IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
IUPUI
Horizon
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-5.1	#253
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.1	#118
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.1	#242

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.0	#256

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.4%	8.6%	3.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.9	14.0	15.1

.500 or above	18.4%	44.6%	16.9%
.500 or above in Conference	33.1%	52.7%	32.0%
Conference Champion	2.7%	7.5%	2.5%
Last Place in Conference	18.0%	8.2%	18.5%

First Four	0.8%	0.6%	0.8%
First Round	3.0%	8.4%	2.7%
Second Round	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Butler (Away) - 5.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 2	1 - 4	1 - 6
Quad 3	3 - 8	4 - 15
Quad 4	8 - 5	11 - 20

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2019	56	@ Butler	L	63-81	5%
Nov 09, 2019	136	@ Bradley	L	64-74	19%
Nov 13, 2019	79	@ South Florida	L	64-79	9%
Nov 20, 2019	109	@ Loyola Chicago	L	59-71	14%
Nov 25, 2019	209	Loyola Maryland	L	75-77	43%
Nov 26, 2019	195	@ Nebraska Omaha	L	73-79	31%
Nov 26, 2019	346	@ Southern	W	73-67	70%
Nov 30, 2019	182	Evansville	L	73-74	49%
Dec 04, 2019	264	@ Morehead St.	L	73-75	42%
Dec 07, 2019	120	@ Ball St.	L	69-80	17%
Dec 14, 2019	241	Purdue Fort Wayne	W	81-79	59%
Dec 20, 2019	118	@ Fresno St.	L	66-77	16%
Dec 28, 2019	225	Youngstown St.	W	77-76	55%
Dec 30, 2019	311	Cleveland St.	W	78-71	72%
Jan 03, 2020	250	@ Wisconsin-Milwaukee	L	69-72	40%
Jan 05, 2020	167	@ Green Bay	L	78-86	26%
Jan 10, 2020	103	Wright St.	L	67-73	30%
Jan 12, 2020	133	Northern Kentucky	L	72-76	38%
Jan 18, 2020	131	Illinois-Chicago	L	74-78	37%
Jan 23, 2020	219	@ Detroit Mercy	L	76-81	34%
Jan 25, 2020	201	@ Oakland	L	73-79	32%
Jan 30, 2020	311	@ Cleveland St.	W	75-74	53%
Feb 01, 2020	225	@ Youngstown St.	L	74-79	35%
Feb 06, 2020	167	Green Bay	L	81-83	45%
Feb 08, 2020	250	Wisconsin-Milwaukee	W	72-69	59%
Feb 14, 2020	133	@ Northern Kentucky	L	69-79	21%
Feb 16, 2020	103	@ Wright St.	L	64-76	16%
Feb 22, 2020	131	@ Illinois-Chicago	L	71-81	21%
Feb 27, 2020	201	Oakland	W	76-75	51%
Feb 29, 2020	219	Detroit Mercy	W	79-78	54%
Projected Record						11 - 19	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Horizon Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	0.6	0.8	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0		2.7	1st
2nd											0.1	0.7	1.6	1.4	0.7	0.2	0.0				4.6	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.2	1.3	2.5	1.9	0.6	0.0						6.6	3rd
4th									0.3	2.1	3.5	2.3	0.4	0.0							8.6	4th
5th							0.0	0.4	2.7	4.3	2.8	0.4	0.0								10.5	5th
6th						0.0	0.6	3.3	5.5	2.7	0.3	0.0									12.4	6th
7th				0.0	0.1	0.9	3.8	5.7	2.7	0.3	0.0										13.5	7th
8th			0.0	0.2	1.5	4.7	5.4	2.4	0.4	0.0											14.7	8th
9th		0.0	0.6	2.8	5.0	4.3	1.7	0.2													14.7	9th
10th	0.5	1.9	3.2	3.2	2.3	0.7	0.1	0.0													11.7	10th

Total	0.5	1.9	3.8	6.3	8.8	10.5	11.7	12.0	11.5	9.7	8.1	5.8	4.1	2.7	1.5	0.8	0.4	0.1	0.0			Total

Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1
16-2	94.4%	0.4		0.3	0.1
15-3	81.1%	0.6		0.4	0.2	0.0
14-4	52.3%	0.8		0.4	0.3	0.1
13-5	22.7%	0.6		0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0
12-6	5.2%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.5%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	2.7%	2.7		1.5	0.9	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		95.7%	95.7%		10.5					0.0		0.0							0.0				0.0
17-1	0.1%		44.4%	42.9%	1.6%	12.2												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0		2.8%
16-2	0.4%		39.6%	39.3%	0.2%	13.3												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.3		0.4%
15-3	0.8%		30.1%	30.1%		13.3												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.6
14-4	1.5%		20.0%	20.0%		14.1													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	1.2
13-5	2.7%		14.9%	14.9%		14.5													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	2.3
12-6	4.1%		11.2%	11.2%		15.0													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	3.6
11-7	5.8%		7.4%	7.4%		15.3													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	5.4
10-8	8.1%		6.3%	6.3%		15.5														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	7.6
9-9	9.7%		3.9%	3.9%		15.7														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	9.3
8-10	11.5%		2.0%	2.0%		15.7														0.0		0.0	0.2	11.3
7-11	12.0%		1.4%	1.4%		15.9																0.0	0.2	11.9
6-12	11.7%		0.7%	0.7%		15.9																0.0	0.1	11.6
5-13	10.5%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	10.5
4-14	8.8%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	8.8
3-15	6.3%																							6.3
2-16	3.8%																							3.8
1-17	1.9%																							1.9
0-18	0.5%																							0.5

Total	100%		3.4%	3.4%	0.0%	14.9					0.0		0.0					0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	1.0	1.4	96.6		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%