Wyoming
Mountain West
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.8#298
Achievement Rating-9.9#307
Pace71.3#116
Improvement-1.8#263

Offense
Total Offense-5.5#305
First Shot-0.9#206
After Offensive Rebound-4.5#353
Layup/Dunks-3.2#290
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#244
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#121
Freethrows+2.0#53
Improvement-2.2#279

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#241
First Shot-3.6#287
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#58
Layups/Dunks+3.0#67
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#345
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#261
Freethrows-0.2#197
Improvement+0.4#158
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 n/a 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 6.2% 1.3% 8.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UNLV (Home) - 30.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 172   UC Santa Barbara L 66-76 33%     0 - 1 -13.3 -9.2 -4.1
  Nov 10, 2018 75   @ Oregon St. L 64-83 6%     0 - 2 -9.6 -5.3 -4.4
  Nov 14, 2018 284   Grambling St. W 86-78 57%     1 - 2 -1.7 +8.3 -10.4
  Nov 16, 2018 299   Niagara L 67-72 61%     1 - 3 -15.6 -17.9 +2.5
  Nov 19, 2018 97   Boston College L 76-88 12%     1 - 4 -6.9 +3.6 -10.3
  Nov 21, 2018 179   Richmond W 68-66 26%     2 - 4 +0.9 -2.1 +3.2
  Nov 28, 2018 201   @ Evansville L 78-86 22%     2 - 5 -7.7 -4.5 -1.9
  Dec 01, 2018 183   Northern Colorado L 80-85 36%     2 - 6 -9.1 -1.8 -6.8
  Dec 05, 2018 74   South Carolina W 73-64 14%     3 - 6 +12.9 -3.9 +16.1
  Dec 11, 2018 297   Denver L 87-90 60%     3 - 7 -13.5 -3.7 -9.5
  Dec 21, 2018 93   East Tennessee St. L 53-76 11%     3 - 8 -17.7 -23.6 +8.6
  Dec 22, 2018 266   @ UTEP L 65-76 33%     3 - 9 -14.1 -3.1 -11.2
  Jan 02, 2019 125   Boise St. L 55-69 22%     3 - 10 0 - 1 -13.5 -10.4 -5.1
  Jan 05, 2019 151   @ UNLV L 56-68 15%     3 - 11 0 - 2 -8.5 -14.6 +5.4
  Jan 08, 2019 115   @ San Diego St. L 54-84 9%     3 - 12 0 - 3 -23.3 -17.2 -5.2
  Jan 12, 2019 49   Utah St. L 55-71 10%     3 - 13 0 - 4 -9.4 -8.1 -3.4
  Jan 19, 2019 155   @ New Mexico L 53-83 15%     3 - 14 0 - 5 -26.7 -23.6 -0.1
  Jan 23, 2019 338   San Jose St. W 59-46 78%     4 - 14 1 - 5 -2.9 -9.0 +8.3
  Jan 26, 2019 125   @ Boise St. L 52-77 10%     4 - 15 1 - 6 -19.0 -20.5 +2.5
  Jan 30, 2019 59   Fresno St. L 62-75 12%     4 - 16 1 - 7 -7.9 +0.5 -10.1
  Feb 06, 2019 239   @ Air Force L 76-81 28%     4 - 17 1 - 8 -6.8 +2.4 -9.2
  Feb 09, 2019 178   Colorado St. W 74-66 35%     5 - 17 2 - 8 +4.1 +2.7 +2.1
  Feb 13, 2019 49   @ Utah St. L 59-76 4%     5 - 18 2 - 9 -4.9 -1.5 -5.4
  Feb 16, 2019 13   Nevada L 49-82 4%     5 - 19 2 - 10 -19.7 -17.1 -3.1
  Feb 19, 2019 151   UNLV L 71-77 30%    
  Feb 23, 2019 178   @ Colorado St. L 69-78 18%    
  Feb 27, 2019 59   @ Fresno St. L 61-79 4%    
  Mar 02, 2019 239   Air Force L 68-69 49%    
  Mar 06, 2019 338   @ San Jose St. W 70-67 59%    
  Mar 09, 2019 155   New Mexico L 73-79 31%    
Projected Record 6.9 - 23.1 3.9 - 14.1




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 0.2 0.6 0.0 0.8 7th
8th 0.2 2.7 0.4 0.0 3.4 8th
9th 0.3 4.2 3.1 0.0 7.6 9th
10th 8.4 28.0 33.6 16.4 0.6 87.0 10th
11th 0.9 0.2 0.0 1.1 11th
Total 9.3 28.2 33.9 20.9 6.6 1.1 0.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 0.0% 0.0
7-11 1.1% 1.1
6-12 6.6% 6.6
5-13 20.9% 20.9
4-14 33.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 33.9
3-15 28.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 28.2
2-16 9.3% 9.3
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 7.8%