Wyoming
Mountain West
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.7#224
Achievement Rating-7.9#265
Pace76.4#53
Improvement+1.0#97

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#225
First Shot+2.8#97
After Offensive Rebound-4.6#351
Layup/Dunks-3.5#283
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#74
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#142
Freethrows+3.0#40
Improvement-0.5#217

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#231
First Shot-4.0#295
After Offensive Rebounds+2.1#50
Layups/Dunks-0.7#206
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#314
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#194
Freethrows-0.3#202
Improvement+1.5#69
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.5 15.3
.500 or above 2.1% 4.9% 1.0%
.500 or above in Conference 14.8% 19.2% 13.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 12.1% 9.1% 13.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: East Tennessee St. (Neutral) - 28.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 149   UC Santa Barbara L 66-76 44%     0 - 1 -12.1 -7.8 -4.3
  Nov 10, 2018 69   @ Oregon St. L 64-83 10%     0 - 2 -8.9 -3.3 -5.6
  Nov 14, 2018 258   Grambling St. W 86-78 68%     1 - 2 -0.5 +7.1 -8.0
  Nov 16, 2018 255   Niagara L 67-72 68%     1 - 3 -13.5 -13.4 +0.2
  Nov 19, 2018 105   Boston College L 76-88 21%     1 - 4 -7.2 +2.2 -9.1
  Nov 21, 2018 199   Richmond W 68-66 44%     2 - 4 -0.2 -1.7 +1.7
  Nov 28, 2018 176   @ Evansville L 78-86 30%     2 - 5 -6.1 -4.9 +0.1
  Dec 01, 2018 147   Northern Colorado L 80-85 44%     2 - 6 -7.0 -2.8 -3.7
  Dec 05, 2018 120   South Carolina W 73-64 33%     3 - 6 +9.7 -2.7 +11.8
  Dec 11, 2018 264   Denver L 87-90 70%     3 - 7 -12.0 -1.9 -9.7
  Dec 21, 2018 133   East Tennessee St. L 68-74 29%    
  Jan 02, 2019 134   Boise St. L 71-74 38%    
  Jan 05, 2019 129   @ UNLV L 71-81 18%    
  Jan 08, 2019 74   @ San Diego St. L 70-84 11%    
  Jan 12, 2019 44   Utah St. L 73-84 16%    
  Jan 19, 2019 148   @ New Mexico L 81-89 25%    
  Jan 23, 2019 323   San Jose St. W 78-68 81%    
  Jan 26, 2019 134   @ Boise St. L 68-77 21%    
  Jan 30, 2019 62   Fresno St. L 71-80 21%    
  Feb 06, 2019 243   @ Air Force L 71-73 44%    
  Feb 09, 2019 211   Colorado St. W 80-78 58%    
  Feb 13, 2019 44   @ Utah St. L 70-87 6%    
  Feb 16, 2019 10   Nevada L 71-88 6%    
  Feb 19, 2019 129   UNLV L 74-78 38%    
  Feb 23, 2019 211   @ Colorado St. L 77-81 38%    
  Feb 27, 2019 62   @ Fresno St. L 68-83 10%    
  Mar 02, 2019 243   Air Force W 74-70 65%    
  Mar 06, 2019 323   @ San Jose St. W 75-71 64%    
  Mar 09, 2019 148   New Mexico L 84-86 44%    
Projected Record 9.3 - 19.7 6.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.1 0.2 0.0 3.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.5 2.1 0.4 0.0 6.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.7 4.5 3.4 0.5 0.0 10.3 6th
7th 0.3 3.0 6.7 5.0 1.1 0.0 16.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 4.8 8.4 5.4 0.9 0.1 20.2 8th
9th 0.0 1.1 6.0 8.8 4.3 0.8 0.0 20.9 9th
10th 0.1 1.4 4.9 6.1 2.5 0.3 0.0 15.4 10th
11th 0.2 1.0 2.4 2.3 0.6 0.0 6.5 11th
Total 0.2 1.1 3.9 8.3 13.3 16.3 16.1 14.6 11.4 7.5 4.2 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.1 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.1% 0.1
13-5 0.2% 4.2% 4.2% 14.0 0.0 0.2
12-6 0.8% 0.8
11-7 2.0% 2.0
10-8 4.2% 0.5% 0.5% 15.5 0.0 0.0 4.2
9-9 7.5% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 7.5
8-10 11.4% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 11.4
7-11 14.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.6
6-12 16.1% 16.1
5-13 16.3% 16.3
4-14 13.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.3
3-15 8.3% 8.3
2-16 3.9% 3.9
1-17 1.1% 1.1
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0%