Pre-tourney Rankings
Butler
Big East
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.4#31
Expected Predictive Rating+12.2#34
Pace71.9#130
Improvement-2.7#290

Offense
Total Offense+8.9#20
First Shot+7.0#24
After Offensive Rebound+1.8#52
Layup/Dunks+4.2#29
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#138
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#203
Freethrows+3.0#17
Improvement-3.6#317

Defense
Total Defense+3.5#82
First Shot+2.1#101
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#51
Layups/Dunks+1.5#119
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#170
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#229
Freethrows+1.3#83
Improvement+0.9#126
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 94.2% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 94.2% n/a n/a
Average Seed 8.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.0% n/a n/a
First Round93.3% n/a n/a
Second Round50.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen13.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight5.5% n/a n/a
Final Four2.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.6% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 9 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2015 323   The Citadel W 144-71 98%     1 - 0 +58.7 +19.9 +18.0
  Nov 19, 2015 221   Missouri St. W 93-59 92%     2 - 0 +30.5 +16.4 +12.6
  Nov 20, 2015 84   Temple W 74-69 71%     3 - 0 +11.6 +11.3 +0.6
  Nov 22, 2015 14   Miami (FL) L 75-85 36%     3 - 1 +6.1 +7.7 -1.6
  Nov 28, 2015 309   SIU Edwardsville W 89-73 98%     4 - 1 +3.1 +9.4 -6.7
  Dec 02, 2015 32   @ Cincinnati W 78-76 40%     5 - 1 +17.1 +15.3 +1.8
  Dec 05, 2015 165   Indiana St. W 85-71 92%     6 - 1 +10.7 +7.7 +1.8
  Dec 07, 2015 304   VMI W 93-66 98%     7 - 1 +14.7 +8.2 +4.7
  Dec 12, 2015 91   Tennessee W 94-86 81%     8 - 1 +11.1 +16.9 -6.3
  Dec 19, 2015 9   Purdue W 74-68 33%     9 - 1 +23.0 +4.2 +18.5
  Dec 22, 2015 342   Southern Utah W 88-52 99%     10 - 1 +18.7 +7.5 +12.6
  Dec 28, 2015 213   IUPUI W 92-54 95%     11 - 1 +31.8 +13.6 +16.3
  Dec 31, 2015 51   Providence L 73-81 70%     11 - 2 0 - 1 -0.9 +5.4 -6.3
  Jan 02, 2016 15   @ Xavier L 69-88 27%     11 - 3 0 - 2 -0.3 +4.4 -4.7
  Jan 05, 2016 170   @ DePaul W 77-72 83%     12 - 3 1 - 2 +7.3 +8.5 -1.0
  Jan 10, 2016 5   Villanova L 55-60 37%     12 - 4 1 - 3 +11.0 -6.4 +16.9
  Jan 16, 2016 209   St. John's W 78-58 95%     13 - 4 2 - 3 +13.9 -1.4 +13.5
  Jan 19, 2016 51   @ Providence L 68-71 48%     13 - 5 2 - 4 +9.9 +7.1 +2.6
  Jan 23, 2016 43   @ Creighton L 64-72 45%     13 - 6 2 - 5 +5.6 -2.4 +8.1
  Jan 27, 2016 170   DePaul W 67-53 92%     14 - 6 3 - 5 +10.5 -1.6 +13.4
  Jan 30, 2016 93   @ Marquette L 69-75 64%     14 - 7 3 - 6 +2.8 +4.5 -2.0
  Feb 02, 2016 70   Georgetown W 87-76 76%     15 - 7 4 - 6 +16.1 +15.0 +1.0
  Feb 06, 2016 209   @ St. John's W 89-56 88%     16 - 7 5 - 6 +32.8 +7.3 +20.9
  Feb 10, 2016 28   @ Seton Hall W 81-75 35%     17 - 7 6 - 6 +22.3 +16.3 +5.8
  Feb 13, 2016 15   Xavier L 57-74 48%     17 - 8 6 - 7 -4.1 -9.1 +4.6
  Feb 16, 2016 43   Creighton W 88-75 67%     18 - 8 7 - 7 +20.8 +13.6 +6.5
  Feb 20, 2016 5   @ Villanova L 67-77 19%     18 - 9 7 - 8 +11.8 +6.5 +5.0
  Feb 27, 2016 70   @ Georgetown W 90-87 OT 56%     19 - 9 8 - 8 +13.9 +5.0 +8.3
  Mar 02, 2016 28   Seton Hall W 85-78 58%     20 - 9 9 - 8 +17.4 +13.6 +3.3
  Mar 05, 2016 93   Marquette W 95-74 81%     21 - 9 10 - 8 +24.0 +15.2 +6.9
  Mar 10, 2016 51   Providence L 60-74 59%     21 - 10 -4.0 +3.5 -9.6
Projected Record 21.0 - 10.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 94.2% 94.2% 8.9 0.0 0.1 6.2 24.9 34.8 24.5 3.6 0.0 5.8 94.2%
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 94.2% 0.0% 94.2% 8.9 0.0 0.1 6.2 24.9 34.8 24.5 3.6 0.0 5.8 94.2%