Preseason Rankings
Portland
West Coast
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.4#241
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace66.2#250
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#223
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.5#265
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.7% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.1 13.5 14.9
.500 or above 27.5% 44.9% 19.3%
.500 or above in Conference 16.6% 23.8% 13.2%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 31.5% 22.7% 35.7%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Hawaii (Away) - 32.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 1.50.0 - 1.5
Quad 1b0.1 - 1.70.2 - 3.3
Quad 20.6 - 3.70.8 - 7.0
Quad 32.9 - 6.23.7 - 13.1
Quad 48.3 - 3.912.0 - 17.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 201   @ Hawaii L 67-69 32%    
  Nov 10, 2018 132   North Texas L 67-74 26%    
  Nov 17, 2018 342   @ Cal St. Northridge W 72-62 72%    
  Nov 21, 2018 334   South Carolina Upstate W 79-72 83%    
  Nov 23, 2018 317   Cal Poly W 72-67 76%    
  Nov 24, 2018 203   Texas St. L 63-65 53%    
  Nov 28, 2018 84   @ Colorado L 65-75 12%    
  Dec 05, 2018 246   @ Portland St. W 78-77 41%    
  Dec 08, 2018 257   Sacramento St. W 69-68 64%    
  Dec 15, 2018 296   Grambling St. W 74-71 70%    
  Dec 17, 2018 244   Seattle W 70-69 62%    
  Dec 21, 2018 352   Florida A&M W 75-62 92%    
  Dec 29, 2018 143   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 68-74 22%    
  Jan 05, 2019 165   @ Loyola Marymount L 70-74 27%    
  Jan 10, 2019 63   @ BYU L 63-76 9%    
  Jan 12, 2019 168   Pacific L 68-72 46%    
  Jan 17, 2019 121   San Diego L 65-73 35%    
  Jan 19, 2019 5   Gonzaga L 62-85 5%    
  Jan 24, 2019 137   @ San Francisco L 64-71 21%    
  Jan 26, 2019 168   @ Pacific L 68-72 27%    
  Jan 31, 2019 234   Pepperdine L 71-72 59%    
  Feb 02, 2019 217   @ Santa Clara L 66-67 36%    
  Feb 07, 2019 63   BYU L 63-76 22%    
  Feb 09, 2019 165   Loyola Marymount L 70-74 46%    
  Feb 16, 2019 137   San Francisco L 64-71 39%    
  Feb 21, 2019 121   @ San Diego L 65-73 19%    
  Feb 23, 2019 234   @ Pepperdine L 71-72 39%    
  Feb 28, 2019 59   @ St. Mary's L 61-74 10%    
  Mar 02, 2019 217   Santa Clara L 66-67 56%    
Projected Record 12.0 - 17.0 5.0 - 11.0





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.4 0.8 0.2 0.1 3.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.2 2.4 0.9 0.2 0.0 6.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.2 3.2 1.0 0.0 8.0 5th
6th 0.6 4.4 5.4 1.3 0.1 11.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 4.9 5.9 1.6 0.0 13.2 7th
8th 0.0 1.2 5.7 6.7 1.7 0.1 15.3 8th
9th 0.3 2.7 7.2 7.1 1.6 0.1 18.9 9th
10th 2.2 5.7 7.5 4.8 1.3 0.0 21.4 10th
Total 2.2 5.9 10.2 13.2 14.8 13.9 12.6 10.7 6.9 4.6 2.6 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 66.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-2 6.3% 0.0    0.0
13-3 7.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-4 6.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-5 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.0% 33.7% 33.7% 6.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 33.7%
14-2 0.0% 45.3% 43.8% 1.6% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.8%
13-3 0.3% 10.4% 10.4% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
12-4 0.7% 6.1% 2.2% 3.9% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 4.0%
11-5 1.4% 0.3% 0.3% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4
10-6 2.6% 2.6% 2.6% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.6
9-7 4.6% 1.2% 1.2% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.5
8-8 6.9% 0.3% 0.3% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.9
7-9 10.7% 0.5% 0.5% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.6
6-10 12.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.5
5-11 13.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.9
4-12 14.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 14.8
3-13 13.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.2
2-14 10.2% 10.2
1-15 5.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 5.9
0-16 2.2% 2.2
Total 100% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 99.6 0.0%