Marshall
Conference USA
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.7#129
Achievement Rating+0.1#173
Pace85.7#6
Improvement-3.6#344

Offense
Total Offense+1.5#126
First Shot+3.1#89
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#262
Layup/Dunks+3.2#83
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#256
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#90
Freethrows-1.4#247
Improvement-0.9#257

Defense
Total Defense+1.2#134
First Shot+3.6#63
After Offensive Rebounds-2.4#314
Layups/Dunks-0.9#214
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#165
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.4#28
Freethrows-1.1#238
Improvement-2.6#331
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.6% 12.1% 7.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.5 13.4 14.1
.500 or above 79.6% 82.4% 58.4%
.500 or above in Conference 85.1% 86.0% 78.1%
Conference Champion 12.9% 13.5% 8.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.5% 0.8%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round11.5% 11.9% 7.9%
Second Round1.6% 1.7% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.4% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Morehead St. (Home) - 88.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2018 275   @ Eastern Kentucky W 105-77 72%     1 - 0 +24.7 +6.0 +12.2
  Nov 11, 2018 131   Hofstra W 76-72 62%     2 - 0 +3.7 -3.9 +7.5
  Nov 14, 2018 340   Mount St. Mary's W 98-75 95%     3 - 0 +6.7 +4.9 -1.5
  Nov 19, 2018 324   N.C. A&T W 95-71 93%     4 - 0 +10.2 +5.6 +2.5
  Nov 23, 2018 29   @ Maryland L 67-104 12%     4 - 1 -21.5 -9.2 -6.0
  Nov 28, 2018 199   William & Mary W 84-64 77%     5 - 1 +14.8 +0.5 +13.5
  Dec 01, 2018 152   @ Ohio L 84-101 46%     5 - 2 -13.3 -0.9 -9.1
  Dec 05, 2018 160   @ Duquesne L 82-93 48%     5 - 3 -7.9 +1.6 -8.3
  Dec 08, 2018 75   Toledo L 74-75 47%     5 - 4 +2.5 -6.9 +9.6
  Dec 10, 2018 286   Morehead St. W 88-75 89%    
  Dec 15, 2018 130   @ Akron L 75-78 39%    
  Dec 22, 2018 86   @ Texas A&M L 77-83 28%    
  Dec 31, 2018 4   @ Virginia L 60-79 4%    
  Jan 03, 2019 105   @ Old Dominion L 68-73 32%    
  Jan 05, 2019 309   @ Charlotte W 80-72 78%    
  Jan 12, 2019 83   Western Kentucky L 80-81 49%    
  Jan 17, 2019 212   Florida Atlantic W 85-76 78%    
  Jan 19, 2019 228   Florida International W 100-90 81%    
  Jan 21, 2019 83   @ Western Kentucky L 78-84 29%    
  Jan 24, 2019 137   @ Louisiana Tech L 79-81 41%    
  Jan 26, 2019 149   @ Southern Miss L 76-77 47%    
  Jan 31, 2019 214   UTEP W 81-72 78%    
  Feb 02, 2019 188   Texas San Antonio W 86-79 75%    
  Feb 07, 2019 121   @ North Texas L 75-79 37%    
  Feb 09, 2019 315   @ Rice W 88-79 79%    
  Feb 14, 2019 217   UAB W 82-73 79%    
  Feb 16, 2019 254   Middle Tennessee W 81-70 84%    
Projected Record 15.3 - 11.7 8.7 - 5.3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.3 4.6 4.6 1.9 0.3 12.9 1st
2nd 0.0 1.0 5.9 5.3 1.1 0.0 13.3 2nd
3rd 0.4 5.4 6.7 1.3 0.0 13.8 3rd
4th 0.1 3.0 8.1 2.2 0.0 13.3 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 7.0 3.9 0.2 12.1 5th
6th 0.2 3.9 5.5 0.5 10.1 6th
7th 0.0 1.3 5.3 1.4 0.0 8.1 7th
8th 0.2 3.2 2.5 0.1 0.0 6.0 8th
9th 0.0 1.2 2.7 0.4 0.0 4.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.7 0.8 0.0 2.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.8 0.1 1.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 14th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.7 4.2 8.2 13.2 17.5 18.9 16.4 11.2 5.7 2.0 0.3 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
13-1 98.7% 1.9    1.7 0.2
12-2 80.9% 4.6    2.8 1.7 0.2 0.0
11-3 41.0% 4.6    1.2 2.1 1.1 0.2 0.0
10-4 8.2% 1.3    0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-5 0.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 12.9% 12.9 6.1 4.2 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.3% 49.4% 39.2% 10.2% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 16.8%
13-1 2.0% 35.5% 32.3% 3.2% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.3 4.7%
12-2 5.7% 28.7% 27.7% 1.0% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 4.1 1.4%
11-3 11.2% 22.1% 21.9% 0.2% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.2 0.7 0.1 0.0 8.7 0.3%
10-4 16.4% 16.2% 16.1% 0.1% 13.6 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.2 0.3 0.0 13.7 0.1%
9-5 18.9% 10.7% 10.7% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.5 0.0 16.9
8-6 17.5% 6.3% 6.3% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 16.4
7-7 13.2% 4.2% 4.2% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 12.6
6-8 8.2% 2.2% 2.2% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 8.0
5-9 4.2% 1.9% 1.9% 15.8 0.0 0.1 4.1
4-10 1.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 1.7
3-11 0.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 0.6
2-12 0.1% 0.1
1-13 0.0% 0.0
0-14 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 11.6% 11.4% 0.2% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.8 3.5 3.7 1.7 0.3 88.4 0.2%