NJIT
Atlantic Sun
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.0#194
Achievement Rating+1.3#150
Pace67.5#224
Improvement-2.2#280

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#277
First Shot-0.6#197
After Offensive Rebound-3.1#348
Layup/Dunks-2.6#270
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#137
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#178
Freethrows+1.3#90
Improvement-4.8#335

Defense
Total Defense+1.7#127
First Shot+1.5#128
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#169
Layups/Dunks-1.1#232
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#243
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#39
Freethrows-0.2#195
Improvement+2.7#55
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.3% 3.6% 2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.9 15.2
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 85.8% 97.2% 62.9%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round3.3% 3.6% 2.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Florida (Home) - 66.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 156   Colgate W 81-78 51%     1 - 0 +0.8 +10.8 -9.8
  Nov 09, 2018 335   @ Binghamton W 74-57 77%     2 - 0 +7.3 -2.1 +9.5
  Nov 11, 2018 155   Brown W 63-60 51%     3 - 0 +0.9 -7.2 +8.1
  Nov 17, 2018 210   Cornell L 73-86 64%     3 - 1 -18.7 +4.4 -24.4
  Nov 20, 2018 277   @ Wagner W 71-60 57%     4 - 1 +7.2 +0.4 +6.9
  Nov 24, 2018 278   @ LIU Brooklyn W 77-70 57%     5 - 1 +3.1 -1.2 +4.0
  Nov 28, 2018 235   @ Drexel W 70-67 49%     6 - 1 +1.2 -6.7 +8.0
  Dec 01, 2018 240   @ Umass Lowell L 71-94 50%     6 - 2 -24.9 -10.2 -13.2
  Dec 04, 2018 234   Army W 77-72 69%     7 - 2 -2.2 -0.8 -1.6
  Dec 08, 2018 269   St. Francis Brooklyn W 82-60 75%     8 - 2 +13.1 +6.2 +6.7
  Dec 11, 2018 236   @ Fordham W 53-50 49%     9 - 2 +1.2 -16.2 +17.6
  Dec 15, 2018 254   @ Fairleigh Dickinson W 90-80 53%     10 - 2 +7.3 +15.8 -8.2
  Dec 29, 2018 21   @ Houston L 59-80 5%     10 - 3 -3.8 -7.1 +4.4
  Dec 31, 2018 153   @ Duquesne W 78-67 30%     11 - 3 +14.4 +4.4 +9.6
  Jan 05, 2019 343   Kennesaw St. W 72-52 91%     12 - 3 1 - 0 +3.2 -5.3 +9.2
  Jan 12, 2019 322   @ North Alabama L 55-61 71%     12 - 4 1 - 1 -13.6 -21.2 +7.9
  Jan 16, 2019 48   Lipscomb L 52-70 21%     12 - 5 1 - 2 -11.4 -19.6 +9.4
  Jan 19, 2019 252   Jacksonville W 77-74 72%     13 - 5 2 - 2 -5.0 -11.0 +5.5
  Jan 21, 2019 219   @ North Florida W 76-72 45%     14 - 5 3 - 2 +3.2 +0.2 +2.9
  Jan 24, 2019 338   @ Stetson W 82-59 79%     15 - 5 4 - 2 +12.4 +2.4 +9.8
  Jan 27, 2019 322   North Alabama W 76-70 85%     16 - 5 5 - 2 -7.0 -4.5 -2.8
  Jan 30, 2019 221   Florida Gulf Coast W 66-54 66%     17 - 5 6 - 2 +5.8 -6.9 +13.1
  Feb 02, 2019 96   @ Liberty L 57-77 18%     17 - 6 6 - 3 -12.2 -3.4 -12.0
  Feb 09, 2019 343   @ Kennesaw St. L 62-63 81%     17 - 7 6 - 4 -12.3 -6.1 -6.4
  Feb 13, 2019 221   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 55-57 45%     17 - 8 6 - 5 -2.8 -10.5 +7.5
  Feb 16, 2019 219   North Florida W 75-71 67%    
  Feb 20, 2019 338   Stetson W 77-63 91%    
  Feb 23, 2019 252   @ Jacksonville W 71-70 50%    
  Feb 26, 2019 48   @ Lipscomb L 66-80 9%    
  Mar 01, 2019 96   Liberty L 61-65 35%    
Projected Record 19.5 - 10.5 8.5 - 7.5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 15.1 33.2 14.4 1.1 63.9 3rd
4th 2.5 18.0 2.3 22.8 4th
5th 0.1 7.2 1.6 0.0 8.9 5th
6th 0.7 3.1 0.0 3.8 6th
7th 0.4 0.3 0.6 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 1.1 13.2 34.8 35.5 14.4 1.1 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.0%
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 1.1% 4.8% 4.8% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1
10-6 14.4% 4.7% 4.7% 14.7 0.3 0.4 0.0 13.7
9-7 35.5% 3.8% 3.8% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.2 34.2
8-8 34.8% 2.8% 2.8% 15.1 0.1 0.7 0.2 33.8
7-9 13.2% 1.9% 1.9% 15.6 0.1 0.1 12.9
6-10 1.1% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 1.1
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 3.3% 3.3% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.6 2.1 0.6 96.7 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.5%
Lose Out 0.9%