Kansas
Big 12
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+18.6#5
Achievement Rating+29.1#2
Pace72.4#121
Improvement-1.1#257

Offense
Total Offense+10.4#8
First Shot+6.9#25
After Offensive Rebound+3.6#25
Layup/Dunks+9.0#4
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#301
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#177
Freethrows+0.6#137
Improvement-1.0#258

Defense
Total Defense+8.2#12
First Shot+6.3#25
After Offensive Rebounds+1.9#61
Layups/Dunks+6.5#10
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#163
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#308
Freethrows+3.6#23
Improvement-0.2#197
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 56.3% 61.0% 39.6%
Top 4 Seed 95.5% 96.9% 90.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.8% 99.9% 99.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.7% 99.9% 99.2%
Average Seed 1.8 1.7 2.3
.500 or above 99.9% 100.0% 99.7%
.500 or above in Conference 96.3% 96.9% 94.0%
Conference Champion 52.9% 55.3% 44.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.1% 0.4%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.3%
First Round99.8% 99.9% 99.3%
Second Round93.6% 94.6% 90.1%
Sweet Sixteen68.2% 69.8% 62.4%
Elite Eight44.4% 46.3% 37.7%
Final Four25.8% 27.3% 20.4%
Championship Game13.8% 14.8% 10.1%
National Champion6.8% 7.4% 4.7%

Next Game: Villanova (Home) - 78.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 1 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 7   Michigan St. W 92-87 51%     1 - 0 +23.3 +12.1 +10.4
  Nov 12, 2018 110   Vermont W 84-68 94%     2 - 0 +17.5 +7.7 +9.4
  Nov 16, 2018 126   Louisiana W 89-76 95%     3 - 0 +13.0 +8.8 +3.1
  Nov 21, 2018 34   Marquette W 77-68 74%     4 - 0 +21.0 +11.5 +9.7
  Nov 23, 2018 11   Tennessee W 87-81 57%     5 - 0 +22.8 +9.1 +12.8
  Dec 01, 2018 97   Stanford W 90-84 93%     6 - 0 +8.4 +11.4 -3.6
  Dec 04, 2018 67   Wofford W 72-47 90%     7 - 0 +29.3 +1.7 +28.1
  Dec 08, 2018 63   New Mexico St. W 63-60 90%     8 - 0 +7.7 +0.4 +7.6
  Dec 15, 2018 21   Villanova W 76-68 78%    
  Dec 18, 2018 170   South Dakota W 82-60 98%    
  Dec 22, 2018 36   @ Arizona St. W 80-76 64%    
  Dec 29, 2018 182   Eastern Michigan W 82-59 98%    
  Jan 02, 2019 25   Oklahoma W 83-74 79%    
  Jan 05, 2019 22   @ Iowa St. W 77-75 59%    
  Jan 09, 2019 30   TCU W 80-71 80%    
  Jan 12, 2019 82   @ Baylor W 76-66 81%    
  Jan 14, 2019 46   Texas W 76-64 86%    
  Jan 19, 2019 38   @ West Virginia W 78-74 66%    
  Jan 21, 2019 22   Iowa St. W 80-72 78%    
  Jan 26, 2019 16   @ Kentucky W 78-77 55%    
  Jan 29, 2019 46   @ Texas W 73-67 70%    
  Feb 02, 2019 12   Texas Tech W 73-67 71%    
  Feb 05, 2019 28   @ Kansas St. W 70-67 60%    
  Feb 09, 2019 73   Oklahoma St. W 82-67 91%    
  Feb 11, 2019 30   @ TCU W 77-74 61%    
  Feb 16, 2019 38   West Virginia W 81-71 82%    
  Feb 23, 2019 12   @ Texas Tech L 69-70 50%    
  Feb 25, 2019 28   Kansas St. W 73-64 79%    
  Mar 02, 2019 73   @ Oklahoma St. W 79-70 78%    
  Mar 05, 2019 25   @ Oklahoma W 80-77 59%    
  Mar 09, 2019 82   Baylor W 79-63 91%    
Projected Record 25.2 - 5.8 13.2 - 4.8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 2.1 7.2 11.9 13.6 10.5 5.6 1.7 52.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 2.1 6.4 6.9 3.9 1.1 0.2 20.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.5 4.4 3.7 1.2 0.1 0.0 11.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 2.9 2.3 0.5 0.0 6.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.8 1.6 0.3 0.0 4.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.0 0.2 0.0 2.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.0 2.1 3.9 6.4 9.3 12.7 15.3 15.9 14.7 10.7 5.6 1.7 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 1.7    1.7
17-1 100.0% 5.6    5.6 0.0
16-2 98.6% 10.5    10.0 0.5
15-3 92.6% 13.6    11.7 1.9 0.0
14-4 74.8% 11.9    8.0 3.5 0.3 0.0
13-5 47.2% 7.2    3.1 3.1 0.9 0.1
12-6 16.3% 2.1    0.4 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.0
11-7 2.2% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 52.9% 52.9 40.6 9.9 2.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 1.7% 100.0% 64.5% 35.5% 1.0 1.7 100.0%
17-1 5.6% 100.0% 58.3% 41.7% 1.0 5.6 0.0 100.0%
16-2 10.7% 100.0% 52.1% 47.9% 1.0 10.5 0.2 0.0 100.0%
15-3 14.7% 100.0% 45.8% 54.2% 1.1 13.7 1.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 15.9% 100.0% 39.5% 60.5% 1.2 12.7 3.2 0.1 100.0%
13-5 15.3% 100.0% 33.5% 66.5% 1.5 8.2 6.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 100.0%
12-6 12.7% 100.0% 26.7% 73.3% 1.9 3.2 7.9 1.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
11-7 9.3% 100.0% 21.6% 78.4% 2.4 0.6 5.4 2.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 100.0%
10-8 6.4% 100.0% 18.0% 82.0% 3.0 0.1 2.1 2.6 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
9-9 3.9% 100.0% 13.9% 86.0% 3.7 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
8-10 2.1% 99.7% 10.0% 89.7% 5.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.6%
7-11 1.0% 97.3% 7.0% 90.4% 7.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.1%
6-12 0.4% 86.0% 6.0% 80.0% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 85.1%
5-13 0.2% 69.2% 2.4% 66.9% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 68.5%
4-14 0.1% 30.0% 4.0% 26.0% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 27.1%
3-15 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 99.8% 35.5% 64.3% 1.8 56.3 26.7 8.7 3.8 1.8 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 99.7%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.6% 100.0% 1.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1% 100.0% 1.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1% 100.0% 1.0 100.0