Preseason Rankings
LSU
Southeastern
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.9#20
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace72.7#80
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+9.3#9
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.6#80
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 1.1% 1.2% 0.2%
#1 Seed 5.3% 5.8% 1.4%
Top 2 Seed 12.1% 13.4% 3.3%
Top 4 Seed 26.7% 28.9% 11.8%
Top 6 Seed 41.3% 44.2% 21.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 71.5% 74.6% 49.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 69.1% 72.3% 47.9%
Average Seed 5.8 5.7 6.8
.500 or above 86.0% 88.8% 67.1%
.500 or above in Conference 70.3% 72.7% 53.7%
Conference Champion 9.8% 10.6% 4.6%
Last Place in Conference 2.6% 2.1% 6.3%
First Four2.8% 2.8% 2.6%
First Round70.1% 73.3% 48.5%
Second Round47.4% 50.1% 28.4%
Sweet Sixteen23.8% 25.5% 12.1%
Elite Eight11.1% 12.0% 4.5%
Final Four5.1% 5.5% 2.0%
Championship Game2.1% 2.3% 0.5%
National Champion0.9% 1.0% 0.2%

Next Game: Bowling Green (Home) - 87.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 5 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 52 - 5
Quad 1b3 - 35 - 8
Quad 26 - 312 - 11
Quad 35 - 117 - 12
Quad 44 - 021 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 108   Bowling Green W 87-75 87%    
  Nov 13, 2019 28   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 74-76 41%    
  Nov 16, 2019 309   Nicholls St. W 91-66 99%    
  Nov 19, 2019 206   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 80-61 96%    
  Nov 22, 2019 34   Utah St. W 78-77 55%    
  Nov 24, 2019 86   Rhode Island W 80-73 72%    
  Nov 29, 2019 125   Missouri St. W 81-68 87%    
  Dec 03, 2019 243   New Orleans W 86-65 96%    
  Dec 08, 2019 347   Northwestern St. W 91-61 99.6%   
  Dec 18, 2019 71   East Tennessee St. W 81-72 77%    
  Dec 21, 2019 64   USC W 82-78 65%    
  Dec 29, 2019 87   Liberty W 75-65 80%    
  Jan 05, 2020 30   @ Tennessee L 77-79 42%    
  Jan 08, 2020 57   Arkansas W 85-78 72%    
  Jan 11, 2020 48   Mississippi St. W 80-74 69%    
  Jan 14, 2020 61   @ Texas A&M W 77-76 54%    
  Jan 18, 2020 51   @ Mississippi W 79-78 51%    
  Jan 21, 2020 7   Florida L 70-71 46%    
  Jan 25, 2020 24   @ Texas L 71-74 41%    
  Jan 29, 2020 45   Alabama W 80-74 68%    
  Feb 01, 2020 51   Mississippi W 82-76 69%    
  Feb 05, 2020 124   @ Vanderbilt W 78-71 72%    
  Feb 08, 2020 25   @ Auburn L 77-80 41%    
  Feb 11, 2020 53   Missouri W 76-70 70%    
  Feb 15, 2020 45   @ Alabama L 77-78 48%    
  Feb 18, 2020 2   Kentucky L 72-76 38%    
  Feb 22, 2020 78   @ South Carolina W 80-77 60%    
  Feb 26, 2020 7   @ Florida L 67-74 27%    
  Feb 29, 2020 61   Texas A&M W 80-73 72%    
  Mar 04, 2020 57   @ Arkansas W 82-81 53%    
  Mar 07, 2020 62   Georgia W 82-75 72%    
Projected Record 20 - 11 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.0 2.9 2.5 1.3 0.3 9.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.7 3.9 3.8 1.9 0.4 0.0 11.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.5 4.2 3.8 1.3 0.1 11.1 3rd
4th 0.1 1.6 4.4 3.7 1.0 0.1 10.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 4.1 4.1 0.8 0.0 9.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.1 4.3 1.2 0.1 9.1 6th
7th 0.1 1.9 3.9 1.5 0.1 7.5 7th
8th 0.0 1.1 3.7 2.1 0.2 7.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.6 2.3 0.4 0.0 5.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 1.9 2.4 0.7 0.0 5.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.2 0.9 0.1 4.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.5 0.9 0.1 0.0 3.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 1.4 14th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.2 3.6 5.5 7.2 9.3 10.4 11.8 11.4 10.7 9.4 7.1 4.9 2.9 1.3 0.3 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 98.7% 1.3    1.2 0.1
16-2 85.0% 2.5    1.8 0.7 0.0
15-3 59.3% 2.9    1.5 1.2 0.2 0.0
14-4 27.5% 2.0    0.7 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-5 7.4% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.6% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 9.8% 9.8 5.6 3.0 1.0 0.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 100.0% 51.6% 48.4% 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 1.3% 100.0% 37.5% 62.5% 1.4 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-2 2.9% 100.0% 30.9% 69.1% 1.7 1.5 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-3 4.9% 100.0% 24.9% 75.1% 2.2 1.4 1.9 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 7.1% 99.9% 19.0% 80.9% 3.1 0.8 1.9 2.1 1.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9%
13-5 9.4% 99.8% 13.4% 86.4% 4.2 0.3 1.2 2.0 2.2 1.6 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.7%
12-6 10.7% 99.4% 8.9% 90.5% 5.4 0.1 0.4 1.2 1.8 2.2 1.8 1.5 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 99.4%
11-7 11.4% 96.9% 5.4% 91.5% 6.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.6 2.1 2.1 1.6 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.4 96.7%
10-8 11.8% 89.5% 3.2% 86.3% 7.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.4 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.2 89.1%
9-9 10.4% 72.7% 1.5% 71.1% 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.4 1.8 1.4 1.2 0.3 0.0 2.8 72.2%
8-10 9.3% 42.7% 1.4% 41.3% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.2 0.0 5.3 41.9%
7-11 7.2% 19.1% 0.6% 18.6% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 5.8 18.7%
6-12 5.5% 6.4% 0.2% 6.2% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 5.1 6.2%
5-13 3.6% 1.5% 0.0% 1.5% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.5 1.5%
4-14 2.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.4% 10.9 0.0 0.0 2.2 0.4%
3-15 1.3% 1.3
2-16 0.5% 0.5
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 71.5% 7.7% 63.8% 5.8 5.3 6.8 7.2 7.4 7.3 7.3 7.4 6.9 6.6 4.7 3.7 0.9 0.0 0.0 28.5 69.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 1.0 98.8 1.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0% 100.0% 1.0 95.7 4.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.0% 100.0% 1.0 100.0