Richmond
Atlantic 10
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.2#199
Achievement Rating-9.3#284
Pace65.8#276
Improvement-1.6#292

Offense
Total Offense+0.9#148
First Shot+2.5#110
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#270
Layup/Dunks+2.9#96
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#48
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#195
Freethrows-2.7#303
Improvement-2.4#331

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#266
First Shot-3.7#288
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#136
Layups/Dunks-4.2#309
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#270
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#214
Freethrows+2.8#39
Improvement+0.8#105
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.8% 1.0% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.0 15.6
.500 or above 15.5% 26.2% 10.4%
.500 or above in Conference 29.3% 36.3% 26.0%
Conference Champion 0.7% 1.0% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 10.6% 7.9% 11.8%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round0.8% 1.0% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Old Dominion (Home) - 32.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 303   Longwood L 58-63 80%     0 - 1 -16.0 -18.8 +3.1
  Nov 14, 2018 281   St. Francis Brooklyn W 88-66 76%     1 - 1 +12.3 +16.3 -2.9
  Nov 16, 2018 174   IUPUI W 78-70 57%     2 - 1 +4.0 +4.9 -0.9
  Nov 19, 2018 99   Loyola Chicago L 66-82 24%     2 - 2 -10.7 +0.3 -11.2
  Nov 21, 2018 224   Wyoming L 66-68 56%     2 - 3 -5.7 -2.8 -3.1
  Nov 25, 2018 244   Hampton L 66-86 71%     2 - 4 -28.0 -4.7 -24.8
  Nov 28, 2018 104   @ Georgetown L 82-90 17%     2 - 5 -0.1 +9.3 -9.2
  Dec 01, 2018 158   Wake Forest W 84-74 52%     3 - 5 +7.3 +12.5 -4.7
  Dec 05, 2018 350   Coppin St. W 82-47 94%     4 - 5 +14.7 +5.2 +10.9
  Dec 15, 2018 309   Oral Roberts L 52-59 81%     4 - 6 -18.5 -24.9 +6.2
  Dec 19, 2018 93   Old Dominion L 62-67 32%    
  Dec 22, 2018 226   High Point W 67-65 56%    
  Dec 29, 2018 197   @ South Alabama L 68-71 38%    
  Jan 06, 2019 76   @ Dayton L 64-76 13%    
  Jan 09, 2019 112   Rhode Island L 66-70 37%    
  Jan 12, 2019 277   @ George Washington W 71-70 54%    
  Jan 16, 2019 162   Duquesne W 73-72 53%    
  Jan 19, 2019 88   @ Davidson L 65-76 15%    
  Jan 23, 2019 103   @ Saint Joseph's L 71-81 17%    
  Jan 26, 2019 154   St. Bonaventure W 69-68 51%    
  Jan 30, 2019 82   @ Saint Louis L 61-73 14%    
  Feb 02, 2019 260   La Salle W 80-74 72%    
  Feb 06, 2019 170   George Mason W 73-72 55%    
  Feb 09, 2019 277   George Washington W 74-67 74%    
  Feb 13, 2019 92   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 62-73 16%    
  Feb 20, 2019 240   Fordham W 69-63 70%    
  Feb 23, 2019 260   @ La Salle W 78-77 51%    
  Feb 27, 2019 170   @ George Mason L 70-75 34%    
  Mar 02, 2019 92   Virginia Commonwealth L 65-70 32%    
  Mar 06, 2019 136   @ Massachusetts L 71-78 25%    
  Mar 09, 2019 88   Davidson L 68-73 31%    
Projected Record 12.4 - 18.6 7.1 - 10.9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.8 1.1 0.3 0.0 2.4 3rd
4th 0.1 0.7 2.0 0.8 0.1 3.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 2.4 1.7 0.2 4.9 5th
6th 0.4 2.4 3.1 0.6 6.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 2.2 4.8 1.5 0.1 8.7 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 5.0 3.0 0.2 9.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.9 4.8 5.1 0.8 0.0 11.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 4.2 6.0 1.6 0.0 12.4 10th
11th 0.6 3.5 6.3 2.4 0.1 12.9 11th
12th 0.3 2.6 5.4 2.7 0.3 0.0 11.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.5 2.1 3.7 2.3 0.4 0.0 8.9 13th
14th 0.1 0.6 1.5 2.0 1.1 0.2 0.0 5.5 14th
Total 0.1 0.7 2.0 4.4 7.9 12.0 14.6 14.9 14.3 11.5 8.1 5.2 2.7 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 85.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 56.0% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 15.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.1% 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.5% 8.0% 8.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
13-5 1.1% 6.3% 6.3% 14.4 0.0 0.1 1.1
12-6 2.7% 5.9% 5.9% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.5
11-7 5.2% 3.1% 3.1% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 5.1
10-8 8.1% 1.4% 1.4% 15.5 0.1 0.1 8.0
9-9 11.5% 0.8% 0.8% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 11.4
8-10 14.3% 0.7% 0.7% 15.7 0.0 0.1 14.2
7-11 14.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 14.8
6-12 14.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.6
5-13 12.0% 12.0
4-14 7.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.9
3-15 4.4% 4.4
2-16 2.0% 2.0
1-17 0.7% 0.7
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 99.2 0.0%