Preseason Rankings
Illinois
Big Ten
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.9#42
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace75.5#46
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+7.2#23
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.8#76
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
#1 Seed 1.5% 1.5% 0.4%
Top 2 Seed 4.0% 4.0% 0.4%
Top 4 Seed 12.4% 12.6% 1.8%
Top 6 Seed 23.3% 23.6% 4.8%
NCAA Tourney Bid 48.5% 49.0% 19.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 46.8% 47.4% 19.2%
Average Seed 6.6 6.6 8.1
.500 or above 71.1% 71.8% 35.9%
.500 or above in Conference 47.3% 47.8% 23.1%
Conference Champion 2.5% 2.5% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 6.3% 6.1% 16.7%
First Four3.4% 3.4% 1.8%
First Round46.8% 47.3% 18.5%
Second Round30.0% 30.4% 9.3%
Sweet Sixteen13.1% 13.3% 2.5%
Elite Eight5.7% 5.8% 0.5%
Final Four2.5% 2.6% 0.0%
Championship Game1.1% 1.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.4% 0.4% 0.0%

Next Game: Nicholls St. (Home) - 98.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 8 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 72 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 34 - 10
Quad 24 - 39 - 13
Quad 34 - 113 - 14
Quad 45 - 018 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 309   Nicholls St. W 90-67 98%    
  Nov 08, 2019 137   @ Grand Canyon W 80-74 73%    
  Nov 10, 2019 31   @ Arizona L 74-78 35%    
  Nov 18, 2019 183   Hawaii W 82-66 92%    
  Nov 20, 2019 306   The Citadel W 99-77 98%    
  Nov 23, 2019 245   Hampton W 92-73 95%    
  Dec 02, 2019 63   Miami (FL) W 79-74 68%    
  Dec 07, 2019 9   @ Maryland L 71-80 22%    
  Dec 11, 2019 21   Michigan W 72-71 54%    
  Dec 14, 2019 139   Old Dominion W 75-62 86%    
  Dec 21, 2019 53   Missouri W 73-72 54%    
  Dec 29, 2019 325   N.C. A&T W 86-62 98%    
  Jan 02, 2020 1   @ Michigan St. L 71-85 11%    
  Jan 05, 2020 12   Purdue L 75-77 44%    
  Jan 08, 2020 33   @ Wisconsin L 67-71 37%    
  Jan 11, 2020 66   Rutgers W 78-72 69%    
  Jan 18, 2020 99   Northwestern W 76-66 78%    
  Jan 21, 2020 12   @ Purdue L 72-80 25%    
  Jan 25, 2020 21   @ Michigan L 69-74 35%    
  Jan 30, 2020 70   Minnesota W 80-74 70%    
  Feb 02, 2020 39   @ Iowa L 82-85 40%    
  Feb 07, 2020 9   Maryland L 74-77 41%    
  Feb 11, 2020 1   Michigan St. L 74-82 26%    
  Feb 15, 2020 66   @ Rutgers L 75-76 49%    
  Feb 18, 2020 43   @ Penn St. L 75-78 40%    
  Feb 24, 2020 88   Nebraska W 79-71 75%    
  Feb 27, 2020 99   @ Northwestern W 73-69 62%    
  Mar 01, 2020 47   Indiana W 77-73 62%    
  Mar 05, 2020 14   @ Ohio St. L 70-77 28%    
  Mar 08, 2020 39   Iowa W 85-82 59%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.5 1st
2nd 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.4 1.0 0.3 0.0 4.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.9 2.1 1.0 0.2 0.0 6.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 2.7 2.9 1.1 0.1 7.7 4th
5th 0.1 0.8 3.1 3.2 1.2 0.2 0.0 8.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 3.0 3.9 1.5 0.2 0.0 9.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.6 4.4 1.9 0.2 0.0 9.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.5 2.4 0.3 0.0 9.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.1 2.7 0.4 0.0 9.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.6 4.1 3.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 9.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.3 2.8 3.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 8.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.6 2.2 0.8 0.0 6.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.9 1.6 0.5 0.1 5.4 13th
14th 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 3.5 14th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.3 3.9 5.9 7.4 10.0 10.4 11.1 11.1 10.0 8.4 6.7 4.7 3.1 1.9 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
18-2 95.0% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
17-3 62.1% 0.5    0.4 0.2 0.0
16-4 39.0% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
15-5 16.0% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
14-6 3.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.5% 2.5 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 100.0% 11.4% 88.6% 1.0 0.0 100.0%
19-1 0.1% 100.0% 25.2% 74.8% 1.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.4% 100.0% 31.3% 68.7% 1.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.9% 100.0% 22.1% 77.9% 1.7 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-4 1.9% 100.0% 23.0% 77.0% 2.4 0.4 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-5 3.1% 100.0% 13.2% 86.8% 3.2 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 4.7% 100.0% 9.6% 90.4% 4.3 0.1 0.3 1.1 1.2 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-7 6.7% 99.6% 7.8% 91.8% 5.3 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.3 1.6 1.2 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.6%
12-8 8.4% 97.7% 4.7% 93.0% 6.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.4 1.9 1.6 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.2 97.6%
11-9 10.0% 88.8% 2.3% 86.5% 7.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.3 1.6 1.9 1.5 0.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 1.1 88.6%
10-10 11.1% 68.9% 1.5% 67.4% 9.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.4 1.5 1.3 1.4 0.4 0.0 3.5 68.4%
9-11 11.1% 37.4% 0.3% 37.1% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 0.9 1.0 0.3 0.0 7.0 37.2%
8-12 10.4% 14.5% 0.6% 13.9% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 8.9 14.0%
7-13 10.0% 2.2% 0.3% 1.9% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 9.8 1.9%
6-14 7.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.5% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.3 0.5%
5-15 5.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 10.0 0.0 0.0 5.9 0.0%
4-16 3.9% 3.9
3-17 2.3% 2.3
2-18 1.1% 1.1
1-19 0.4% 0.4
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 48.5% 3.1% 45.4% 6.6 1.5 2.5 3.9 4.5 5.4 5.5 5.6 5.6 5.0 4.0 3.8 1.1 0.1 0.0 51.5 46.8%