Pre-tourney Rankings
Michigan
Big Ten
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.5#23
Expected Predictive Rating+15.3#12
Pace58.4#326
Improvement+0.0#165

Offense
Total Offense+8.2#21
Improvement-1.2#229

Defense
Total Defense+4.2#62
Improvement+1.2#110
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 1.3% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 88.8% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 3.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round66.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen36.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight13.0% n/a n/a
Final Four4.8% n/a n/a
Championship Game1.6% n/a n/a
National Champion0.4% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 3 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2011 331   Towson W 64-47 99%     1 - 0 -0.7 -8.0 +9.3
  Nov 17, 2011 179   Western Illinois W 59-55 93%     2 - 0 -0.1 +3.0 -2.1
  Nov 21, 2011 10   Memphis W 73-61 40%     3 - 0 +27.1 +7.9 +19.3
  Nov 22, 2011 15   Duke L 75-82 44%     3 - 1 +6.9 +11.7 -5.4
  Nov 23, 2011 59   UCLA W 79-63 67%     4 - 1 +23.9 +20.2 +5.7
  Nov 29, 2011 31   @ Virginia L 58-70 43%     4 - 2 +2.3 +2.4 -1.4
  Dec 03, 2011 27   Iowa St. W 76-66 66%     5 - 2 +18.1 +5.6 +12.5
  Dec 10, 2011 153   Oakland W 90-80 85%     6 - 2 +11.2 +4.6 +5.9
  Dec 13, 2011 329   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 63-50 99%     7 - 2 -3.4 -14.6 +11.9
  Dec 17, 2011 336   Alabama A&M W 87-57 99%     8 - 2 +11.4 +4.4 +6.4
  Dec 22, 2011 256   Bradley W 77-66 97%     9 - 2 +2.0 +5.5 -3.0
  Dec 29, 2011 128   Penn St. W 71-53 89%     10 - 2 1 - 0 +17.2 +8.1 +11.4
  Jan 01, 2012 56   Minnesota W 61-56 77%     11 - 2 2 - 0 +9.7 +2.3 +8.3
  Jan 05, 2012 8   @ Indiana L 71-73 27%     11 - 3 2 - 1 +16.7 +5.5 +11.2
  Jan 08, 2012 12   Wisconsin W 59-41 55%     12 - 3 3 - 1 +29.3 +10.1 +24.3
  Jan 11, 2012 58   Northwestern W 66-64 OT 78%     13 - 3 4 - 1 +6.5 -6.3 +12.9
  Jan 14, 2012 91   @ Iowa L 59-75 64%     13 - 4 4 - 2 -7.2 -6.3 -2.4
  Jan 17, 2012 3   Michigan St. W 60-59 37%     14 - 4 5 - 2 +17.0 +9.0 +8.2
  Jan 21, 2012 118   @ Arkansas L 64-66 71%     14 - 5 +4.8 +1.4 +3.2
  Jan 24, 2012 30   @ Purdue W 66-64 42%     15 - 5 6 - 2 +16.5 +7.8 +9.0
  Jan 29, 2012 2   @ Ohio St. L 49-64 15%     15 - 6 6 - 3 +8.4 -4.8 +10.8
  Feb 01, 2012 8   Indiana W 68-56 52%     16 - 6 7 - 3 +23.9 +10.3 +15.9
  Feb 05, 2012 3   @ Michigan St. L 54-64 17%     16 - 7 7 - 4 +12.8 +3.1 +8.0
  Feb 08, 2012 142   @ Nebraska W 62-46 75%     17 - 7 8 - 4 +21.4 +13.4 +13.6
  Feb 12, 2012 77   Illinois W 70-61 81%     18 - 7 9 - 4 +12.2 +9.6 +3.7
  Feb 18, 2012 2   Ohio St. W 56-51 34%     19 - 7 10 - 4 +21.6 +3.8 +19.0
  Feb 21, 2012 58   @ Northwestern W 67-55 OT 55%     20 - 7 11 - 4 +23.3 +4.8 +20.3
  Feb 25, 2012 30   Purdue L 61-75 68%     20 - 8 11 - 5 -6.4 -4.0 -4.1
  Mar 01, 2012 77   @ Illinois W 72-61 60%     21 - 8 12 - 5 +21.0 +12.5 +9.4
  Mar 04, 2012 128   @ Penn St. W 71-65 73%     22 - 8 13 - 5 +12.0 +15.7 -2.6
  Mar 09, 2012 56   Minnesota W 73-69 OT 67%     23 - 8 +12.1 +11.3 +1.1
  Mar 10, 2012 2   Ohio St. L 55-77 24%     23 - 9 -2.0 -7.7 +5.4
Projected Record 23.0 - 9.0 13.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 3.7 0.1 1.2 42.9 44.7 11.0 0.2 100.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3.7 0.1 1.2 42.9 44.7 11.0 0.2 100.0%