Rider
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.0#195
Achievement Rating-3.9#216
Pace80.9#13
Improvement-3.8#318

Offense
Total Offense-1.6#227
First Shot-3.0#265
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#76
Layup/Dunks+3.7#48
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#334
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#274
Freethrows-0.2#194
Improvement-3.9#318

Defense
Total Defense-0.4#184
First Shot+0.0#173
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#229
Layups/Dunks-2.5#277
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#12
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#244
Freethrows+1.1#104
Improvement+0.1#178
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 22.1% 24.1% 18.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 77.4% 88.2% 58.4%
.500 or above in Conference 98.3% 100.0% 95.3%
Conference Champion 20.2% 28.9% 4.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four7.6% 6.9% 8.8%
First Round19.1% 21.4% 15.1%
Second Round0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Peter's (Away) - 63.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 52   @ Central Florida L 70-84 10%     0 - 1 -2.1 -2.7 +1.9
  Nov 19, 2018 345   Coppin St. W 87-67 92%     1 - 1 +2.2 -1.7 +1.5
  Nov 24, 2018 275   @ Wagner W 89-65 57%     2 - 1 +20.2 +12.2 +6.6
  Nov 28, 2018 105   @ West Virginia L 78-92 19%     2 - 2 -6.6 +0.7 -5.8
  Dec 08, 2018 87   @ Hofstra L 73-89 16%     2 - 3 -7.4 +5.6 -14.3
  Dec 12, 2018 261   Norfolk St. W 81-71 73%     3 - 3 +1.5 -0.6 +1.3
  Dec 15, 2018 272   Robert Morris W 69-50 75%     4 - 3 +9.9 -11.1 +19.3
  Dec 17, 2018 167   @ Washington St. L 80-94 33%     4 - 4 -11.5 -9.3 +0.3
  Dec 19, 2018 130   @ Drake L 58-76 23%     4 - 5 -12.5 -11.3 -1.7
  Dec 22, 2018 183   Northern Colorado W 74-67 47%     5 - 5 +5.6 -0.9 +6.4
  Dec 23, 2018 276   Cal St. Northridge L 80-81 67%     5 - 6 -7.6 +6.6 -14.2
  Dec 30, 2018 47   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 79-90 10%     5 - 7 +1.1 +14.0 -12.4
  Jan 03, 2019 286   @ Fairfield W 83-82 59%     6 - 7 1 - 0 -3.3 +3.5 -6.9
  Jan 05, 2019 211   Quinnipiac W 72-67 64%     7 - 7 2 - 0 -0.8 -10.3 +9.2
  Jan 11, 2019 247   @ Canisius W 82-73 51%     8 - 7 3 - 0 +6.7 -0.4 +6.3
  Jan 13, 2019 299   @ Niagara W 104-84 62%     9 - 7 4 - 0 +14.9 +15.4 -2.5
  Jan 19, 2019 308   Manhattan W 60-47 81%     10 - 7 5 - 0 +1.8 -9.9 +12.5
  Jan 25, 2019 222   @ Iona L 71-77 45%     10 - 8 5 - 1 -6.7 -9.9 +3.7
  Jan 27, 2019 235   Marist W 86-85 69%     11 - 8 6 - 1 -6.2 +6.3 -12.5
  Jan 31, 2019 310   St. Peter's W 59-51 81%     12 - 8 7 - 1 -3.5 -17.8 +14.1
  Feb 02, 2019 271   @ Monmouth L 71-75 56%     12 - 9 7 - 2 -7.5 -2.8 -4.5
  Feb 05, 2019 308   @ Manhattan L 66-73 64%     12 - 10 7 - 3 -12.7 -2.6 -10.3
  Feb 08, 2019 247   Canisius L 80-81 71%     12 - 11 7 - 4 -8.9 -2.0 -6.8
  Feb 10, 2019 251   Siena L 57-59 72%     12 - 12 7 - 5 -10.1 -17.8 +7.6
  Feb 12, 2019 211   @ Quinnipiac L 88-98 43%     12 - 13 7 - 6 -10.3 -4.3 -4.0
  Feb 15, 2019 271   Monmouth W 81-72 75%     13 - 13 8 - 6 +0.0 -4.8 +3.4
  Feb 17, 2019 310   @ St. Peter's W 70-66 64%    
  Feb 22, 2019 299   Niagara W 86-77 80%    
  Mar 01, 2019 222   Iona W 85-81 66%    
  Mar 03, 2019 235   @ Marist L 73-74 48%    
Projected Record 15.6 - 14.4 10.6 - 7.4





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 6.7 13.4 20.2 1st
2nd 1.0 19.2 3.8 24.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 8.4 11.0 0.2 19.6 3rd
4th 0.3 13.8 0.7 14.8 4th
5th 2.4 7.2 9.6 5th
6th 0.1 5.7 1.0 6.8 6th
7th 0.8 3.1 0.0 4.0 7th
8th 0.7 0.3 1.0 8th
9th 0.1 0.1 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 1.7 11.9 31.4 37.6 17.5 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 76.9% 13.4    3.3 6.8 3.1 0.3
11-7 17.9% 6.7    0.0 0.4 1.8 2.8 1.5 0.2 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 20.2% 20.2 3.4 7.2 4.9 3.1 1.5 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 17.5% 29.5% 29.5% 15.4 0.1 2.8 2.2 12.3
11-7 37.6% 24.9% 24.9% 15.8 0.0 1.5 7.9 28.2
10-8 31.4% 19.3% 19.3% 15.9 0.0 0.5 5.5 25.3
9-9 11.9% 11.9% 11.9% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.3 10.5
8-10 1.7% 8.6% 8.6% 16.0 0.0 0.1 1.6
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 22.1% 22.1% 0.0% 15.8 0.2 4.9 17.1 77.9 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 5.2% 100.0% 15.4 2.7 54.3 43.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 2.9%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 4.3%
Lose Out 0.6%