Pre-tourney Rankings
Minnesota
Big Ten
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.1#56
Expected Predictive Rating+8.0#63
Pace64.3#256
Improvement-0.4#190

Offense
Total Offense+3.8#74
Improvement-1.0#218

Defense
Total Defense+4.3#60
Improvement+0.6#135
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.4% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 3.4% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four3.2% n/a n/a
First Round1.9% n/a n/a
Second Round0.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 106   Bucknell W 70-58 75%     1 - 0 +13.0 +0.3 +13.2
  Nov 14, 2011 60   South Dakota St. W 71-55 64%     2 - 0 +20.4 -2.2 +22.9
  Nov 17, 2011 120   Fairfield W 67-57 78%     3 - 0 +9.9 -2.4 +12.3
  Nov 21, 2011 298   Mount St. Mary's W 85-56 96%     4 - 0 +17.0 +13.5 +5.4
  Nov 24, 2011 156   DePaul W 86-85 75%     5 - 0 +2.0 +3.4 -1.4
  Nov 25, 2011 132   Indiana St. W 76-69 71%     6 - 0 +9.4 +9.3 +0.5
  Nov 27, 2011 65   Dayton L 70-86 53%     6 - 1 -8.6 -5.4 -2.4
  Nov 30, 2011 80   Virginia Tech W 58-55 70%     7 - 1 +5.7 +2.5 +4.0
  Dec 03, 2011 219   USC W 55-40 91%     8 - 1 +8.5 -3.4 +14.9
  Dec 06, 2011 255   Appalachian St. W 70-56 94%     9 - 1 +5.0 +5.8 +1.9
  Dec 10, 2011 315   St. Peter's W 69-47 97%     10 - 1 +7.1 -0.6 +10.0
  Dec 13, 2011 247   Central Michigan W 76-56 93%     11 - 1 +11.6 +3.0 +9.5
  Dec 22, 2011 164   North Dakota St. W 63-59 85%     12 - 1 +0.8 -7.8 +8.9
  Dec 27, 2011 77   @ Illinois L 72-81 2OT 43%     12 - 2 0 - 1 +1.0 -4.6 +6.9
  Jan 01, 2012 23   @ Michigan L 56-61 23%     12 - 3 0 - 2 +10.9 -0.2 +10.2
  Jan 04, 2012 91   Iowa L 62-64 72%     12 - 4 0 - 3 +0.0 -5.2 +5.0
  Jan 08, 2012 30   Purdue L 66-79 52%     12 - 5 0 - 4 -5.4 -5.7 +0.2
  Jan 12, 2012 8   @ Indiana W 77-74 16%     13 - 5 1 - 4 +21.7 +12.1 +9.7
  Jan 15, 2012 128   @ Penn St. W 80-66 58%     14 - 5 2 - 4 +20.0 +10.0 +9.8
  Jan 22, 2012 58   Northwestern W 75-52 64%     15 - 5 3 - 4 +27.5 +1.0 +26.9
  Jan 25, 2012 3   @ Michigan St. L 52-68 9%     15 - 6 3 - 5 +6.8 +0.0 +4.2
  Jan 28, 2012 77   Illinois W 77-72 OT 68%     16 - 6 4 - 5 +8.2 +1.6 +6.1
  Feb 01, 2012 91   @ Iowa L 59-63 47%     16 - 7 4 - 6 +4.8 -6.1 +10.6
  Feb 05, 2012 142   @ Nebraska W 69-61 60%     17 - 7 5 - 6 +13.4 +9.7 +4.9
  Feb 09, 2012 12   Wisconsin L 61-68 OT 38%     17 - 8 5 - 7 +4.3 -0.3 +4.1
  Feb 14, 2012 2   Ohio St. L 68-78 21%     17 - 9 5 - 8 +6.6 +4.7 +1.6
  Feb 18, 2012 58   @ Northwestern L 53-64 38%     17 - 10 5 - 9 +0.3 -11.0 +9.7
  Feb 22, 2012 3   Michigan St. L 61-66 23%     17 - 11 5 - 10 +11.0 +6.2 +4.0
  Feb 26, 2012 8   Indiana L 50-69 35%     17 - 12 5 - 11 -7.1 -18.9 +11.0
  Feb 28, 2012 12   @ Wisconsin L 45-52 17%     17 - 13 5 - 12 +11.1 -6.3 +15.7
  Mar 03, 2012 142   Nebraska W 81-69 81%     18 - 13 6 - 12 +10.6 +12.2 -0.9
  Mar 08, 2012 58   Northwestern W 75-68 OT 51%     19 - 13 +14.9 +2.6 +12.4
  Mar 09, 2012 23   Michigan L 69-73 OT 33%     19 - 14 +8.5 +6.9 +1.2
Projected Record 19.0 - 14.0 6.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 3.4% 3.4% 12.2 0.3 2.1 0.9 0.0 96.6 3.4%
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.4% 0.0% 3.4% 12.2 0.3 2.1 0.9 0.0 96.6 3.4%