Pre-tourney Rankings
Chattanooga
Southern
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.6#106
Expected Predictive Rating+9.4#58
Pace66.5#267
Improvement-2.6#286

Offense
Total Offense+1.3#142
First Shot+1.2#141
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#163
Layup/Dunks+0.4#143
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#277
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#135
Freethrows+1.8#59
Improvement-3.3#311

Defense
Total Defense+3.2#90
First Shot+3.0#82
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#155
Layups/Dunks-1.9#255
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#166
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#46
Freethrows+1.7#62
Improvement+0.8#132
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round15.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen3.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.3% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 12 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 62   @ Georgia W 92-90 OT 25%     1 - 0 +13.6 +11.0 +2.2
  Nov 21, 2015 109   Illinois W 81-77 53%     2 - 0 +7.9 +3.6 +4.1
  Nov 23, 2015 18   @ Iowa St. L 63-83 11%     2 - 1 -1.7 -7.9 +7.2
  Nov 27, 2015 295   Alabama St. W 95-58 89%     3 - 1 +28.2 +16.5 +11.0
  Nov 28, 2015 293   Jacksonville St. W 62-52 89%     4 - 1 +1.3 -8.3 +10.7
  Nov 30, 2015 139   @ Louisiana Monroe L 54-64 49%     4 - 2 -5.2 -11.3 +4.9
  Dec 12, 2015 58   @ Dayton W 61-59 23%     5 - 2 +14.3 +3.8 +10.8
  Dec 15, 2015 197   Tennessee Tech W 80-69 82%     6 - 2 +5.9 +5.9 +0.7
  Dec 18, 2015 258   Kennesaw St. W 78-66 89%     7 - 2 +3.0 +5.1 -1.3
  Dec 22, 2015 227   Radford W 77-75 86%     8 - 2 -4.8 +1.0 -5.7
  Dec 29, 2015 279   @ Lipscomb W 80-56 81%     9 - 2 +19.3 +3.5 +15.8
  Jan 02, 2016 323   @ The Citadel W 84-78 89%     10 - 2 1 - 0 -2.5 -3.6 +0.6
  Jan 05, 2016 190   Mercer W 74-62 81%     11 - 2 2 - 0 +7.3 -2.9 +10.1
  Jan 09, 2016 168   @ Furman L 55-70 59%     11 - 3 2 - 1 -12.6 -15.8 +2.8
  Jan 11, 2016 187   @ Wofford W 77-68 62%     12 - 3 3 - 1 +10.4 +10.4 +0.9
  Jan 14, 2016 194   Western Carolina W 77-58 82%     13 - 3 4 - 1 +14.0 +2.5 +11.5
  Jan 16, 2016 155   East Tennessee St. W 94-84 74%     14 - 3 5 - 1 +7.8 +14.2 -6.8
  Jan 21, 2016 210   @ UNC Greensboro W 73-60 68%     15 - 3 6 - 1 +12.8 +7.4 +6.9
  Jan 30, 2016 224   @ Samford W 63-56 70%     16 - 3 7 - 1 +6.2 -4.3 +11.2
  Feb 01, 2016 323   The Citadel W 125-85 95%     17 - 3 8 - 1 +25.7 +15.4 +1.8
  Feb 04, 2016 187   Wofford W 79-63 80%     18 - 3 9 - 1 +11.6 +5.9 +6.5
  Feb 06, 2016 168   Furman W 62-54 78%     19 - 3 10 - 1 +4.6 -5.3 +10.9
  Feb 08, 2016 190   @ Mercer W 72-66 OT 63%     20 - 3 11 - 1 +7.1 +2.9 +4.6
  Feb 11, 2016 194   @ Western Carolina L 61-67 64%     20 - 4 11 - 2 -5.1 -12.2 +7.3
  Feb 13, 2016 155   @ East Tennessee St. W 76-68 54%     21 - 4 12 - 2 +11.6 +7.8 +4.3
  Feb 18, 2016 304   VMI W 85-59 93%     22 - 4 13 - 2 +13.7 +6.5 +7.3
  Feb 20, 2016 210   UNC Greensboro L 64-79 84%     22 - 5 13 - 3 -21.1 -5.8 -17.0
  Feb 27, 2016 224   Samford W 77-66 85%     23 - 5 14 - 3 +4.4 +3.4 +1.3
  Feb 29, 2016 304   @ VMI W 67-65 85%     24 - 5 15 - 3 -4.4 -11.9 +7.3
  Mar 05, 2016 224   Samford W 59-54 79%     25 - 5 +1.3 -10.2 +12.0
  Mar 06, 2016 194   Western Carolina W 73-69 74%     26 - 5 +1.9 +1.3 +0.7
  Mar 07, 2016 155   East Tennessee St. W 73-67 65%     27 - 5 +6.7 +0.7 +6.1
Projected Record 27.0 - 5.0 15.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 11.8 0.3 25.9 64.2 9.6 0.1
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 11.8 0.3 25.9 64.2 9.6 0.1