5 +8.0 +4.1
  Jan 28, 2012 44   @ Seton Hall W 60-51 53%     17 - 5 5 - 4 +21.2 -8.6 +29.3
  Feb 04, 2012 117   Rutgers W 78-66 88%     18 - 5 6 - 4 +12.1 +6.5 +5.5
  Feb 06, 2012 36   Connecticut W 80-59 72%     19 - 5 7 - 4 +28.0 +6.2 +20.8
  Feb 11, 2012 37   @ West Virginia W 77-74 47%     20 - 5 8 - 4 +16.8 +15.3 +1.7
  Feb 13, 2012 7   Syracuse L 51-52 47%     20 - 6 8 - 5 +12.8 -4.9 +17.4
  Feb 18, 2012 156   @ DePaul W 90-82 OT 80%     21 - 6 9 - 5 +12.4 +5.4 +6.0
  Feb 23, 2012 33   @ Cincinnati L 56-60 46%     21 - 7 9 - 6 +10.1 -4.5 +14.3
  Feb 26, 2012 68   Pittsburgh W 57-54 81%     22 - 7 10 - 6 +6.7 -12.7 +19.7
  Feb 29, 2012 55   South Florida L 51-58 79%     22 - 8 10 - 7 -2.3 -11.0 +8.1
  Mar 03, 2012 7   @ Syracuse L 49-58 24%     22 - 9 10 - 8 +11.6 -7.9 +18.4
  Mar 07, 2012 44   Seton Hall W 61-55 66%     23 - 9 +14.8 -7.1 +21.8
  Mar 08, 2012 18   Marquette W 84-71 48%     24 - 9 +26.6 +2.3 +21.8
  Mar 09, 2012 40   Notre Dame W 64-50 62%     25 - 9 +23.9 +8.4 +18.3
  Mar 10, 2012 33   Cincinnati W 50-44 59%     26 - 9 +16.7 -8.7 +26.4
Projected Record 26.0 - 9.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 4.3 0.2 14.1 41.4 40.0 4.3 0.1
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 4.3 0.2 14.1 41.4 40.0 4.3 0.1