Niagara
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.5#255
Achievement Rating-2.7#200
Pace77.9#35
Improvement-1.8#296

Offense
Total Offense-3.4#266
First Shot-3.5#271
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#157
Layup/Dunks-5.0#317
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#94
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#243
Freethrows+1.7#93
Improvement-1.9#314

Defense
Total Defense-2.1#239
First Shot-1.8#234
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#207
Layups/Dunks-8.0#350
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#62
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#154
Freethrows+3.7#16
Improvement+0.1#164
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.1% 6.1% 3.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 46.9% 57.5% 33.2%
.500 or above in Conference 48.5% 54.1% 41.2%
Conference Champion 4.1% 5.2% 2.7%
Last Place in Conference 10.7% 8.8% 13.2%
First Four2.8% 2.9% 2.7%
First Round3.8% 4.8% 2.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cornell (Home) - 56.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2018 154   St. Bonaventure W 80-72 38%     1 - 0 +5.6 +6.1 -0.7
  Nov 14, 2018 99   @ Loyola Chicago L 62-75 10%     1 - 1 -4.7 -2.1 -2.9
  Nov 16, 2018 224   @ Wyoming W 72-67 32%     2 - 1 +4.3 -5.4 +9.5
  Nov 23, 2018 258   Grambling St. L 68-74 62%     2 - 2 -14.5 -11.6 -2.5
  Nov 24, 2018 281   St. Francis Brooklyn L 63-75 66%     2 - 3 -21.7 -14.4 -7.1
  Nov 30, 2018 214   @ St. Francis (PA) L 75-79 30%     2 - 4 -4.1 -8.1 +4.4
  Dec 03, 2018 115   @ Pittsburgh W 71-70 12%     3 - 4 +8.0 -2.0 +9.9
  Dec 09, 2018 342   New Hampshire W 71-67 85%     4 - 4 -12.5 -6.6 -5.8
  Dec 16, 2018 234   Cornell W 77-75 56%    
  Dec 19, 2018 254   @ Cleveland St. L 75-78 38%    
  Dec 22, 2018 270   @ Army L 75-77 41%    
  Dec 29, 2018 274   Norfolk St. W 76-72 63%    
  Dec 31, 2018 275   Albany W 74-70 64%    
  Jan 05, 2019 320   @ Manhattan W 65-64 55%    
  Jan 07, 2019 246   @ Fairfield L 77-80 37%    
  Jan 11, 2019 210   Iona W 82-81 52%    
  Jan 13, 2019 124   Rider L 79-85 29%    
  Jan 17, 2019 265   @ Siena L 69-72 40%    
  Jan 19, 2019 242   @ Quinnipiac L 70-74 37%    
  Jan 22, 2019 268   St. Peter's W 70-66 63%    
  Jan 26, 2019 305   Monmouth W 76-70 69%    
  Jan 30, 2019 227   Canisius W 74-73 54%    
  Feb 03, 2019 242   Quinnipiac W 73-71 58%    
  Feb 08, 2019 215   @ Marist L 70-75 31%    
  Feb 10, 2019 210   @ Iona L 78-84 31%    
  Feb 15, 2019 320   Manhattan W 68-61 75%    
  Feb 17, 2019 246   Fairfield W 80-77 59%    
  Feb 22, 2019 124   @ Rider L 76-88 14%    
  Feb 24, 2019 268   @ St. Peter's L 67-69 42%    
  Feb 27, 2019 227   @ Canisius L 71-76 34%    
  Mar 03, 2019 265   Siena W 72-69 62%    
Projected Record 15.1 - 15.9 8.4 - 9.6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1 4.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.4 2.5 1.0 0.1 8.9 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.4 4.6 2.4 0.5 0.0 10.2 3rd
4th 0.1 2.3 5.0 2.7 0.4 10.5 4th
5th 0.0 1.3 5.7 3.3 0.4 0.0 10.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 4.8 4.0 0.6 0.0 10.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 4.2 5.0 0.9 0.0 10.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.8 5.8 1.8 0.1 10.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.3 4.9 2.2 0.1 9.9 9th
10th 0.1 0.5 1.9 3.5 1.8 0.3 0.0 8.0 10th
11th 0.1 0.2 0.9 1.6 2.1 1.1 0.2 6.1 11th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.9 2.1 4.5 7.2 10.2 13.3 13.1 13.1 11.5 9.6 6.9 4.2 2.2 0.8 0.3 0.1 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 100.0% 0.3    0.2 0.1
15-3 85.7% 0.7    0.5 0.1 0.0
14-4 53.7% 1.2    0.6 0.5 0.1
13-5 29.1% 1.2    0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0
12-6 7.9% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.1% 4.1 2.0 1.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.3% 13.3% 13.3% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.3
15-3 0.8% 26.0% 26.0% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6
14-4 2.2% 23.9% 23.9% 15.3 0.1 0.3 0.2 1.7
13-5 4.2% 14.9% 14.9% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.4 3.5
12-6 6.9% 13.6% 13.6% 15.9 0.1 0.8 5.9
11-7 9.6% 10.8% 10.8% 15.9 0.1 0.9 8.5
10-8 11.5% 5.6% 5.6% 15.9 0.0 0.6 10.8
9-9 13.1% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.6 12.5
8-10 13.1% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.3 12.8
7-11 13.3% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 13.2
6-12 10.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 10.1
5-13 7.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 7.2
4-14 4.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.4
3-15 2.1% 2.1
2-16 0.9% 0.9
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 5.1% 5.1% 0.0% 15.8 0.1 0.9 4.1 94.9 0.0%