Tulane
American Athletic
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.1#218
Achievement Rating-5.8#243
Pace71.5#135
Improvement-4.3#351

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#233
First Shot+0.5#170
After Offensive Rebound-2.4#314
Layup/Dunks+0.6#157
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#55
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#271
Freethrows+0.4#151
Improvement-2.3#330

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#208
First Shot-0.4#183
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#229
Layups/Dunks+0.1#178
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#240
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#246
Freethrows+2.7#46
Improvement-2.1#313
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 13.8 14.5
.500 or above 3.3% 4.6% 1.0%
.500 or above in Conference 8.1% 9.5% 5.6%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 29.3% 26.3% 34.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas Southern (Home) - 62.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2018 15   Florida St. L 69-80 10%     0 - 1 +0.2 -0.2 +0.8
  Nov 13, 2018 185   Coastal Carolina W 81-76 55%     1 - 1 +0.5 -1.5 +1.6
  Nov 19, 2018 96   South Dakota St. W 84-80 21%     2 - 1 +9.4 +6.1 +3.1
  Nov 20, 2018 98   UC Irvine L 55-67 30%     2 - 2 -9.7 -10.0 -0.6
  Nov 21, 2018 126   Louisiana L 61-68 28%     2 - 3 -4.0 -8.0 +3.7
  Nov 28, 2018 108   Georgia St. L 76-80 32%     2 - 4 -2.4 +3.9 -6.5
  Dec 01, 2018 287   SE Louisiana L 61-62 75%     2 - 5 -11.0 -12.7 +1.7
  Dec 05, 2018 295   Tennessee Martin W 87-74 76%     3 - 5 +2.3 -1.1 +2.1
  Dec 08, 2018 197   @ South Alabama L 60-81 35%     3 - 6 -20.1 -9.1 -11.6
  Dec 17, 2018 221   Texas Southern W 80-77 63%    
  Dec 21, 2018 297   Towson W 73-68 67%    
  Jan 02, 2019 26   @ Cincinnati L 57-76 4%    
  Jan 04, 2019 115   SMU L 69-73 35%    
  Jan 09, 2019 191   @ South Florida L 66-70 35%    
  Jan 13, 2019 116   Memphis L 76-80 35%    
  Jan 19, 2019 77   @ Connecticut L 70-83 12%    
  Jan 23, 2019 41   Central Florida L 61-72 16%    
  Jan 26, 2019 115   @ SMU L 66-76 18%    
  Jan 31, 2019 257   @ East Carolina L 72-73 48%    
  Feb 02, 2019 68   Temple L 67-74 25%    
  Feb 09, 2019 114   @ Wichita St. L 68-78 18%    
  Feb 14, 2019 118   Tulsa L 70-74 36%    
  Feb 17, 2019 33   Houston L 60-72 14%    
  Feb 20, 2019 116   @ Memphis L 73-83 18%    
  Feb 23, 2019 257   East Carolina W 75-70 69%    
  Feb 28, 2019 118   @ Tulsa L 67-77 19%    
  Mar 03, 2019 68   @ Temple L 64-77 12%    
  Mar 06, 2019 191   South Florida W 69-67 56%    
  Mar 09, 2019 114   Wichita St. L 71-75 35%    
Projected Record 9.3 - 19.7 5.0 - 13.0





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.8 0.5 0.0 0.0 3.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.6 3.0 1.2 0.1 6.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.1 4.4 2.1 0.2 0.0 9.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.9 6.2 3.6 0.4 0.0 13.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.9 4.9 8.4 5.0 0.8 0.0 20.0 10th
11th 0.2 2.3 7.5 9.2 4.6 0.8 0.0 24.5 11th
12th 1.0 3.9 6.5 5.3 2.0 0.3 0.0 18.9 12th
Total 1.0 4.0 8.9 13.7 16.4 16.4 14.2 10.5 6.9 4.3 2.2 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 37.5% 0.0    0.0
14-4 44.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 15.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.1% 8.6% 5.2% 3.4% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 3.6%
13-5 0.2% 3.8% 3.1% 0.6% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6%
12-6 0.4% 3.2% 3.2% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
11-7 1.0% 1.9% 1.9% 13.6 0.0 0.0 1.0
10-8 2.2% 0.8% 0.7% 0.0% 13.6 0.0 0.0 2.2 0.0%
9-9 4.3% 0.3% 0.3% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.2
8-10 6.9% 0.1% 0.1% 14.8 0.0 0.0 6.9
7-11 10.5% 0.1% 0.1% 15.2 0.0 0.0 10.5
6-12 14.2% 0.1% 0.1% 15.9 0.0 0.0 14.2
5-13 16.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 16.4
4-14 16.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 16.4
3-15 13.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.7
2-16 8.9% 8.9
1-17 4.0% 4.0
0-18 1.0% 1.0
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%