Pre-tourney Rankings
Syracuse
Big East
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+17.2#7
Expected Predictive Rating+22.2#2
Pace68.5#139
Improvement-4.3#314

Offense
Total Offense+8.5#19
Improvement-2.7#294

Defense
Total Defense+8.7#10
Improvement-1.6#246
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 22.5% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 77.3% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 99.7% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 1.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round93.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen68.8% n/a n/a
Elite Eight46.2% n/a n/a
Final Four26.5% n/a n/a
Championship Game13.2% n/a n/a
National Champion6.6% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 1 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2011 265   Fordham W 78-53 98%     1 - 0 +15.6 -1.3 +15.6
  Nov 14, 2011 127   Manhattan W 92-56 94%     2 - 0 +35.2 +7.4 +22.8
  Nov 15, 2011 202   Albany W 98-74 97%     3 - 0 +18.6 +10.1 +6.7
  Nov 19, 2011 321   Colgate W 92-47 99%     4 - 0 +29.3 +6.2 +21.9
  Nov 23, 2011 80   Virginia Tech W 69-58 85%     5 - 0 +17.1 +10.2 +8.6
  Nov 25, 2011 64   Stanford W 69-63 82%     6 - 0 +13.4 -1.4 +14.5
  Nov 29, 2011 250   Eastern Michigan W 84-48 98%     7 - 0 +27.4 +26.5 +6.9
  Dec 02, 2011 16   Florida W 72-68 74%     8 - 0 +14.4 -4.0 +18.3
  Dec 06, 2011 76   Marshall W 62-56 90%     9 - 0 +9.3 -10.2 +19.4
  Dec 10, 2011 167   George Washington W 85-50 96%     10 - 0 +31.5 +8.7 +21.9
  Dec 17, 2011 43   @ North Carolina St. W 88-72 68%     11 - 0 +28.4 +25.8 +3.7
  Dec 20, 2011 106   Bucknell W 80-61 93%     12 - 0 +20.0 +12.0 +9.2
  Dec 22, 2011 186   Tulane W 80-61 97%     13 - 0 +14.3 +20.4 -2.9
  Dec 28, 2011 44   Seton Hall W 75-49 86%     14 - 0 1 - 0 +31.4 +8.7 +23.6
  Jan 01, 2012 156   @ DePaul W 87-68 88%     15 - 0 2 - 0 +23.4 +5.2 +16.4
  Jan 04, 2012 121   @ Providence W 87-73 84%     16 - 0 3 - 0 +20.6 +23.3 -1.3
  Jan 07, 2012 18   Marquette W 73-66 75%     17 - 0 4 - 0 +17.2 +0.9 +15.9
  Jan 11, 2012 83   @ Villanova W 79-66 77%     18 - 0 5 - 0 +22.3 +4.5 +16.9
  Jan 14, 2012 121   Providence W 78-55 94%     19 - 0 6 - 0 +22.8 +1.0 +21.5
  Jan 16, 2012 68   Pittsburgh W 71-63 89%     20 - 0 7 - 0 +11.7 +4.4 +8.1
  Jan 21, 2012 40   @ Notre Dame L 58-67 64%     20 - 1 7 - 1 +4.3 -1.5 +4.7
  Jan 23, 2012 33   @ Cincinnati W 60-53 62%     21 - 1 8 - 1 +21.1 +3.2 +18.9
  Jan 28, 2012 37   West Virginia W 63-61 83%     22 - 1 9 - 1 +9.0 +3.0 +6.4
  Feb 04, 2012 146   @ St. John's W 95-70 87%     23 - 1 10 - 1 +29.9 +21.8 +7.4
  Feb 08, 2012 17   Georgetown W 64-61 OT 75%     24 - 1 11 - 1 +13.2 +1.5 +11.8
  Feb 11, 2012 36   Connecticut W 85-67 83%     25 - 1 12 - 1 +25.0 +18.9 +6.9
  Feb 13, 2012 19   @ Louisville W 52-51 53%     26 - 1 13 - 1 +17.5 +2.3 +15.4
  Feb 19, 2012 117   @ Rutgers W 74-64 83%     27 - 1 14 - 1 +16.9 +10.0 +7.3
  Feb 22, 2012 55   South Florida W 56-48 88%     28 - 1 15 - 1 +12.7 -3.4 +17.1
  Feb 25, 2012 36   @ Connecticut W 71-69 63%     29 - 1 16 - 1 +15.8 +7.8 +8.1
  Mar 03, 2012 19   Louisville W 58-49 76%     30 - 1 17 - 1 +18.7 +1.3 +18.4
  Mar 08, 2012 36   Connecticut W 58-55 74%     31 - 1 +13.4 -2.5 +16.3
  Mar 09, 2012 33   Cincinnati L 68-71 73%     31 - 2 +7.7 +6.6 +0.9
Projected Record 31.0 - 2.0 17.0 - 1.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 100.0    100.0
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.2 77.3 22.5 0.3 100.0%
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 1.2 77.3 22.5 0.3 100.0%