Marshall
Conference USA
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.5#202
Achievement Rating+0.2#164
Pace84.8#6
Improvement-9.2#352

Offense
Total Offense+1.1#141
First Shot+2.3#116
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#253
Layup/Dunks+1.5#127
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#237
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#104
Freethrows-0.1#181
Improvement-2.9#299

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#270
First Shot-1.1#206
After Offensive Rebounds-2.5#340
Layups/Dunks-2.3#272
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#102
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#121
Freethrows-1.2#253
Improvement-6.3#351
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.2% 3.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.7 n/a
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round1.2% 3.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Iowa (Away) - 56.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2018 277   @ Eastern Kentucky W 105-77 55%     1 - 0 +24.2 +7.7 +9.9
  Nov 11, 2018 87   Hofstra W 76-72 30%     2 - 0 +7.1 -3.1 +10.0
  Nov 14, 2018 327   Mount St. Mary's W 98-75 86%     3 - 0 +9.0 +5.3 +0.4
  Nov 19, 2018 323   N.C. A&T W 95-71 84%     4 - 0 +10.7 +7.5 +1.0
  Nov 23, 2018 21   @ Maryland L 67-104 4%     4 - 1 -19.7 -8.6 -4.8
  Nov 28, 2018 204   William & Mary W 84-64 61%     5 - 1 +14.6 +3.3 +10.6
  Dec 01, 2018 209   @ Ohio L 84-101 41%     5 - 2 -17.1 -1.4 -12.4
  Dec 05, 2018 152   @ Duquesne L 82-93 29%     5 - 3 -7.6 +2.2 -8.5
  Dec 08, 2018 67   Toledo L 74-75 26%     5 - 4 +3.4 -5.3 +8.8
  Dec 10, 2018 268   Morehead St. W 76-64 73%     6 - 4 +3.2 -9.2 +11.4
  Dec 15, 2018 126   @ Akron W 75-74 21%     7 - 4 +7.0 +10.5 -3.6
  Dec 22, 2018 85   @ Texas A&M L 68-92 15%     7 - 5 -15.3 -5.4 -8.0
  Dec 31, 2018 3   @ Virginia L 64-100 1%     7 - 6 -11.3 -0.3 -8.2
  Jan 03, 2019 111   @ Old Dominion W 70-67 19%     8 - 6 1 - 0 +9.9 +15.4 -4.9
  Jan 05, 2019 287   @ Charlotte W 85-84 58%     9 - 6 2 - 0 -3.4 +15.3 -18.6
  Jan 12, 2019 122   Western Kentucky W 70-69 38%     10 - 6 3 - 0 +1.6 -1.3 +3.0
  Jan 17, 2019 168   Florida Atlantic W 96-84 52%     11 - 6 4 - 0 +9.0 +10.3 -3.1
  Jan 19, 2019 223   Florida International W 105-97 65%     12 - 6 5 - 0 +1.6 +8.2 -8.2
  Jan 21, 2019 122   @ Western Kentucky L 59-68 21%     12 - 7 5 - 1 -2.8 -14.2 +12.1
  Jan 24, 2019 136   @ Louisiana Tech L 80-89 24%     12 - 8 5 - 2 -4.1 -1.5 -1.2
  Jan 26, 2019 127   @ Southern Miss L 51-101 21%     12 - 9 5 - 3 -44.1 -19.3 -24.1
  Jan 31, 2019 266   UTEP W 91-86 73%     13 - 9 6 - 3 -3.7 +6.8 -11.1
  Feb 02, 2019 134   Texas San Antonio L 106-116 43%     13 - 10 6 - 4 -10.6 +2.5 -10.3
  Feb 07, 2019 138   @ North Texas L 51-78 25%     13 - 11 6 - 5 -22.3 -17.2 -5.3
  Feb 09, 2019 254   @ Rice L 69-74 51%     13 - 12 6 - 6 -7.7 -14.4 +7.2
  Feb 14, 2019 162   UAB L 68-77 52%     13 - 13 6 - 7 -11.9 -5.6 -6.4
  Feb 16, 2019 244   Middle Tennessee W 98-93 69%     14 - 13 7 - 7 -2.6 +14.5 -17.5
Projected Record 14.0 - 13.0 7.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7 100.0% 1.2% 1.2% 14.7 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.0 98.8
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.0 98.8 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.2% 100.0% 14.7 0.6 31.5 64.0 3.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 2.9%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 9.1%
Lose Out 58.5%