IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Horizon
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-4.9	#250
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	66.0	#253
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.1	#265

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.8	#219

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.4%	4.2%	2.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.8	14.7	15.1

.500 or above	25.5%	34.3%	13.5%
.500 or above in Conference	34.2%	40.6%	25.3%
Conference Champion	3.0%	4.0%	1.6%
Last Place in Conference	17.9%	14.0%	23.2%

First Four	0.6%	0.6%	0.7%
First Round	3.1%	3.9%	2.0%
Second Round	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Western Michigan (Home) - 57.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 5
Quad 3	3 - 6	3 - 11
Quad 4	8 - 5	11 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2019	231	Western Michigan	W	72-70	58%
Nov 15, 2019	234	UMKC	W	69-67	58%
Nov 19, 2019	262	North Dakota	W	73-69	62%
Nov 22, 2019	229	Rice	L	73-74	45%
Dec 03, 2019	145	@ Drake	L	66-75	22%
Dec 10, 2019	4	@ Kansas	L	60-87	1%
Dec 14, 2019	255	Eastern Illinois	W	71-68	62%
Dec 21, 2019	33	@ Wisconsin	L	53-73	4%
Dec 28, 2019	133	@ Northern Kentucky	L	65-75	20%
Dec 30, 2019	103	@ Wright St.	L	61-73	16%
Jan 03, 2020	253	IUPUI	W	72-69	60%
Jan 05, 2020	131	Illinois-Chicago	L	70-74	38%
Jan 11, 2020	167	@ Green Bay	L	74-82	26%
Jan 16, 2020	219	Detroit Mercy	W	75-74	54%
Jan 18, 2020	201	Oakland	W	72-71	52%
Jan 23, 2020	225	@ Youngstown St.	L	70-74	35%
Jan 25, 2020	311	@ Cleveland St.	W	71-70	53%
Jan 31, 2020	103	Wright St.	L	64-70	31%
Feb 02, 2020	133	Northern Kentucky	L	68-72	39%
Feb 06, 2020	131	@ Illinois-Chicago	L	67-77	21%
Feb 08, 2020	253	@ IUPUI	L	69-72	41%
Feb 15, 2020	167	Green Bay	L	77-79	45%
Feb 21, 2020	201	@ Oakland	L	69-74	33%
Feb 23, 2020	219	@ Detroit Mercy	L	72-77	35%
Feb 27, 2020	311	Cleveland St.	W	74-67	72%
Feb 29, 2020	225	Youngstown St.	W	73-71	55%
Projected Record						10 - 16	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Horizon Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	0.7	0.9	0.7	0.3	0.2	0.0		3.0	1st
2nd											0.1	0.8	1.7	1.5	0.8	0.2	0.0				5.2	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.2	1.3	2.5	1.9	0.6	0.1	0.0					6.6	3rd
4th								0.0	0.3	2.0	3.6	2.5	0.4	0.0							8.8	4th
5th							0.0	0.4	3.0	4.5	2.6	0.4	0.0								11.0	5th
6th						0.0	0.6	3.2	4.9	2.6	0.4	0.0									11.8	6th
7th					0.1	0.9	3.8	5.7	2.9	0.3	0.0										13.6	7th
8th			0.0	0.2	1.5	4.4	5.1	2.4	0.3	0.0											13.8	8th
9th		0.0	0.7	2.7	4.6	4.4	1.7	0.2	0.0												14.3	9th
10th	0.6	1.8	3.2	3.5	2.0	0.7	0.1	0.0													11.9	10th

Total	0.6	1.8	4.0	6.4	8.2	10.4	11.3	11.9	11.4	9.6	7.9	6.3	4.3	2.8	1.8	0.9	0.4	0.2	0.0			Total

Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.2		0.1	0.0
16-2	95.1%	0.3		0.3	0.0
15-3	79.6%	0.7		0.5	0.2	0.0
14-4	50.0%	0.9		0.4	0.4	0.1	0.0
13-5	23.3%	0.7		0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0
12-6	5.1%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.3%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	3.0%	3.0		1.6	1.0	0.3	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		54.5%	6.1%	48.5%	10.4											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.0		51.6%
17-1	0.2%		44.0%	43.7%	0.3%	12.5								0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1		0.6%
16-2	0.4%		26.7%	26.5%	0.1%	13.2											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.3		0.2%
15-3	0.9%		26.0%	26.0%		13.4													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.6
14-4	1.8%		19.6%	19.6%		13.9												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	1.5
13-5	2.8%		17.6%	17.6%		14.3													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0	2.3
12-6	4.3%		13.6%	13.6%		14.8													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.1	3.7
11-7	6.3%		6.9%	6.9%		15.1														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	5.8
10-8	7.9%		4.5%	4.5%		15.4														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	7.6
9-9	9.6%		3.4%	3.4%		15.6															0.0	0.1	0.2	9.3
8-10	11.4%		1.9%	1.9%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.2	11.2
7-11	11.9%		1.7%	1.7%		15.9																0.0	0.2	11.7
6-12	11.3%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																0.0	0.0	11.3
5-13	10.4%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	10.4
4-14	8.2%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	8.2
3-15	6.4%																							6.4
2-16	4.0%																							4.0
1-17	1.8%																							1.8
0-18	0.6%																							0.6

Total	100%		3.4%	3.4%	0.0%	14.8								0.0			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.8	1.1	1.1	96.6		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%