Richmond
Atlantic 10
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.1#179
Achievement Rating-4.7#233
Pace64.6#296
Improvement+2.8#62

Offense
Total Offense+2.3#111
First Shot+5.2#43
After Offensive Rebound-2.8#342
Layup/Dunks+4.8#26
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#123
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#163
Freethrows-1.2#256
Improvement+2.3#70

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#262
First Shot-3.8#292
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#143
Layups/Dunks-3.4#304
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#278
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#243
Freethrows+2.4#36
Improvement+0.6#147
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 0.7% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.4 15.8
.500 or above 1.3% 1.8% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 4.6% 6.2% 0.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 5.2% 0.8% 15.9%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round0.6% 0.7% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fordham (Home) - 71.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 294   Longwood L 58-63 81%     0 - 1 -15.2 -21.4 +6.5
  Nov 14, 2018 262   St. Francis Brooklyn W 88-66 76%     1 - 1 +13.4 +17.7 -3.2
  Nov 16, 2018 205   IUPUI W 78-70 66%     2 - 1 +2.6 +2.8 -0.2
  Nov 19, 2018 116   Loyola Chicago L 66-82 31%     2 - 2 -12.1 -2.3 -10.1
  Nov 21, 2018 298   Wyoming L 66-68 74%     2 - 3 -9.8 -3.2 -6.8
  Nov 25, 2018 241   Hampton L 66-86 73%     2 - 4 -27.4 -8.2 -20.8
  Nov 28, 2018 68   @ Georgetown L 82-90 15%     2 - 5 +1.9 +9.4 -7.2
  Dec 01, 2018 176   Wake Forest W 84-74 59%     3 - 5 +6.5 +12.8 -5.8
  Dec 05, 2018 345   Coppin St. W 82-47 93%     4 - 5 +17.2 +6.8 +11.8
  Dec 15, 2018 280   Oral Roberts L 52-59 79%     4 - 6 -16.5 -26.4 +9.7
  Dec 19, 2018 111   Old Dominion L 54-63 40%     4 - 7 -7.6 -8.3 -0.6
  Dec 22, 2018 225   High Point W 74-59 61%     5 - 7 +11.1 +6.1 +5.9
  Dec 29, 2018 220   @ South Alabama W 91-82 48%     6 - 7 +8.4 +20.1 -11.5
  Jan 06, 2019 72   @ Dayton L 48-72 16%     6 - 8 0 - 1 -14.4 -18.0 +1.5
  Jan 09, 2019 140   Rhode Island L 67-78 49%     6 - 9 0 - 2 -12.0 -1.4 -11.0
  Jan 12, 2019 256   @ George Washington W 76-56 56%     7 - 9 1 - 2 +17.2 +17.7 +3.1
  Jan 16, 2019 152   Duquesne L 68-74 54%     7 - 10 1 - 3 -8.1 -3.0 -5.3
  Jan 19, 2019 79   @ Davidson L 62-75 17%     7 - 11 1 - 4 -4.0 +0.8 -6.1
  Jan 23, 2019 182   @ Saint Joseph's L 70-74 40%     7 - 12 1 - 5 -2.6 +0.3 -3.1
  Jan 26, 2019 133   St. Bonaventure L 57-66 47%     7 - 13 1 - 6 -9.5 -5.3 -5.4
  Jan 30, 2019 121   @ Saint Louis W 84-81 24%     8 - 13 2 - 6 +9.2 +17.0 -7.8
  Feb 02, 2019 198   La Salle L 58-66 65%     8 - 14 2 - 7 -13.0 -10.1 -3.7
  Feb 06, 2019 139   George Mason W 81-67 49%     9 - 14 3 - 7 +13.1 +9.0 +4.2
  Feb 09, 2019 256   George Washington W 89-63 75%     10 - 14 4 - 7 +17.7 +20.0 -0.7
  Feb 13, 2019 47   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 60-81 11%     10 - 15 4 - 8 -8.9 +2.8 -13.4
  Feb 20, 2019 226   Fordham W 71-65 71%    
  Feb 23, 2019 198   @ La Salle L 71-73 43%    
  Feb 27, 2019 139   @ George Mason L 69-75 29%    
  Mar 02, 2019 47   Virginia Commonwealth L 64-72 24%    
  Mar 06, 2019 190   @ Massachusetts L 70-72 42%    
  Mar 09, 2019 79   Davidson L 66-71 34%    
Projected Record 12.4 - 18.6 6.4 - 11.6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.7 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.1 3.0 7th
8th 0.0 2.4 6.9 1.5 0.0 10.8 8th
9th 1.5 11.3 5.1 0.2 18.1 9th
10th 1.7 17.0 12.6 1.1 0.0 32.5 10th
11th 0.1 8.7 11.4 0.9 0.0 21.2 11th
12th 1.2 7.0 0.9 0.0 9.2 12th
13th 2.2 1.3 0.0 3.5 13th
14th 0.8 0.0 0.8 14th
Total 4.4 18.8 30.9 27.2 14.1 4.0 0.5 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.5% 3.1% 3.1% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
9-9 4.0% 1.6% 1.6% 14.5 0.0 0.0 4.0
8-10 14.1% 1.2% 1.2% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 13.9
7-11 27.2% 0.8% 0.8% 15.7 0.1 0.2 27.0
6-12 30.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 0.1 30.8
5-13 18.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 18.8
4-14 4.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.3
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 99.4 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1%
Lose Out 2.1%