Preseason Rankings
Pittsburgh
Atlantic Coast
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.3#72
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.9#207
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+3.0#91
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+4.4#60
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.5% 1.0% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 2.3% 4.2% 1.0%
Top 6 Seed 5.7% 9.9% 3.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 21.8% 33.7% 14.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 21.3% 32.8% 14.1%
Average Seed 8.2 7.9 8.5
.500 or above 53.6% 70.9% 42.9%
.500 or above in Conference 26.7% 41.9% 17.2%
Conference Champion 0.5% 1.0% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 12.6% 4.8% 17.4%
First Four3.3% 4.3% 2.7%
First Round20.1% 31.4% 13.0%
Second Round10.8% 17.5% 6.6%
Sweet Sixteen3.7% 6.2% 2.1%
Elite Eight1.4% 2.4% 0.8%
Final Four0.5% 0.8% 0.3%
Championship Game0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Next Game: Florida St. (Home) - 38.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 10
Quad 24 - 46 - 14
Quad 34 - 110 - 15
Quad 46 - 016 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 18   Florida St. L 69-72 38%    
  Nov 09, 2019 309   Nicholls St. W 82-63 96%    
  Nov 12, 2019 273   @ Robert Morris W 72-61 84%    
  Nov 15, 2019 46   West Virginia W 75-74 50%    
  Nov 18, 2019 239   Monmouth W 76-61 90%    
  Nov 21, 2019 343   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 78-54 98%    
  Nov 25, 2019 50   Kansas St. L 62-64 41%    
  Dec 03, 2019 66   Rutgers W 70-68 57%    
  Dec 06, 2019 6   @ Louisville L 63-77 11%    
  Dec 16, 2019 147   Northern Illinois W 74-65 79%    
  Dec 20, 2019 339   Binghamton W 79-56 98%    
  Dec 30, 2019 295   Canisius W 80-62 94%    
  Jan 04, 2020 91   Wake Forest W 73-68 66%    
  Jan 08, 2020 5   @ North Carolina L 73-87 11%    
  Jan 12, 2020 63   @ Miami (FL) L 68-72 35%    
  Jan 14, 2020 6   Louisville L 66-74 24%    
  Jan 18, 2020 5   North Carolina L 76-84 24%    
  Jan 22, 2020 101   Boston College W 73-67 70%    
  Jan 25, 2020 59   @ Syracuse L 65-70 35%    
  Jan 28, 2020 3   @ Duke L 69-84 10%    
  Feb 02, 2020 63   Miami (FL) W 71-69 55%    
  Feb 05, 2020 41   @ Notre Dame L 65-72 29%    
  Feb 08, 2020 75   Georgia Tech W 70-67 61%    
  Feb 12, 2020 81   Clemson W 68-64 62%    
  Feb 15, 2020 85   @ Virginia Tech L 65-67 43%    
  Feb 18, 2020 18   @ Florida St. L 66-75 23%    
  Feb 22, 2020 10   Virginia L 57-63 30%    
  Feb 26, 2020 59   Syracuse W 68-67 54%    
  Feb 29, 2020 22   @ North Carolina St. L 73-81 25%    
  Mar 04, 2020 75   @ Georgia Tech L 67-70 41%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 7 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.9 1.0 0.2 0.0 4.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.5 2.7 1.4 0.2 0.0 6.0 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 3.1 1.9 0.4 0.0 7.0 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 3.6 2.9 0.6 0.0 8.4 8th
9th 0.0 1.0 3.9 3.6 0.9 0.1 9.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.9 3.9 4.0 1.3 0.1 10.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.7 3.4 4.4 1.5 0.1 0.0 10.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.6 3.2 4.5 2.0 0.2 0.0 10.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.7 2.8 4.3 2.4 0.2 0.0 10.5 13th
14th 0.1 1.0 2.6 3.7 1.8 0.3 0.0 9.5 14th
15th 0.4 1.3 2.3 2.2 1.0 0.1 0.0 7.2 15th
Total 0.4 1.4 3.3 5.5 8.1 10.2 11.5 11.7 11.0 10.3 8.7 6.7 4.6 3.1 1.8 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 84.2% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
17-3 66.5% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
16-4 30.7% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 7.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.0% 100.0% 50.0% 50.0% 1.5 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.1% 100.0% 27.2% 72.8% 1.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.2% 100.0% 21.7% 78.3% 2.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.6% 100.0% 13.2% 86.8% 3.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 1.0% 99.2% 6.2% 93.0% 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.2%
14-6 1.8% 99.5% 6.7% 92.8% 5.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.4%
13-7 3.1% 97.8% 4.8% 92.9% 6.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 97.6%
12-8 4.6% 88.6% 2.0% 86.7% 8.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.5 88.4%
11-9 6.7% 71.3% 1.2% 70.1% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.0 0.8 1.0 0.2 0.0 1.9 70.9%
10-10 8.7% 46.7% 0.9% 45.8% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.2 0.6 0.0 0.0 4.6 46.2%
9-11 10.3% 17.5% 0.1% 17.4% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.0 8.5 17.4%
8-12 11.0% 3.9% 0.0% 3.9% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 10.5 3.9%
7-13 11.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.6% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.6 0.6%
6-14 11.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 11.1 0.0 0.0 11.5 0.1%
5-15 10.2% 10.2
4-16 8.1% 0.0% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 8.1
3-17 5.5% 5.5
2-18 3.3% 3.3
1-19 1.4% 1.4
0-20 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 21.8% 0.7% 21.1% 8.2 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.0 1.4 2.1 2.5 2.9 2.9 2.8 3.6 1.4 0.1 0.0 78.2 21.3%