Fairfield
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.0#245
Achievement Rating-12.6#314
Pace71.8#129
Improvement+1.0#99

Offense
Total Offense-0.6#185
First Shot+0.5#169
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#234
Layup/Dunks+2.7#100
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#343
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.2#38
Freethrows-2.8#307
Improvement+1.2#76

Defense
Total Defense-4.4#298
First Shot-5.3#320
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#117
Layups/Dunks-3.1#285
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#283
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#52
Freethrows-4.9#342
Improvement-0.2#191
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.6% 7.8% 5.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 16.6% 34.7% 14.4%
.500 or above in Conference 57.3% 68.2% 56.0%
Conference Champion 5.7% 9.1% 5.3%
Last Place in Conference 7.4% 4.2% 7.8%
First Four4.4% 5.1% 4.3%
First Round3.7% 5.8% 3.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Boston College (Away) - 10.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 20   @ Purdue L 57-90 3%     0 - 1 -16.7 -6.4 -12.2
  Nov 10, 2018 160   @ Bucknell W 60-58 22%     1 - 1 +5.0 -4.9 +10.2
  Nov 13, 2018 241   LIU Brooklyn L 87-89 61%     1 - 2 -9.9 +6.0 -15.9
  Nov 17, 2018 260   Wagner L 73-79 64%     1 - 3 -14.6 -4.8 -9.7
  Nov 23, 2018 300   Longwood L 65-67 60%     1 - 4 -9.7 -2.4 -7.4
  Nov 24, 2018 169   @ Seattle L 80-83 24%     1 - 5 -0.5 +3.1 -3.3
  Nov 25, 2018 249   Denver W 86-85 50%     2 - 5 -4.1 +11.1 -15.2
  Dec 01, 2018 262   @ Army L 60-63 41%     2 - 6 -5.7 -15.3 +9.8
  Dec 06, 2018 235   Oakland L 86-87 60%     2 - 7 -8.5 +1.8 -10.3
  Dec 09, 2018 105   @ Old Dominion L 69-79 12%     2 - 8 -2.3 +7.3 -10.1
  Dec 16, 2018 100   @ Boston College L 71-84 11%    
  Dec 22, 2018 341   @ New Hampshire W 74-69 69%    
  Jan 03, 2019 125   Rider L 81-86 31%    
  Jan 05, 2019 205   @ Iona L 77-82 31%    
  Jan 07, 2019 261   Niagara W 80-76 63%    
  Jan 10, 2019 267   St. Peter's W 71-67 64%    
  Jan 13, 2019 247   @ Quinnipiac L 70-73 39%    
  Jan 17, 2019 305   @ Monmouth W 73-72 50%    
  Jan 19, 2019 227   Canisius W 75-73 57%    
  Jan 24, 2019 270   Siena W 73-69 64%    
  Jan 27, 2019 205   Iona W 80-79 52%    
  Jan 31, 2019 320   @ Manhattan W 66-64 57%    
  Feb 02, 2019 202   @ Marist L 69-74 31%    
  Feb 04, 2019 270   @ Siena L 70-72 43%    
  Feb 09, 2019 305   Monmouth W 75-69 71%    
  Feb 15, 2019 227   @ Canisius L 72-76 36%    
  Feb 17, 2019 261   @ Niagara L 77-79 42%    
  Feb 24, 2019 320   Manhattan W 69-61 76%    
  Mar 01, 2019 202   Marist W 72-71 52%    
  Mar 03, 2019 267   @ St. Peter's L 68-70 43%    
Projected Record 11.8 - 18.2 9.0 - 9.0





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.5 1.7 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 5.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.0 3.2 1.4 0.4 0.0 11.3 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.6 5.0 3.2 0.7 0.1 0.0 11.8 3rd
4th 0.1 2.2 5.7 3.4 0.6 0.0 12.0 4th
5th 0.0 1.4 5.7 3.9 0.5 0.0 11.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 4.7 4.5 0.7 0.0 10.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.4 5.1 1.1 0.0 10.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.3 4.7 1.6 0.1 9.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.6 2.0 0.2 7.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.5 1.7 0.2 0.0 6.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.3 0.8 0.1 0.0 3.9 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.9 5.4 8.2 11.1 13.0 13.9 13.2 11.1 8.5 5.4 3.1 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 93.4% 0.5    0.4 0.1 0.0
15-3 75.6% 1.1    0.8 0.3 0.0
14-4 53.9% 1.7    1.0 0.7 0.1 0.0
13-5 26.7% 1.5    0.5 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0
12-6 7.7% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.7% 5.7 3.0 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 29.1% 29.1% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.5% 26.0% 26.0% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4
15-3 1.5% 20.9% 20.9% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.2
14-4 3.1% 17.4% 17.4% 15.8 0.1 0.5 2.6
13-5 5.4% 14.4% 14.4% 16.0 0.0 0.7 4.7
12-6 8.5% 11.4% 11.4% 16.0 0.0 1.0 7.5
11-7 11.1% 8.9% 8.9% 16.0 0.0 1.0 10.1
10-8 13.2% 5.9% 5.9% 16.0 0.8 12.4
9-9 13.9% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.5 13.4
8-10 13.0% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.2 12.8
7-11 11.1% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 11.0
6-12 8.2% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 8.1
5-13 5.4% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 5.3
4-14 2.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.9
3-15 1.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.4
2-16 0.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 0.5
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.6% 5.6% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.3 5.2 94.4 0.0%