IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Hawaii
Big West
2018-19

Overall
Predictive Rating	-2.3	#201
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	68.4	#195
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.1	#260

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+0.8	#143

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	5.8%	6.9%	3.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.5	14.4	15.1

.500 or above	52.7%	61.6%	33.7%
.500 or above in Conference	58.3%	63.3%	47.5%
Conference Champion	6.9%	8.5%	3.7%
Last Place in Conference	4.1%	3.0%	6.3%

First Four	1.1%	1.2%	0.8%
First Round	5.3%	6.4%	3.0%
Second Round	0.5%	0.6%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Portland (Home) - 67.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0.0 - 0.6	0.0 - 0.6
Quad 1b	0.1 - 1.2	0.1 - 1.8
Quad 2	0.6 - 3.1	0.8 - 4.8
Quad 3	2.5 - 5.2	3.3 - 10.0
Quad 4	10.5 - 4.1	13.8 - 14.2

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2018	241	Portland	W	69-67	68%
Nov 11, 2018	132	North Texas	L	67-72	44%
Nov 18, 2018	326	Northern Arizona	W	72-64	84%
Nov 22, 2018	87	Utah	L	63-71	23%
Nov 23, 2018	52	Seton Hall	L	66-78	15%
Nov 25, 2018	91	Fresno St.	L	64-72	24%
Nov 28, 2018	50	@ UCLA	L	68-80	10%
Dec 16, 2018	344	Mississippi Valley	W	76-64	90%
Dec 22, 2018	139	UNLV	L	73-77	45%
Dec 23, 2018	84	Colorado	L	65-73	33%
Dec 25, 2018	103	Rhode Island	L	66-72	39%
Dec 29, 2018	349	Alabama A&M	W	73-59	92%
Jan 09, 2019	143	Cal St. Fullerton	L	68-72	48%
Jan 17, 2019	342	@ Cal St. Northridge	W	72-60	76%
Jan 19, 2019	282	@ UC Riverside	W	69-65	53%
Jan 23, 2019	90	UC Irvine	L	63-71	34%
Jan 26, 2019	131	UC Davis	L	65-70	44%
Jan 31, 2019	189	Long Beach St.	L	74-75	56%
Feb 02, 2019	177	UC Santa Barbara	L	68-70	55%
Feb 07, 2019	189	@ Long Beach St.	L	74-75	37%
Feb 09, 2019	90	@ UC Irvine	L	63-71	19%
Feb 14, 2019	317	Cal Poly	W	71-64	80%
Feb 16, 2019	282	UC Riverside	W	69-65	72%
Feb 21, 2019	177	@ UC Santa Barbara	L	68-70	35%
Feb 23, 2019	317	@ Cal Poly	W	71-64	62%
Mar 02, 2019	342	Cal St. Northridge	W	72-60	88%
Mar 07, 2019	131	@ UC Davis	L	65-70	26%
Mar 09, 2019	143	@ Cal St. Fullerton	L	68-72	29%
Projected Record						13.8 - 14.2	8.1 - 7.9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big West Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.0	0.5	1.7	2.5	1.5	0.7	0.1		6.9	1st
2nd									0.0	0.2	1.3	4.0	3.8	1.2	0.2				10.7	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.3	2.6	5.4	3.6	0.8	0.0					12.8	3rd
4th							0.0	0.6	3.8	7.0	3.4	0.5	0.0						15.4	4th
5th						0.1	1.2	5.0	7.0	3.1	0.4	0.0							16.8	5th
6th					0.2	1.9	5.8	6.1	2.2	0.2									16.4	6th
7th				0.4	2.5	4.6	3.6	1.0	0.1										12.3	7th
8th		0.0	0.6	2.0	2.4	1.3	0.3	0.0											6.7	8th
9th	0.1	0.4	0.7	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0												2.0	9th

Total	0.1	0.5	1.3	2.9	5.3	7.9	11.0	12.8	13.5	13.1	10.6	8.6	6.3	3.7	1.7	0.7	0.1			Total

Big West Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
15-1	100.0%	0.7		0.6	0.0
14-2	86.8%	1.5		1.2	0.3	0.0
13-3	66.4%	2.5		1.4	1.0	0.1	0.0
12-4	26.8%	1.7		0.6	0.8	0.3	0.0	0.0
11-5	5.3%	0.5		0.0	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0
10-6	0.2%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.0%	0.0							0.0
8-8	0.0%

Total	6.9%	6.9		4.0	2.3	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.1%		87.9%	78.3%	9.7%	11.3					0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.0		44.4%
15-1	0.7%		49.8%	45.1%	4.7%	12.0						0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.0		0.3		8.6%
14-2	1.7%		31.6%	31.4%	0.2%	13.3											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	1.2		0.3%
13-3	3.7%		20.9%	20.9%	0.0%	13.9												0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.0	2.9		0.0%
12-4	6.3%		17.5%	17.5%		14.6													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.2	5.2
11-5	8.6%		11.4%	11.4%		14.8													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.3	7.6
10-6	10.6%		6.6%	6.6%		15.2													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	9.9
9-7	13.1%		4.0%	4.0%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	12.5
8-8	13.5%		2.4%	2.4%		15.7															0.0	0.1	0.2	13.1
7-9	12.8%		1.5%	1.5%		16.0																0.0	0.2	12.6
6-10	11.0%		1.0%	1.0%		15.9																0.0	0.1	10.9
5-11	7.9%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	7.9
4-12	5.3%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	5.3
3-13	2.9%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	2.9
2-14	1.3%																							1.3
1-15	0.5%																							0.5
0-16	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		5.8%	5.7%	0.0%	14.5					0.0	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.7	1.1	1.6	1.7	94.2		0.1%