Pre-tourney Rankings
Purdue
Big Ten
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.0#30
Expected Predictive Rating+10.9#35
Pace66.6#193
Improvement+1.5#109

Offense
Total Offense+9.2#14
Improvement+4.0#23

Defense
Total Defense+1.9#121
Improvement-2.5#289
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 2.1% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 97.4% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 97.4% n/a n/a
Average Seed 8.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% n/a n/a
First Round97.4% n/a n/a
Second Round49.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen13.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight6.1% n/a n/a
Final Four2.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.7% n/a n/a
National Champion0.2% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 9 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 317   Northern Illinois W 96-34 98%     1 - 0 +46.7 +8.1 +32.7
  Nov 14, 2011 235   High Point W 67-65 95%     2 - 0 -5.8 -9.0 +3.3
  Nov 17, 2011 48   Iona W 91-90 59%     3 - 0 +9.6 +4.7 +4.8
  Nov 18, 2011 35   Temple W 85-77 52%     4 - 0 +18.6 +12.6 +5.8
  Nov 20, 2011 32   Alabama L 56-65 51%     4 - 1 +1.8 -0.1 +0.6
  Nov 23, 2011 175   Western Michigan W 80-37 91%     5 - 1 +39.1 +6.3 +34.4
  Nov 26, 2011 277   Coppin St. W 78-57 97%     6 - 1 +10.7 +7.3 +7.0
  Nov 29, 2011 41   Miami (FL) W 76-65 69%     7 - 1 +17.0 +10.5 +7.3
  Dec 03, 2011 61   @ Xavier L 63-66 50%     7 - 2 +8.1 -1.6 +9.6
  Dec 07, 2011 234   Western Carolina W 65-60 95%     8 - 2 -2.7 -12.7 +10.0
  Dec 10, 2011 250   Eastern Michigan W 61-36 96%     9 - 2 +16.4 +1.4 +19.9
  Dec 17, 2011 129   Butler L 65-67 79%     9 - 3 +0.6 +0.8 -0.3
  Dec 20, 2011 269   Purdue Fort Wayne W 81-56 96%     10 - 3 +15.4 +6.7 +9.8
  Dec 28, 2011 91   @ Iowa W 79-76 59%     11 - 3 1 - 0 +11.8 +6.7 +5.1
  Dec 31, 2011 77   Illinois W 75-60 77%     12 - 3 2 - 0 +18.2 +9.0 +9.8
  Jan 05, 2012 128   @ Penn St. L 45-65 69%     12 - 4 2 - 1 -14.0 -15.6 -2.1
  Jan 08, 2012 56   @ Minnesota W 79-66 48%     13 - 4 3 - 1 +24.5 +13.3 +11.3
  Jan 12, 2012 12   Wisconsin L 62-67 49%     13 - 5 3 - 2 +6.3 +4.9 +0.7
  Jan 17, 2012 91   Iowa W 75-68 80%     14 - 5 4 - 2 +9.0 +1.0 +8.1
  Jan 21, 2012 3   @ Michigan St. L 58-83 14%     14 - 6 4 - 3 -2.2 -0.1 -3.0
  Jan 24, 2012 23   Michigan L 64-66 58%     14 - 7 4 - 4 +7.1 +4.4 +2.3
  Jan 28, 2012 58   @ Northwestern W 58-56 49%     15 - 7 5 - 4 +13.3 -1.0 +14.8
  Feb 04, 2012 8   Indiana L 61-78 47%     15 - 8 5 - 5 -5.1 -10.4 +5.5
  Feb 07, 2012 2   @ Ohio St. L 84-87 13%     15 - 9 5 - 6 +20.4 +31.6 -11.5
  Feb 12, 2012 58   Northwestern W 87-77 74%     16 - 9 6 - 6 +14.5 +14.4 +0.5
  Feb 15, 2012 77   @ Illinois W 67-62 54%     17 - 9 7 - 6 +15.0 +4.9 +10.4
  Feb 19, 2012 3   Michigan St. L 62-76 32%     17 - 10 7 - 7 +2.0 +0.3 +1.3
  Feb 22, 2012 142   Nebraska W 83-65 87%     18 - 10 8 - 7 +16.6 +21.2 -2.0
  Feb 25, 2012 23   @ Michigan W 75-61 32%     19 - 10 9 - 7 +29.9 +17.5 +14.1
  Feb 29, 2012 128   Penn St. W 80-56 86%     20 - 10 10 - 7 +23.2 +19.1 +7.5
  Mar 04, 2012 8   @ Indiana L 74-85 23%     20 - 11 10 - 8 +7.7 +4.9 +3.0
  Mar 08, 2012 142   Nebraska W 79-61 80%     21 - 11 +20.0 +18.5 +4.1
  Mar 09, 2012 2   Ohio St. L 71-88 20%     21 - 12 +3.0 +9.2 -6.6
Projected Record 21.0 - 12.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 97.4% 97.4% 8.7 0.2 1.9 7.7 30.4 38.0 17.2 2.1 0.1 2.6 97.4%
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 97.4% 0.0% 97.4% 8.7 0.2 1.9 7.7 30.4 38.0 17.2 2.1 0.1 2.6 97.4%