Preseason Rankings
Stanford
Pac-12
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.6#113
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace73.4#73
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.4#163
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.2#87
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.9% 1.1% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.8% 9.1% 2.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 6.2% 7.3% 1.8%
Average Seed 9.6 9.5 10.4
.500 or above 53.6% 59.4% 30.3%
.500 or above in Conference 33.4% 36.8% 20.0%
Conference Champion 1.8% 2.1% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 14.0% 12.3% 21.3%
First Four2.3% 2.6% 0.9%
First Round6.6% 7.8% 1.9%
Second Round2.8% 3.3% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.9% 1.0% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Montana (Home) - 80.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 7
Quad 23 - 54 - 11
Quad 35 - 39 - 14
Quad 48 - 116 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 198   Montana W 76-67 80%    
  Nov 09, 2019 213   Cal St. Fullerton W 78-68 82%    
  Nov 12, 2019 289   Long Beach St. W 84-70 90%    
  Nov 16, 2019 128   Santa Clara W 73-68 66%    
  Nov 19, 2019 350   Maryland Eastern Shore W 61-38 98%    
  Nov 21, 2019 246   William & Mary W 81-70 84%    
  Nov 25, 2019 38   Oklahoma L 70-78 26%    
  Dec 01, 2019 268   UNC Wilmington W 84-72 86%    
  Dec 14, 2019 330   @ San Jose St. W 80-68 84%    
  Dec 17, 2019 111   San Francisco W 74-71 60%    
  Dec 21, 2019 164   San Diego W 72-68 63%    
  Dec 29, 2019 4   Kansas L 70-83 14%    
  Jan 02, 2020 166   California W 75-68 72%    
  Jan 09, 2020 44   Washington L 68-72 37%    
  Jan 11, 2020 157   Washington St. W 80-74 70%    
  Jan 15, 2020 82   @ UCLA L 77-83 32%    
  Jan 18, 2020 64   @ USC L 72-80 26%    
  Jan 26, 2020 166   @ California W 72-71 53%    
  Jan 30, 2020 74   Oregon St. L 71-72 49%    
  Feb 01, 2020 16   Oregon L 64-71 28%    
  Feb 06, 2020 110   @ Utah L 72-75 39%    
  Feb 08, 2020 40   @ Colorado L 67-77 20%    
  Feb 13, 2020 65   Arizona St. L 77-79 45%    
  Feb 15, 2020 31   Arizona L 70-75 33%    
  Feb 20, 2020 44   @ Washington L 65-75 21%    
  Feb 23, 2020 157   @ Washington St. W 78-77 52%    
  Feb 26, 2020 110   Utah W 75-72 60%    
  Mar 01, 2020 40   Colorado L 70-74 37%    
  Mar 05, 2020 74   @ Oregon St. L 68-74 31%    
  Mar 07, 2020 16   @ Oregon L 61-74 14%    
Projected Record 16 - 14 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 3.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.8 0.9 0.2 0.0 4.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.0 2.7 1.2 0.2 0.0 6.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.2 3.5 1.5 0.1 0.0 7.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.1 2.1 0.2 0.0 8.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.3 4.5 2.7 0.3 0.0 10.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.5 5.3 3.1 0.4 0.0 11.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.7 5.4 3.5 0.7 0.0 12.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 2.8 4.9 3.3 0.8 0.0 12.5 10th
11th 0.0 1.0 3.2 4.3 2.6 0.5 0.0 11.7 11th
12th 0.4 1.5 3.0 2.4 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 8.8 12th
Total 0.4 1.6 4.0 6.2 8.6 10.8 12.0 12.2 10.8 9.9 8.3 6.1 4.0 2.6 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 93.2% 0.3    0.2 0.0 0.0
15-3 74.7% 0.5    0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
14-4 33.9% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 12.3% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.8% 1.8 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 100.0% 10.0% 90.0% 3.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.1% 100.0% 24.7% 75.3% 4.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.3% 99.5% 22.6% 76.9% 5.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.3%
15-3 0.7% 91.5% 18.8% 72.8% 6.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 89.6%
14-4 1.4% 83.8% 16.2% 67.6% 8.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 80.7%
13-5 2.6% 63.9% 11.3% 52.6% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.9 59.3%
12-6 4.0% 39.3% 6.9% 32.4% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.0 2.4 34.8%
11-7 6.1% 20.0% 4.0% 15.9% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.0 4.9 16.6%
10-8 8.3% 7.3% 1.6% 5.7% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 7.7 5.8%
9-9 9.9% 3.7% 1.9% 1.8% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 9.5 1.8%
8-10 10.8% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.7 0.2%
7-11 12.2% 0.2% 0.2% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.2
6-12 12.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.0
5-13 10.8% 0.1% 0.1% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.8
4-14 8.6% 0.1% 0.1% 13.1 0.0 0.0 8.6
3-15 6.2% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 6.2
2-16 4.0% 4.0
1-17 1.6% 1.6
0-18 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 7.8% 1.7% 6.1% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.9 1.2 2.1 1.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 92.2 6.2%