Pre-tourney Rankings
Norfolk St.
Mid-Eastern
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.9#196
Expected Predictive Rating+3.2#130
Pace71.4#84
Improvement-4.9#323

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#224
Improvement+0.2#158

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#175
Improvement-5.1#338
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 15.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four46.4% n/a n/a
First Round69.8% n/a n/a
Second Round1.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 16 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2011 18   @ Marquette L 68-99 5%     0 - 1 -14.0 -7.9 -0.8
  Nov 18, 2011 63   Drexel W 61-56 19%     1 - 1 +12.5 -8.4 +20.9
  Nov 20, 2011 143   TCU W 66-53 36%     2 - 1 +14.7 -12.2 +26.2
  Nov 21, 2011 18   Marquette L 57-59 8%     2 - 2 +11.6 -5.8 +17.2
  Nov 27, 2011 262   Eastern Kentucky W 70-63 76%     3 - 2 -2.4 -6.3 +4.3
  Dec 03, 2011 187   Savannah St. W 60-58 61%     4 - 2 1 - 0 -2.7 -1.2 -1.3
  Dec 05, 2011 343   South Carolina St. W 82-67 95%     5 - 2 2 - 0 -6.3 -13.6 +5.3
  Dec 11, 2011 80   @ Virginia Tech L 60-73 14%     5 - 3 -3.5 +0.4 -5.6
  Dec 14, 2011 162   LIU Brooklyn W 73-62 54%     6 - 3 +8.0 -11.1 +18.2
  Dec 18, 2011 101   @ Illinois St. L 36-68 17%     6 - 4 -23.8 -33.4 +9.6
  Dec 20, 2011 197   @ Toledo W 72-70 37%     7 - 4 +3.5 -3.6 +7.0
  Dec 23, 2011 227   @ St. Francis Brooklyn W 84-74 43%     8 - 4 +10.0 +8.7 +0.8
  Jan 01, 2012 323   @ Navy W 71-65 75%     9 - 4 -3.0 +9.1 -10.9
  Jan 07, 2012 327   Maryland Eastern Shore W 78-72 90%     10 - 4 3 - 0 -10.2 -6.3 -4.5
  Jan 09, 2012 311   Howard W 68-48 88%     11 - 4 4 - 0 +5.6 -12.9 +17.3
  Jan 14, 2012 266   @ Morgan St. W 90-89 2OT 53%     12 - 4 5 - 0 -1.8 -0.9 -1.0
  Jan 16, 2012 277   @ Coppin St. W 74-66 56%     13 - 4 6 - 0 +4.5 -7.6 +12.0
  Jan 21, 2012 288   @ Hampton W 80-75 59%     14 - 4 7 - 0 +0.9 +6.3 -5.6
  Jan 24, 2012 203   Morehead St. L 69-75 63%     14 - 5 -11.4 -3.2 -8.4
  Jan 28, 2012 266   Morgan St. W 76-59 77%     15 - 5 8 - 0 +7.4 -4.6 +11.3
  Jan 30, 2012 277   Coppin St. L 82-87 79%     15 - 6 8 - 1 -15.3 -14.6 +0.1
  Feb 04, 2012 242   @ Delaware St. L 50-67 47%     15 - 7 8 - 2 -18.2 -17.0 -3.8
  Feb 06, 2012 327   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 72-60 76%     16 - 7 9 - 2 +2.6 -3.3 +5.6
  Feb 11, 2012 288   Hampton W 70-62 80%     17 - 7 10 - 2 -2.9 -1.5 -1.1
  Feb 15, 2012 242   Delaware St. L 63-73 OT 72%     17 - 8 10 - 3 -18.0 -12.9 -5.5
  Feb 20, 2012 342   Longwood W 66-52 95%     18 - 8 -6.5 -23.0 +16.5
  Feb 25, 2012 257   @ Bethune-Cookman W 75-72 52%     19 - 8 11 - 3 +0.7 +1.4 -0.6
  Feb 27, 2012 318   @ Florida A&M W 79-70 74%     20 - 8 12 - 3 +0.5 -0.8 +0.9
  Mar 01, 2012 303   @ N.C. A&T W 72-65 65%     21 - 8 13 - 3 +1.1 +0.5 +0.8
  Mar 07, 2012 311   Howard W 71-61 81%     22 - 8 -1.0 +8.2 -7.4
  Mar 09, 2012 318   Florida A&M W 58-46 83%     23 - 8 +0.1 -17.1 +17.8
  Mar 10, 2012 257   Bethune-Cookman W 73-70 64%     24 - 8 -2.7 -1.8 -0.8
Projected Record 24.0 - 8.0 13.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.0%
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 15.8 0.0 15.4 84.5
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 15.4 84.5