NJIT
Atlantic Sun
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.4#200
Achievement Rating+5.1#116
Pace66.5#265
Improvement-0.6#225

Offense
Total Offense-2.5#244
First Shot+0.4#174
After Offensive Rebound-2.9#332
Layup/Dunks-1.8#231
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#106
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#243
Freethrows+2.7#50
Improvement-3.6#351

Defense
Total Defense+0.1#165
First Shot+0.8#147
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#223
Layups/Dunks-2.8#273
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#72
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#93
Freethrows-0.8#226
Improvement+3.0#15
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.5% 6.2% 4.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.5 14.9
.500 or above 94.3% 97.6% 90.8%
.500 or above in Conference 79.5% 82.7% 76.0%
Conference Champion 4.5% 5.3% 3.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.5% 0.8%
First Four0.3% 0.2% 0.3%
First Round5.4% 6.1% 4.6%
Second Round0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fairleigh Dickinson (Away) - 51.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 166   Colgate W 81-78 54%     1 - 0 -0.4 +11.6 -11.7
  Nov 09, 2018 326   @ Binghamton W 74-57 70%     2 - 0 +9.2 -1.9 +11.1
  Nov 11, 2018 178   Brown W 63-60 57%     3 - 0 -1.2 -8.9 +7.7
  Nov 17, 2018 231   Cornell L 73-86 68%     3 - 1 -20.2 +4.0 -25.4
  Nov 20, 2018 260   @ Wagner W 71-60 51%     4 - 1 +8.4 -1.3 +9.9
  Nov 24, 2018 241   @ LIU Brooklyn W 77-70 48%     5 - 1 +5.1 -0.9 +5.6
  Nov 28, 2018 251   @ Drexel W 70-67 49%     6 - 1 +0.8 -7.4 +8.2
  Dec 01, 2018 275   @ Umass Lowell L 71-94 53%     6 - 2 -26.3 -11.0 -13.8
  Dec 04, 2018 262   Army W 77-72 73%     7 - 2 -3.7 -2.5 -1.5
  Dec 08, 2018 283   St. Francis Brooklyn W 82-60 76%     8 - 2 +12.2 +3.8 +8.0
  Dec 11, 2018 250   @ Fordham W 53-50 49%     9 - 2 +0.8 -14.7 +15.7
  Dec 15, 2018 266   @ Fairleigh Dickinson W 72-71 52%    
  Dec 29, 2018 33   @ Houston L 54-71 5%    
  Dec 31, 2018 163   @ Duquesne L 67-72 31%    
  Jan 05, 2019 343   Kennesaw St. W 73-58 91%    
  Jan 12, 2019 329   @ North Alabama W 70-64 70%    
  Jan 16, 2019 71   Lipscomb L 72-78 28%    
  Jan 19, 2019 303   Jacksonville W 74-65 79%    
  Jan 21, 2019 175   @ North Florida L 74-78 35%    
  Jan 24, 2019 338   @ Stetson W 75-68 75%    
  Jan 27, 2019 329   North Alabama W 73-61 86%    
  Jan 30, 2019 239   Florida Gulf Coast W 74-69 69%    
  Feb 02, 2019 108   @ Liberty L 61-71 18%    
  Feb 09, 2019 343   @ Kennesaw St. W 70-61 78%    
  Feb 13, 2019 239   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 71-72 48%    
  Feb 16, 2019 175   North Florida W 77-75 55%    
  Feb 20, 2019 338   Stetson W 78-65 88%    
  Feb 23, 2019 303   @ Jacksonville W 71-68 59%    
  Feb 26, 2019 71   @ Lipscomb L 69-81 13%    
  Mar 01, 2019 108   Liberty L 64-68 36%    
Projected Record 19.2 - 10.8 9.3 - 6.7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.9 1.3 0.4 0.0 4.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.6 5.3 2.4 0.3 12.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 4.2 9.5 8.9 2.9 0.2 26.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 6.6 10.5 6.8 1.4 0.0 26.9 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 5.7 6.6 2.9 0.3 0.0 17.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 3.3 2.9 0.8 0.0 8.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 3.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 9th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.9 5.9 10.3 14.7 17.7 17.5 14.1 9.0 4.5 1.6 0.4 0.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.4    0.3 0.0
14-2 82.9% 1.3    0.8 0.4 0.0
13-3 41.8% 1.9    0.6 1.0 0.3 0.0
12-4 8.9% 0.8    0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1
11-5 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 4.5% 4.5 1.9 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 37.5% 34.4% 3.1% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.8%
15-1 0.4% 30.4% 30.4% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-2 1.6% 21.5% 21.5% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.2
13-3 4.5% 15.8% 15.8% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.8
12-4 9.0% 11.4% 11.4% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 8.0
11-5 14.1% 8.1% 8.1% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.1 12.9
10-6 17.5% 5.3% 5.3% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.2 16.6
9-7 17.7% 3.6% 3.6% 15.2 0.1 0.4 0.2 17.1
8-8 14.7% 2.5% 2.5% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 14.3
7-9 10.3% 1.8% 1.8% 15.8 0.0 0.2 10.1
6-10 5.9% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.1 5.9
5-11 2.9% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 2.8
4-12 1.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.0
3-13 0.3% 0.3
2-14 0.1% 0.1
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.5% 5.5% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.7 2.4 0.9 94.5 0.0%