Preseason Rankings
Oklahoma
Big 12
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.2#38
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace72.3#90
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+5.3#47
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+5.9#34
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.5% 0.6% 0.1%
#1 Seed 2.2% 2.5% 0.4%
Top 2 Seed 5.6% 6.4% 1.1%
Top 4 Seed 15.7% 17.5% 5.8%
Top 6 Seed 27.9% 30.6% 13.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 52.1% 55.8% 31.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 49.3% 52.9% 29.9%
Average Seed 6.2 6.1 7.0
.500 or above 67.4% 71.5% 44.8%
.500 or above in Conference 47.0% 49.7% 32.2%
Conference Champion 6.0% 6.6% 2.7%
Last Place in Conference 12.9% 11.5% 20.5%
First Four2.3% 2.4% 1.6%
First Round51.0% 54.7% 31.0%
Second Round32.8% 35.7% 17.1%
Sweet Sixteen15.1% 16.8% 5.9%
Elite Eight6.3% 7.1% 2.3%
Final Four2.7% 3.0% 0.8%
Championship Game1.1% 1.2% 0.3%
National Champion0.4% 0.5% 0.1%

Next Game: Texas San Antonio (Home) - 84.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 7 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 72 - 7
Quad 1b3 - 35 - 10
Quad 25 - 310 - 13
Quad 34 - 114 - 14
Quad 43 - 018 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 121   Texas San Antonio W 85-74 85%    
  Nov 09, 2019 70   Minnesota W 75-71 63%    
  Nov 12, 2019 74   Oregon St. W 74-70 64%    
  Nov 18, 2019 246   William & Mary W 86-67 95%    
  Nov 21, 2019 350   Maryland Eastern Shore W 65-35 99.7%   
  Nov 25, 2019 113   Stanford W 78-70 74%    
  Dec 05, 2019 152   @ North Texas W 72-64 74%    
  Dec 14, 2019 58   @ Wichita St. L 72-73 46%    
  Dec 17, 2019 37   @ Creighton L 74-77 40%    
  Dec 21, 2019 94   Central Florida W 73-63 80%    
  Dec 30, 2019 230   UT Rio Grande Valley W 83-65 94%    
  Jan 04, 2020 50   Kansas St. W 67-63 64%    
  Jan 08, 2020 24   @ Texas L 67-71 35%    
  Jan 11, 2020 35   @ Iowa St. L 74-77 39%    
  Jan 14, 2020 4   Kansas L 74-79 33%    
  Jan 18, 2020 68   TCU W 77-71 70%    
  Jan 20, 2020 15   @ Baylor L 68-75 29%    
  Jan 25, 2020 48   Mississippi St. W 76-72 64%    
  Jan 29, 2020 50   @ Kansas St. L 64-66 45%    
  Feb 01, 2020 49   Oklahoma St. W 74-70 64%    
  Feb 04, 2020 13   @ Texas Tech L 66-73 27%    
  Feb 08, 2020 46   West Virginia W 79-75 62%    
  Feb 12, 2020 35   Iowa St. W 77-74 59%    
  Feb 15, 2020 4   @ Kansas L 71-82 18%    
  Feb 18, 2020 15   Baylor L 71-72 47%    
  Feb 22, 2020 49   @ Oklahoma St. L 71-73 44%    
  Feb 25, 2020 13   Texas Tech L 69-70 45%    
  Feb 29, 2020 46   @ West Virginia L 76-78 44%    
  Mar 03, 2020 24   Texas W 70-68 55%    
  Mar 07, 2020 68   @ TCU W 74-73 50%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.7 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1 6.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.2 2.8 2.6 1.3 0.4 0.1 8.5 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.8 3.6 2.9 1.0 0.1 9.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.7 4.8 2.7 0.6 0.1 11.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.1 5.4 2.8 0.5 0.0 12.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.0 5.5 2.6 0.4 0.0 12.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.0 5.0 2.5 0.3 0.0 11.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.3 4.2 2.0 0.3 0.0 10.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.1 3.5 1.5 0.2 0.0 9.8 9th
10th 0.3 1.0 1.8 2.6 1.8 0.7 0.1 8.3 10th
Total 0.3 1.1 2.0 4.0 5.9 8.2 9.3 10.6 11.7 11.2 9.9 8.0 6.7 4.9 3.2 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-2 91.9% 0.8    0.7 0.1
15-3 78.5% 1.3    1.0 0.3 0.0
14-4 53.8% 1.7    1.0 0.6 0.1 0.0
13-5 24.9% 1.2    0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 6.3% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.0% 6.0 3.7 1.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 100.0% 26.4% 73.6% 1.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.3% 100.0% 29.2% 70.8% 1.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.9% 100.0% 37.1% 62.9% 1.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-3 1.7% 100.0% 28.6% 71.4% 2.1 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 3.2% 100.0% 22.2% 77.8% 2.7 0.5 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-5 4.9% 100.0% 16.0% 84.0% 3.7 0.2 0.8 1.5 1.2 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
12-6 6.7% 99.5% 12.2% 87.3% 4.6 0.1 0.4 1.2 1.7 1.6 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.4%
11-7 8.0% 97.8% 8.7% 89.1% 5.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.1 1.8 1.6 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 97.6%
10-8 9.9% 91.0% 5.7% 85.3% 7.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 1.6 1.9 1.5 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.9 90.5%
9-9 11.2% 78.5% 3.7% 74.8% 8.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.5 1.7 1.6 1.1 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.4 77.7%
8-10 11.7% 48.9% 2.2% 46.7% 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.3 1.1 1.0 0.2 0.0 6.0 47.7%
7-11 10.6% 20.9% 1.8% 19.1% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 8.4 19.4%
6-12 9.3% 5.9% 0.8% 5.1% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 8.7 5.2%
5-13 8.2% 1.4% 0.5% 0.9% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.1 0.9%
4-14 5.9% 0.5% 0.5% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.9
3-15 4.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 0.0 4.0
2-16 2.0% 2.0
1-17 1.1% 1.1
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 52.1% 5.5% 46.6% 6.2 2.2 3.4 4.9 5.2 6.2 6.0 6.2 5.5 4.9 3.7 3.1 0.7 0.0 0.0 47.9 49.3%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 1.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0% 100.0% 1.0 96.7 3.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.0% 100.0% 1.0 100.0