UTEP
Conference USA
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.1#214
Achievement Rating-11.1#298
Pace68.4#222
Improvement+3.6#8

Offense
Total Offense-3.8#280
First Shot-2.6#254
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#240
Layup/Dunks-1.9#234
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#27
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#282
Freethrows-1.4#249
Improvement+0.6#126

Defense
Total Defense+0.7#149
First Shot-1.4#219
After Offensive Rebounds+2.1#47
Layups/Dunks-2.9#275
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#331
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#67
Freethrows+1.3#106
Improvement+3.0#16
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.9% 2.1% 1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.8 15.3
.500 or above 19.5% 23.6% 7.0%
.500 or above in Conference 42.9% 46.1% 33.2%
Conference Champion 1.9% 2.2% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 6.7% 5.7% 9.9%
First Four0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
First Round1.7% 2.0% 1.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UC Riverside (Home) - 75.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 63   @ New Mexico St. L 66-91 10%     0 - 1 -14.3 -3.0 -10.1
  Nov 14, 2018 40   @ Arizona L 46-79 7%     0 - 2 -19.2 -19.0 -0.6
  Nov 24, 2018 146   @ New Mexico L 78-84 24%     0 - 3 -1.8 +4.5 -6.4
  Nov 28, 2018 63   New Mexico St. L 58-62 23%     0 - 4 +0.7 -7.4 +7.9
  Dec 01, 2018 347   Northwestern St. W 77-47 92%     1 - 4 +10.8 -6.1 +15.6
  Dec 04, 2018 34   @ Marquette L 69-76 6%     1 - 5 +8.0 -1.6 +10.0
  Dec 16, 2018 293   UC Riverside W 68-61 75%    
  Dec 21, 2018 277   Norfolk St. W 71-65 73%    
  Jan 03, 2019 187   @ Texas San Antonio L 69-74 33%    
  Jan 05, 2019 187   Texas San Antonio W 72-71 55%    
  Jan 10, 2019 124   North Texas L 66-69 38%    
  Jan 12, 2019 315   Rice W 77-68 80%    
  Jan 17, 2019 216   @ UAB L 66-69 39%    
  Jan 19, 2019 252   @ Middle Tennessee L 65-66 47%    
  Jan 24, 2019 105   Old Dominion L 59-64 33%    
  Jan 26, 2019 307   Charlotte W 70-61 78%    
  Jan 31, 2019 131   @ Marshall L 71-80 21%    
  Feb 02, 2019 85   @ Western Kentucky L 64-76 14%    
  Feb 07, 2019 209   Florida Atlantic W 71-68 60%    
  Feb 09, 2019 229   Florida International W 83-79 64%    
  Feb 14, 2019 138   @ Louisiana Tech L 66-74 24%    
  Feb 16, 2019 148   @ Southern Miss L 63-70 28%    
Projected Record 8.6 - 13.4 6.1 - 7.9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference USA Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 1.6 0.9 0.1 0.0 3.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.2 1.8 0.2 0.0 4.6 3rd
4th 0.1 2.0 3.3 0.5 0.0 5.9 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 4.7 1.7 0.0 7.4 5th
6th 0.2 4.1 3.9 0.2 0.0 8.5 6th
7th 0.0 2.1 6.4 1.2 0.0 9.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 6.1 3.5 0.1 10.5 8th
9th 0.2 3.9 6.2 0.6 0.0 10.9 9th
10th 0.1 1.9 6.8 2.1 0.0 10.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.9 5.1 3.8 0.2 10.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 3.2 3.9 0.7 0.0 8.2 12th
13th 0.2 1.7 2.7 0.8 0.0 5.6 13th
14th 0.2 0.9 1.3 0.5 0.0 2.8 14th
Total 0.2 1.1 3.4 7.4 12.0 16.0 17.0 15.7 12.3 7.9 4.3 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 99.4% 0.2    0.1 0.0
12-2 80.3% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
11-3 40.7% 0.8    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
10-4 8.1% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-5 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 1.9% 1.9 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.2% 20.9% 20.9% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-2 0.7% 13.6% 13.6% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
11-3 1.9% 12.1% 12.1% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.7
10-4 4.3% 9.0% 9.0% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 3.9
9-5 7.9% 4.7% 4.7% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 7.5
8-6 12.3% 2.7% 2.7% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 11.9
7-7 15.7% 1.3% 1.3% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 15.5
6-8 17.0% 0.8% 0.8% 15.9 0.0 0.1 16.8
5-9 16.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 16.0
4-10 12.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.0
3-11 7.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 7.4
2-12 3.4% 3.4
1-13 1.1% 1.1
0-14 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.6 98.1 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%