IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Pacific
West Coast
2018-19

Overall
Predictive Rating	-0.2	#168
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	66.4	#245
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.5	#148

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.7	#194

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.2%	2.7%	0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.9%	1.2%	0.1%
Average Seed	12.2	12.0	13.5

.500 or above	40.7%	48.3%	20.8%
.500 or above in Conference	36.6%	41.2%	24.4%
Conference Champion	0.9%	1.1%	0.4%
Last Place in Conference	13.4%	11.0%	19.6%

First Four	0.6%	0.7%	0.2%
First Round	1.9%	2.3%	0.8%
Second Round	0.4%	0.5%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: SIU Edwardsville (Away) - 72.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0.1 - 3.1	0.1 - 3.1
Quad 1b	0.3 - 1.9	0.4 - 5.0
Quad 2	1.1 - 3.5	1.5 - 8.5
Quad 3	3.5 - 4.1	5.0 - 12.6
Quad 4	8.5 - 2.9	13.5 - 15.5

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2018	320	@ SIU Edwardsville	W	77-68	72%
Nov 09, 2018	7	@ Nevada	L	68-85	3%
Nov 15, 2018	247	@ Idaho St.	W	75-70	55%
Nov 20, 2018	139	@ UNLV	L	75-77	31%
Nov 22, 2018	282	UC Riverside	W	72-66	79%
Nov 23, 2018	230	Abilene Christian	W	73-69	73%
Nov 24, 2018	231	Elon	W	73-69	72%
Nov 28, 2018	91	@ Fresno St.	L	66-72	23%
Dec 01, 2018	212	Air Force	W	70-67	69%
Dec 10, 2018	189	Long Beach St.	W	76-75	63%
Dec 16, 2018	342	@ Cal St. Northridge	W	75-61	81%
Dec 22, 2018	95	@ Boise St.	L	68-73	24%
Dec 29, 2018	90	UC Irvine	L	66-72	41%
Jan 03, 2019	63	BYU	L	66-74	33%
Jan 05, 2019	121	@ San Diego	L	67-70	29%
Jan 10, 2019	5	@ Gonzaga	L	65-83	4%
Jan 12, 2019	241	@ Portland	W	72-68	54%
Jan 17, 2019	137	San Francisco	L	67-69	51%
Jan 19, 2019	217	Santa Clara	W	69-66	69%
Jan 26, 2019	241	Portland	W	72-68	73%
Jan 31, 2019	165	@ Loyola Marymount	L	72-73	40%
Feb 02, 2019	234	Pepperdine	W	74-70	71%
Feb 07, 2019	59	@ St. Mary's	L	64-73	16%
Feb 09, 2019	63	@ BYU	L	66-74	17%
Feb 16, 2019	217	@ Santa Clara	W	69-66	50%
Feb 21, 2019	59	St. Mary's	L	64-73	31%
Feb 23, 2019	165	Loyola Marymount	L	72-73	59%
Feb 28, 2019	5	Gonzaga	L	65-83	10%
Mar 02, 2019	234	@ Pepperdine	W	74-70	53%
Projected Record						13.5 - 15.5	6.6 - 9.4

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected West Coast Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0		0.9	1st
2nd									0.0	0.1	0.7	1.3	1.5	0.6	0.1				4.4	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.3	2.0	3.5	2.1	0.6	0.0					8.5	3rd
4th							0.0	0.5	3.6	5.1	2.4	0.3	0.0						11.8	4th
5th							0.5	4.4	6.1	2.3	0.3								13.5	5th
6th						0.5	4.8	6.9	2.4	0.2	0.0								14.8	6th
7th				0.0	0.6	4.4	6.6	2.1	0.2										13.9	7th
8th			0.0	0.8	4.6	6.0	1.8	0.1											13.3	8th
9th		0.1	1.1	3.8	4.4	1.5	0.0												10.9	9th
10th	0.4	1.6	2.7	2.4	0.8	0.0													7.9	10th

Total	0.4	1.7	3.8	7.0	10.4	12.5	13.7	13.9	12.6	9.6	6.9	3.8	2.4	0.9	0.4	0.1	0.0			Total

West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
15-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
14-2	66.2%	0.3		0.2	0.1	0.0
13-3	27.2%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0
12-4	10.0%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-5	1.9%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-6	0.0%	0.0		0.0		0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	0.9%	0.9		0.5	0.3	0.1	0.1

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.0%		100.0%		100.0%	9.9							0.0				0.0									100.0%
15-1	0.1%		97.7%	18.1%	79.7%	6.6		0.0		0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0				0.0		97.2%
14-2	0.4%		51.8%	6.9%	44.9%	9.8					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0				0.2		48.2%
13-3	0.9%		28.7%	7.2%	21.6%	11.1						0.0	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0				0.6		23.2%
12-4	2.4%		16.4%	4.4%	11.9%	11.4										0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0		2.0		12.5%
11-5	3.8%		8.3%	5.7%	2.7%	12.2											0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		3.5		2.8%
10-6	6.9%		2.2%	2.1%	0.0%	13.2												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	6.7		0.0%
9-7	9.6%		3.2%	3.1%	0.2%	13.2												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.0	9.3		0.2%
8-8	12.6%		0.9%	0.9%		14.1													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	12.4
7-9	13.9%		1.2%	1.2%		14.7													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	13.8
6-10	13.7%		0.4%	0.4%		14.8														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	13.7
5-11	12.5%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	12.5
4-12	10.4%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																0.0	0.0	10.4
3-13	7.0%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	7.0
2-14	3.8%																							3.8
1-15	1.7%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.0	1.7
0-16	0.4%																							0.4

Total	100%		2.2%	1.3%	0.9%	12.2		0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.4	0.4	0.2	0.2	0.2	97.8		0.9%