Pre-tourney Rankings
Xavier
Big East
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+15.8#15
Expected Predictive Rating+18.1#8
Pace78.1#30
Improvement-3.3#302

Offense
Total Offense+9.1#18
First Shot+6.6#33
After Offensive Rebound+2.5#23
Layup/Dunks+2.5#74
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#200
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#128
Freethrows+3.5#8
Improvement+0.0#177

Defense
Total Defense+6.7#30
First Shot+5.1#38
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#37
Layups/Dunks+2.5#75
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#95
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#192
Freethrows+1.9#56
Improvement-3.3#321
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.3% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 8.7% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 45.9% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 2.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round89.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen55.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight26.9% n/a n/a
Final Four11.9% n/a n/a
Championship Game5.1% n/a n/a
National Champion2.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 3 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 244   Miami (OH) W 81-72 98%     1 - 0 +1.3 +3.8 -2.9
  Nov 17, 2015 143   Missouri W 78-66 94%     2 - 0 +10.4 +2.2 +7.9
  Nov 20, 2015 42   @ Michigan W 86-70 58%     3 - 0 +29.7 +17.7 +12.1
  Nov 23, 2015 255   Northern Kentucky W 78-66 98%     4 - 0 +3.3 -4.6 +7.2
  Nov 26, 2015 81   Alabama W 64-45 80%     5 - 0 +26.0 -4.9 +30.4
  Nov 27, 2015 41   USC W 87-77 68%     6 - 0 +20.9 +11.4 +8.8
  Nov 29, 2015 58   Dayton W 90-61 73%     7 - 0 +38.4 +16.3 +19.4
  Dec 05, 2015 181   Western Kentucky W 95-64 96%     8 - 0 +27.1 +12.3 +13.2
  Dec 08, 2015 145   Wright St. W 90-55 94%     9 - 0 +33.3 +10.9 +19.3
  Dec 12, 2015 32   Cincinnati W 65-55 74%     10 - 0 +19.2 +7.7 +12.8
  Dec 19, 2015 180   Auburn W 85-61 96%     11 - 0 +20.1 +15.4 +5.7
  Dec 22, 2015 111   @ Wake Forest W 78-70 80%     12 - 0 +14.8 +0.6 +13.4
  Dec 31, 2015 5   @ Villanova L 64-95 28%     12 - 1 0 - 1 -9.2 +2.3 -12.1
  Jan 02, 2016 31   Butler W 88-69 73%     13 - 1 1 - 1 +28.5 +17.3 +11.2
  Jan 06, 2016 209   @ St. John's W 74-66 92%     14 - 1 2 - 1 +7.8 -2.1 +9.2
  Jan 12, 2016 170   DePaul W 84-64 95%     15 - 1 3 - 1 +16.5 +9.0 +7.4
  Jan 16, 2016 93   @ Marquette W 74-66 75%     16 - 1 4 - 1 +16.8 +0.1 +16.1
  Jan 19, 2016 70   Georgetown L 72-81 84%     16 - 2 4 - 2 -3.9 +2.8 -7.0
  Jan 23, 2016 28   Seton Hall W 84-76 70%     17 - 2 5 - 2 +18.4 +11.8 +6.0
  Jan 26, 2016 51   @ Providence W 75-68 61%     18 - 2 6 - 2 +19.9 +5.3 +14.2
  Jan 30, 2016 170   @ DePaul W 86-65 89%     19 - 2 7 - 2 +23.3 +12.1 +10.8
  Feb 03, 2016 209   St. John's W 90-83 97%     20 - 2 8 - 2 +0.9 +2.4 -2.6
  Feb 06, 2016 93   Marquette W 90-82 88%     21 - 2 9 - 2 +11.0 +14.2 -3.7
  Feb 09, 2016 43   @ Creighton L 56-70 58%     21 - 3 9 - 3 -0.4 -15.4 +16.3
  Feb 13, 2016 31   @ Butler W 74-57 52%     22 - 3 10 - 3 +32.3 +8.1 +24.7
  Feb 17, 2016 51   Providence W 85-74 80%     23 - 3 11 - 3 +18.1 +5.0 +11.5
  Feb 20, 2016 70   @ Georgetown W 88-70 68%     24 - 3 12 - 3 +28.9 +20.9 +8.2
  Feb 24, 2016 5   Villanova W 90-83 49%     25 - 3 13 - 3 +23.0 +18.4 +4.1
  Feb 28, 2016 28   @ Seton Hall L 81-90 48%     25 - 4 13 - 4 +7.3 +7.4 +1.0
  Mar 05, 2016 43   Creighton W 98-93 78%     26 - 4 14 - 4 +12.8 +15.5 -3.3
  Mar 10, 2016 93   Marquette W 90-72 82%     27 - 4 +23.9 +18.3 +5.2
  Mar 11, 2016 28   Seton Hall L 83-87 59%     27 - 5 +9.3 +1.8 +8.3
Projected Record 27.0 - 5.0 14.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 2.5 8.7 37.2 50.7 3.4 0.0 100.0%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 2.5 8.7 37.2 50.7 3.4 0.0 100.0%