Pre-tourney Rankings
Alabama
Southeastern
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.8#32
Expected Predictive Rating+9.9#41
Pace61.7#297
Improvement-4.4#317

Offense
Total Offense+2.1#116
Improvement-2.5#281

Defense
Total Defense+8.7#11
Improvement-1.9#268
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.3% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 98.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 98.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 9.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% n/a n/a
First Round97.9% n/a n/a
Second Round47.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen12.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight5.3% n/a n/a
Final Four1.8% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.5% n/a n/a
National Champion0.2% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 9 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 190   North Florida W 64-44 92%     1 - 0 +15.0 -5.4 +22.5
  Nov 14, 2011 153   Oakland W 74-57 88%     2 - 0 +14.8 -5.5 +20.6
  Nov 17, 2011 125   Maryland W 62-42 77%     3 - 0 +22.9 -3.0 +28.4
  Nov 18, 2011 9   Wichita St. W 70-60 34%     4 - 0 +25.1 +1.3 +23.6
  Nov 20, 2011 30   Purdue W 65-56 49%     5 - 0 +20.0 +3.3 +18.0
  Nov 23, 2011 336   Alabama A&M W 82-45 99%     6 - 0 +18.4 +2.6 +16.5
  Nov 27, 2011 52   Virginia Commonwealth W 72-64 72%     7 - 0 +12.9 +7.8 +5.6
  Dec 01, 2011 17   Georgetown L 55-57 52%     7 - 1 +8.2 +3.2 +4.4
  Dec 07, 2011 65   @ Dayton L 62-74 50%     7 - 2 -1.2 +1.2 -4.3
  Dec 11, 2011 119   Detroit Mercy W 62-54 84%     8 - 2 +8.0 -6.4 +15.3
  Dec 17, 2011 21   Kansas St. L 58-71 42%     8 - 3 -0.1 -8.2 +8.4
  Dec 21, 2011 90   Oklahoma St. W 69-52 70%     9 - 3 +22.4 -0.6 +23.3
  Dec 29, 2011 248   Jacksonville W 72-55 95%     10 - 3 +8.6 -0.2 +9.9
  Jan 03, 2012 170   @ Georgia Tech W 73-48 77%     11 - 3 +28.2 +8.9 +20.7
  Jan 07, 2012 105   @ Georgia W 74-59 61%     12 - 3 1 - 0 +22.9 +11.3 +12.6
  Jan 11, 2012 85   LSU W 69-53 79%     13 - 3 2 - 0 +18.4 +6.9 +12.8
  Jan 14, 2012 70   @ Mississippi St. L 52-56 52%     13 - 4 2 - 1 +6.3 -9.6 +15.2
  Jan 19, 2012 13   Vanderbilt L 59-69 51%     13 - 5 2 - 2 +0.6 -9.9 +10.5
  Jan 21, 2012 1   @ Kentucky L 71-77 11%     13 - 6 2 - 3 +18.3 +13.0 +5.0
  Jan 25, 2012 157   @ South Carolina L 54-56 74%     13 - 7 2 - 4 +2.2 -10.7 +12.6
  Jan 28, 2012 118   Arkansas W 72-66 84%     14 - 7 3 - 4 +6.0 -2.6 +8.5
  Feb 04, 2012 84   Mississippi W 69-67 2OT 78%     15 - 7 4 - 4 +4.5 -5.2 +9.6
  Feb 07, 2012 140   @ Auburn W 68-50 69%     16 - 7 5 - 4 +23.6 +4.5 +19.9
  Feb 11, 2012 85   @ LSU L 58-67 56%     16 - 8 5 - 5 +0.2 -0.8 +0.2
  Feb 14, 2012 16   Florida L 52-61 51%     16 - 9 5 - 6 +1.4 -15.6 +16.2
  Feb 18, 2012 51   Tennessee W 62-50 71%     17 - 9 6 - 6 +16.9 +0.9 +17.6
  Feb 23, 2012 118   @ Arkansas W 79-68 65%     18 - 9 7 - 6 +17.8 +7.6 +10.1
  Feb 25, 2012 70   Mississippi St. W 67-50 76%     19 - 9 8 - 6 +20.5 +4.8 +18.7
  Feb 29, 2012 140   Auburn W 55-49 87%     20 - 9 9 - 6 +4.8 -7.3 +13.0
  Mar 03, 2012 84   @ Mississippi L 51-60 56%     20 - 10 9 - 7 +0.3 -8.0 +7.0
  Mar 08, 2012 157   South Carolina W 63-57 83%     21 - 10 +6.8 -3.3 +10.7
  Mar 09, 2012 16   Florida L 63-66 38%     21 - 11 +10.8 +5.5 +4.7
Projected Record 21.0 - 11.0 9.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 100.0% 98.0% 98.0% 9.3 0.0 0.2 1.5 14.2 40.7 35.1 6.2 0.1 2.0 98.0%
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 98.0% 0.0% 98.0% 9.3 0.0 0.2 1.5 14.2 40.7 35.1 6.2 0.1 2.0 98.0%