IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
UNLV
Mountain West
2018-19

Overall
Predictive Rating	+2.2	#139
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	78.4	#19
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+1.8	#115

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+0.4	#155

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	5.1%	6.1%	2.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	2.4%	3.2%	0.8%
Average Seed	11.4	11.2	12.4

.500 or above	60.9%	69.0%	42.6%
.500 or above in Conference	52.1%	57.1%	40.9%
Conference Champion	2.1%	2.7%	0.8%
Last Place in Conference	4.0%	3.0%	6.2%

First Four	1.3%	1.7%	0.4%
First Round	4.4%	5.2%	2.5%
Second Round	1.4%	1.7%	0.6%
Sweet Sixteen	0.4%	0.6%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Final Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Loyola Marymount (Home) - 69.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0.1 - 1.7	0.1 - 1.7
Quad 1b	0.3 - 1.7	0.5 - 3.4
Quad 2	1.3 - 3.5	1.8 - 6.9
Quad 3	4.5 - 4.8	6.3 - 11.7
Quad 4	9.4 - 2.6	15.7 - 14.3

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 10, 2018	165	Loyola Marymount	W	79-77	69%
Nov 13, 2018	282	UC Riverside	W	79-70	86%
Nov 16, 2018	245	Oakland	W	82-75	81%
Nov 20, 2018	168	Pacific	W	77-75	69%
Nov 23, 2018	295	Southern Utah	W	87-77	88%
Nov 28, 2018	120	Valparaiso	L	77-78	56%
Dec 01, 2018	36	Cincinnati	L	66-75	30%
Dec 08, 2018	76	@ Illinois	L	79-84	25%
Dec 15, 2018	63	BYU	L	73-79	30%
Dec 22, 2018	201	@ Hawaii	W	77-73	55%
Dec 23, 2018	161	Indiana St.	W	79-77	57%
Dec 25, 2018	171	Bucknell	W	82-80	59%
Jan 02, 2019	180	Colorado St.	W	80-77	70%
Jan 05, 2019	173	Wyoming	W	84-81	68%
Jan 08, 2019	92	@ New Mexico	L	82-85	30%
Jan 16, 2019	212	@ Air Force	W	77-72	57%
Jan 19, 2019	321	San Jose St.	W	79-67	89%
Jan 22, 2019	92	New Mexico	L	82-85	50%
Jan 26, 2019	45	@ San Diego St.	L	73-81	18%
Jan 29, 2019	7	Nevada	L	75-90	17%
Feb 02, 2019	144	@ Utah St.	W	77-76	43%
Feb 06, 2019	95	@ Boise St.	L	75-78	32%
Feb 09, 2019	91	Fresno St.	L	74-77	49%
Feb 12, 2019	212	Air Force	W	77-72	75%
Feb 16, 2019	321	@ San Jose St.	W	79-67	77%
Feb 19, 2019	173	@ Wyoming	W	84-81	50%
Feb 23, 2019	45	San Diego St.	L	73-81	35%
Feb 27, 2019	7	@ Nevada	L	75-90	7%
Mar 02, 2019	95	Boise St.	L	75-78	51%
Mar 09, 2019	180	@ Colorado St.	W	80-77	50%
Projected Record						15.7 - 14.3	8.7 - 9.3

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mountain West Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.5	0.2	0.0		2.1	1st
2nd											0.0	0.3	1.5	2.4	2.2	0.8	0.1				7.4	2nd
3rd										0.1	0.7	2.7	3.9	2.3	0.5	0.0					10.2	3rd
4th									0.0	0.9	4.0	4.7	1.8	0.2	0.0						11.7	4th
5th								0.1	1.2	4.6	5.3	1.8	0.2								13.1	5th
6th							0.0	1.3	5.0	5.8	1.6	0.1									13.8	6th
7th						0.2	1.3	4.8	5.1	1.3	0.1										12.8	7th
8th				0.0	0.2	1.6	4.6	4.1	1.2	0.1	0.0										11.8	8th
9th			0.0	0.3	1.6	3.5	3.1	0.8	0.1												9.3	9th
10th		0.0	0.4	1.5	2.1	1.4	0.5	0.0													5.8	10th
11th	0.1	0.3	0.8	0.7	0.2	0.0	0.0														2.1	11th

Total	0.1	0.3	1.2	2.5	4.0	6.6	9.5	11.1	12.6	12.7	11.7	9.6	7.3	5.1	3.3	1.6	0.6	0.2	0.0			Total

Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
16-2	76.3%	0.5		0.4	0.1	0.0
15-3	44.9%	0.7		0.4	0.3	0.0
14-4	17.0%	0.6		0.1	0.3	0.2	0.0
13-5	4.0%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0
12-6	0.0%	0.0				0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	2.1%	2.1		1.1	0.8	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%									0.0	0.0	0.0
17-1	0.2%		86.3%	27.9%	58.4%	5.5			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.0		81.0%
16-2	0.6%		72.3%	13.5%	58.8%	8.6					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0				0.2		68.0%
15-3	1.6%		55.2%	12.4%	42.9%	9.9					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.7		48.9%
14-4	3.3%		29.8%	10.9%	18.9%	11.2								0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0		2.3		21.2%
13-5	5.1%		17.1%	8.7%	8.5%	11.8									0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.0		4.2		9.3%
12-6	7.3%		6.8%	5.3%	1.5%	12.3											0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0		6.8		1.6%
11-7	9.6%		5.9%	5.3%	0.6%	13.2												0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1		9.0		0.6%
10-8	11.7%		2.1%	2.0%	0.0%	13.7												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	11.5		0.0%
9-9	12.7%		1.7%	1.7%		14.5													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	12.5
8-10	12.6%		1.3%	1.3%		14.8													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.1	12.4
7-11	11.1%		0.3%	0.3%		15.8														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	11.0
6-12	9.5%		0.2%	0.2%		15.3																0.0	0.0	9.4
5-13	6.6%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	6.6
4-14	4.0%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	4.0
3-15	2.5%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	2.5
2-16	1.2%																							1.2
1-17	0.3%																							0.3
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		5.1%	2.7%	2.4%	11.4			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.2	0.1	0.2	0.5	1.1	1.2	0.6	0.5	0.3	0.2	94.9		2.4%