IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Kansas
Big 12
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	+19.4	#4
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	73.7	#68
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+11.0	#3

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+8.5	#10

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	10.5%	14.5%	6.5%
#1 Seed	34.7%	44.8%	24.6%
Top 2 Seed	56.0%	67.6%	44.3%
Top 4 Seed	76.0%	85.2%	66.8%
Top 6 Seed	86.7%	93.1%	80.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid	95.2%	98.2%	92.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	92.7%	97.1%	89.0%
Average Seed	2.9	2.4	3.4

.500 or above	97.1%	99.3%	95.0%
.500 or above in Conference	93.1%	95.7%	90.5%
Conference Champion	48.0%	55.0%	40.9%
Last Place in Conference	0.6%	0.3%	1.0%

First Four	0.4%	0.1%	0.6%
First Round	95.1%	98.2%	92.0%
Second Round	84.7%	90.7%	78.8%
Sweet Sixteen	61.0%	68.0%	53.9%
Elite Eight	39.9%	47.0%	32.8%
Final Four	24.3%	29.9%	18.6%
Championship Game	14.0%	18.1%	9.8%
National Champion	7.9%	10.7%	5.1%

Next Game: Duke (Neutral) - 50.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	5 - 4	5 - 4
Quad 1b	5 - 2	9 - 6
Quad 2	7 - 1	16 - 7
Quad 3	4 - 0	20 - 7
Quad 4	3 - 0	23 - 7

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2019	3	Duke	L	82-83	50%
Nov 08, 2019	96	UNC Greensboro	W	82-64	95%
Nov 15, 2019	239	Monmouth	W	87-60	99%
Nov 19, 2019	71	East Tennessee St.	W	83-68	91%
Dec 07, 2019	40	Colorado	W	80-69	85%
Dec 10, 2019	250	Wisconsin-Milwaukee	W	87-60	99%
Dec 14, 2019	234	UMKC	W	87-61	99%
Dec 21, 2019	11	@ Villanova	W	72-71	51%
Dec 29, 2019	113	@ Stanford	W	83-70	86%
Jan 04, 2020	46	West Virginia	W	86-74	85%
Jan 08, 2020	35	@ Iowa St.	W	80-75	67%
Jan 11, 2020	15	Baylor	W	78-70	74%
Jan 14, 2020	38	@ Oklahoma	W	79-74	67%
Jan 18, 2020	24	@ Texas	W	74-70	62%
Jan 21, 2020	50	Kansas St.	W	74-61	85%
Jan 25, 2020	30	Tennessee	W	82-72	80%
Jan 27, 2020	49	@ Oklahoma St.	W	77-71	70%
Feb 01, 2020	13	Texas Tech	W	76-69	71%
Feb 03, 2020	24	Texas	W	77-67	79%
Feb 08, 2020	68	@ TCU	W	80-72	76%
Feb 12, 2020	46	@ West Virginia	W	83-77	70%
Feb 15, 2020	38	Oklahoma	W	82-71	82%
Feb 17, 2020	35	Iowa St.	W	83-72	82%
Feb 22, 2020	15	@ Baylor	W	75-73	55%
Feb 24, 2020	49	Oklahoma St.	W	80-68	84%
Feb 29, 2020	50	@ Kansas St.	W	71-64	70%
Mar 04, 2020	68	TCU	W	83-69	88%
Mar 07, 2020	13	@ Texas Tech	W	73-72	53%
Projected Record						22 - 6	13 - 5

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big 12 Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.1	1.0	4.0	7.9	11.5	11.5	8.3	3.6		48.0	1st
2nd											0.1	1.4	4.6	6.6	5.2	2.0	0.5				20.4	2nd
3rd										0.1	1.5	3.9	4.0	2.0	0.3	0.1					11.8	3rd
4th									0.1	1.0	3.2	2.5	0.8	0.0							7.5	4th
5th								0.1	0.7	2.0	1.6	0.4	0.0								4.8	5th
6th						0.0	0.0	0.5	1.5	1.1	0.1	0.0									3.2	6th
7th						0.0	0.2	0.9	0.6	0.1	0.0										1.9	7th
8th					0.0	0.2	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.0											1.4	8th
9th		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0												0.7	9th
10th	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0														0.3	10th

Total	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	1.0	2.0	2.9	4.3	6.6	8.3	10.4	12.7	13.4	13.6	12.0	8.3	3.6			Total

Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	3.6		3.6
17-1	100.0%	8.3		8.1	0.1
16-2	96.1%	11.5		10.4	1.2	0.0
15-3	84.7%	11.5		8.9	2.6	0.1
14-4	59.1%	7.9		4.6	2.8	0.4	0.0
13-5	31.7%	4.0		1.5	1.8	0.6	0.1	0.0
12-6	9.8%	1.0		0.2	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0
11-7	1.1%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.1%	0.0					0.0	0.0
9-9	0.0%

Total	48.0%	48.0		37.3	9.0	1.4	0.3	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	3.6%		100.0%	74.7%	25.3%	1.1		3.3	0.3	0.0																100.0%
17-1	8.3%		100.0%	63.3%	36.7%	1.2		7.1	1.2	0.0	0.0															100.0%
16-2	12.0%		100.0%	53.7%	46.3%	1.3		8.9	2.8	0.3	0.0															100.0%
15-3	13.6%		100.0%	46.8%	53.2%	1.5		7.8	4.7	0.9	0.2	0.0	0.0													100.0%
14-4	13.4%		100.0%	38.2%	61.8%	2.0		4.8	5.4	2.2	0.7	0.2	0.0	0.0		0.0										100.0%
13-5	12.7%		100.0%	28.9%	71.1%	2.7		2.1	4.3	3.4	1.8	0.8	0.3	0.0	0.0									0.0		100.0%
12-6	10.4%		99.9%	22.7%	77.2%	3.6		0.6	1.8	3.0	2.5	1.4	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.0		99.9%
11-7	8.3%		99.7%	17.2%	82.5%	4.7		0.1	0.7	1.3	1.9	2.0	1.1	0.6	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.0		99.6%
10-8	6.6%		96.9%	13.0%	84.0%	5.8		0.0	0.1	0.5	0.9	1.3	1.3	1.0	0.5	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0					0.2		96.5%
9-9	4.3%		89.1%	10.5%	78.6%	7.0			0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.7	0.8	0.6	0.4	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0				0.5		87.8%
8-10	2.9%		67.8%	5.2%	62.7%	8.1				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.4	0.3	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0				0.9		66.1%
7-11	2.0%		36.3%	4.2%	32.1%	8.5					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0				1.3		33.5%
6-12	1.0%		15.6%	2.5%	13.0%	9.3							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0					0.8		13.4%
5-13	0.6%		1.7%	0.1%	1.6%	9.2									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.6		1.6%
4-14	0.3%																							0.3
3-15	0.1%																							0.1
2-16	0.0%																							0.0
1-17	0.0%																							0.0
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		95.2%	34.9%	60.4%	2.9		34.7	21.3	11.7	8.3	6.3	4.4	3.2	2.1	1.5	0.9	0.6	0.1	0.0				4.8		92.7%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	1.3%	100.0%	1.0	96.0	4.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship	0.2%	100.0%	1.1	88.8	11.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final	0.1%	100.0%	1.0	97.2	2.4	0.4