IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Nicholls St.
Southland
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.7	#309
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.1	#114
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.4	#271

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.3	#323

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	4.6%	10.6%	4.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.6	14.8	15.6

.500 or above	24.7%	62.2%	24.0%
.500 or above in Conference	48.6%	76.7%	48.0%
Conference Champion	5.2%	16.1%	5.0%
Last Place in Conference	8.2%	1.3%	8.4%

First Four	2.1%	1.5%	2.1%
First Round	3.5%	10.0%	3.4%
Second Round	0.1%	0.4%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Illinois (Away) - 1.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 5
Quad 3	1 - 3	1 - 8
Quad 4	10 - 9	11 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2019	42	@ Illinois	L	67-90	2%
Nov 09, 2019	72	@ Pittsburgh	L	63-82	4%
Nov 16, 2019	20	@ LSU	L	66-91	1%
Nov 19, 2019	86	@ Rhode Island	L	65-83	6%
Nov 22, 2019	325	N.C. A&T	W	72-70	56%
Nov 24, 2019	206	Maryland Baltimore Co.	L	65-71	31%
Dec 14, 2019	46	@ West Virginia	L	67-89	3%
Dec 18, 2019	291	TX A&M Corpus Christi	W	69-67	56%
Dec 21, 2019	286	@ Abilene Christian	L	67-72	35%
Jan 02, 2020	344	Incarnate Word	W	77-69	76%
Jan 04, 2020	186	@ Sam Houston St.	L	68-78	21%
Jan 08, 2020	281	@ Lamar	L	72-77	35%
Jan 11, 2020	299	@ SE Louisiana	L	68-72	37%
Jan 15, 2020	347	Northwestern St.	W	77-69	76%
Jan 18, 2020	284	Central Arkansas	W	79-78	54%
Jan 22, 2020	292	Houston Baptist	W	85-83	56%
Jan 25, 2020	243	@ New Orleans	L	70-77	28%
Jan 29, 2020	316	@ McNeese St.	L	72-74	43%
Feb 05, 2020	290	@ Stephen F. Austin	L	71-75	36%
Feb 08, 2020	186	Sam Houston St.	L	71-75	38%
Feb 12, 2020	281	Lamar	W	75-74	54%
Feb 15, 2020	299	SE Louisiana	W	71-69	58%
Feb 19, 2020	347	@ Northwestern St.	W	74-72	58%
Feb 22, 2020	284	@ Central Arkansas	L	76-81	35%
Feb 26, 2020	292	@ Houston Baptist	L	82-86	37%
Feb 29, 2020	243	New Orleans	L	73-74	47%
Mar 04, 2020	316	McNeese St.	W	75-71	62%
Projected Record						10 - 17	9 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southland Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.5	1.1	1.5	1.1	0.7	0.2	0.0		5.2	1st
2nd												0.0	0.1	1.1	2.1	1.8	0.8	0.3	0.0				6.2	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.2	1.3	2.9	1.9	0.7	0.1	0.0					7.2	3rd
4th										0.0	0.1	1.4	3.5	2.3	0.5	0.0	0.0						7.9	4th
5th									0.0	0.1	1.4	3.4	2.8	0.6	0.0								8.3	5th
6th									0.1	1.0	3.6	3.2	0.7	0.0									8.7	6th
7th								0.0	0.7	3.4	3.7	0.9	0.1	0.0									8.7	7th
8th							0.0	0.5	2.9	4.2	1.4	0.1	0.0										9.2	8th
9th						0.0	0.6	2.7	4.1	1.7	0.2	0.0											9.3	9th
10th					0.0	0.5	2.4	3.9	1.8	0.2	0.0												8.9	10th
11th			0.0	0.1	0.8	2.3	3.2	1.9	0.2	0.0													8.5	11th
12th		0.0	0.2	0.9	2.1	2.3	1.2	0.2	0.0														7.0	12th
13th	0.1	0.4	1.1	1.5	1.2	0.5	0.1	0.0															4.9	13th

Total	0.1	0.4	1.3	2.6	4.1	5.6	7.6	9.2	9.8	10.7	10.4	9.1	8.5	7.1	5.0	3.7	2.4	1.3	0.7	0.2	0.0			Total

Southland Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
18-2	97.2%	0.7		0.6	0.1
17-3	80.5%	1.1		0.9	0.2	0.0
16-4	60.4%	1.5		0.9	0.5	0.1
15-5	30.2%	1.1		0.4	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0
14-6	9.6%	0.5		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0
13-7	1.8%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	5.2%	5.2		3.1	1.5	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%		63.2%	63.2%		13.5													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
19-1	0.2%		51.7%	51.7%		14.2													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.1
18-2	0.7%		44.1%	44.1%		14.7													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.4
17-3	1.3%		42.4%	42.4%		15.1														0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.8
16-4	2.4%		27.3%	27.3%		15.5														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	1.7
15-5	3.7%		21.7%	21.7%		15.7													0.0		0.0	0.2	0.6	2.9
14-6	5.0%		15.7%	15.7%		15.9															0.0	0.1	0.7	4.2
13-7	7.1%		7.2%	7.2%		15.9																0.0	0.5	6.6
12-8	8.5%		5.4%	5.4%		16.0															0.0	0.0	0.4	8.1
11-9	9.1%		1.8%	1.8%		16.0																0.0	0.2	9.0
10-10	10.4%		1.3%	1.3%		16.0																	0.1	10.3
9-11	10.7%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.1	10.6
8-12	9.8%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	9.8
7-13	9.2%																							9.2
6-14	7.6%																							7.6
5-15	5.6%																							5.6
4-16	4.1%																							4.1
3-17	2.6%																							2.6
2-18	1.3%																							1.3
1-19	0.4%																							0.4
0-20	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		4.6%	4.6%	0.0%	15.6													0.0	0.1	0.3	1.1	3.2	95.4		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%