Hartford
America East
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.8#189
Achievement Rating-2.5#200
Pace68.4#196
Improvement+2.7#67

Offense
Total Offense+2.0#119
First Shot+2.8#94
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#227
Layup/Dunks-1.1#218
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#329
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.5#25
Freethrows+1.7#68
Improvement+4.8#17

Defense
Total Defense-3.8#274
First Shot-2.6#252
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#288
Layups/Dunks-3.1#295
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#206
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#169
Freethrows+0.4#152
Improvement-2.2#289
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.7% 9.1% 6.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.3 15.6
.500 or above 70.4% 76.1% 40.2%
.500 or above in Conference 96.4% 98.6% 85.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.7% 0.6% 1.0%
First Round8.3% 8.8% 6.0%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Hampshire (Away) - 83.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 300   Central Connecticut St. L 68-75 80%     0 - 1 -17.8 -11.1 -6.6
  Nov 09, 2018 51   @ Utah St. L 73-100 10%     0 - 2 -15.1 -1.5 -11.0
  Nov 11, 2018 22   @ Mississippi St. L 59-77 5%     0 - 3 -0.9 -4.1 +2.3
  Nov 15, 2018 214   @ Quinnipiac W 68-54 45%     1 - 3 +13.3 -3.5 +17.5
  Nov 19, 2018 120   Utah Valley L 65-72 30%     1 - 4 -3.5 -10.5 +7.3
  Nov 21, 2018 215   Iona L 75-80 56%     1 - 5 -8.4 -2.5 -5.8
  Nov 27, 2018 250   @ Sacred Heart L 89-98 53%     1 - 6 -11.5 +2.4 -12.8
  Dec 01, 2018 114   Bowling Green W 76-63 38%     2 - 6 +14.2 +8.1 +6.7
  Dec 05, 2018 1   @ Duke L 54-84 1%     2 - 7 -2.7 -9.1 +7.5
  Dec 12, 2018 326   @ Bryant W 91-74 73%     3 - 7 +8.8 +11.1 -2.4
  Dec 16, 2018 224   Oakland W 87-82 67%     4 - 7 -1.5 +17.3 -18.3
  Dec 22, 2018 277   @ Wagner L 68-77 58%     4 - 8 -12.8 -5.0 -7.6
  Dec 29, 2018 244   Marist W 65-56 71%     5 - 8 +1.4 -7.5 +9.5
  Dec 31, 2018 102   @ Boston College W 79-78 19%     6 - 8 +8.4 +4.2 +4.2
  Jan 09, 2019 213   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 66-64 66%     7 - 8 1 - 0 -4.0 +1.2 -5.0
  Jan 12, 2019 83   @ Vermont L 62-81 16%     7 - 9 1 - 1 -10.2 -3.5 -7.8
  Jan 16, 2019 316   @ Maine W 77-76 68%     8 - 9 2 - 1 -5.7 +4.0 -9.7
  Jan 19, 2019 240   Umass Lowell L 73-76 70%     8 - 10 2 - 2 -10.3 -2.9 -7.5
  Jan 23, 2019 346   New Hampshire W 74-39 93%     9 - 10 3 - 2 +17.0 +3.3 +16.7
  Jan 26, 2019 292   @ Albany L 77-84 61%     9 - 11 3 - 3 -11.7 +0.0 -11.3
  Jan 30, 2019 335   Binghamton W 86-60 89%     10 - 11 4 - 3 +10.9 +12.1 +0.4
  Feb 02, 2019 169   @ Stony Brook L 77-86 34%     10 - 12 4 - 4 -6.7 +3.6 -9.6
  Feb 06, 2019 213   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 70-61 45%     11 - 12 5 - 4 +8.4 +1.2 +7.2
  Feb 13, 2019 316   Maine W 81-73 83%     12 - 12 6 - 4 -4.1 +12.8 -15.9
  Feb 16, 2019 83   Vermont L 75-77 31%     12 - 13 6 - 5 +1.4 +7.6 -6.3
  Feb 21, 2019 346   @ New Hampshire W 72-61 84%    
  Feb 23, 2019 240   @ Umass Lowell W 81-80 49%    
  Feb 27, 2019 335   @ Binghamton W 75-67 76%    
  Mar 05, 2019 169   Stony Brook W 72-71 56%    
  Mar 02, 2019 292   Albany W 74-66 79%    
Projected Record 15.4 - 14.6 9.4 - 6.6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.2 3.5 3.7 2nd
3rd 0.8 12.0 10.4 23.2 3rd
4th 0.3 7.6 29.3 23.1 1.5 61.9 4th
5th 0.1 2.5 6.8 1.2 10.5 5th
6th 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 0.3 3.3 14.4 31.3 35.4 15.4 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.0%
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 15.4% 13.5% 13.5% 14.7 0.0 0.6 1.4 0.1 13.3
10-6 35.4% 9.6% 9.6% 15.3 0.1 2.0 1.3 32.0
9-7 31.3% 6.8% 6.8% 15.6 0.0 0.9 1.2 29.2
8-8 14.4% 6.2% 6.2% 15.7 0.2 0.7 13.5
7-9 3.3% 4.3% 4.3% 15.9 0.0 0.1 3.1
6-10 0.3% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.0 0.3
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 8.7% 8.7% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.8 4.5 3.4 91.3 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 2.1% 100.0% 14.7 1.0 29.7 65.5 3.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 3.6%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 5.4%
Lose Out 0.2%